SACRUS Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 71 / 58 and sunny. Near / low 80s today. A bit cooler Thu with 70s. and Near 70 on Friday. Half a dry weekend before the front moves through Sunday with some rain showers perhaps more than a trace. 2 shots, with the second shot of rain coming on the 12/13. Overall warmer and drier than normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 2 hours ago, snowman19 said: The ensembles (GEFS GEPS EPS) are a general 0.2 - 0.4 total QPF Sun/Mon which will seem like a deluge Anything above a T would be a win at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 6 Author Share Posted November 6 Have to hope for a cmc solution which would at least be >.5" Gfs icon and now ukie are more in the .25- .5 range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 6 Author Share Posted November 6 I'm guessing the warm spots will make it to 82 or 83 today. Already 79 at noon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 Feels like June 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Feels like June It's bizarre and it's actually a little muggy too with 59/60 dews. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 Records have already been tied or broken at New York City (Central Park), Newark, and White Plains. Bridgeport and Islip are 1° short of their daily records. Newark has reached 80° for the second time this month, which ties the November record from 1950. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 6 Author Share Posted November 6 11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Records have already been tied or broken at New York City (Central Park), Newark, and White Plains. Bridgeport and Islip are 1° short of their daily records. Newark has reached 80° for the second time this month, which ties the November record from 1950. Hopefully this is our last one until February 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Hopefully this is our last one until February I hope so, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 82 here right now. Feels like summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 6 Author Share Posted November 6 Euro says heavy rain holds off til day 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 Just way too warm out there today. I like nice weather as much as anyone but this is unpleasant at this time of year. Sorry. 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 Under bright sunshine, temperatures rose to near record and record highs across much of the region. Some locations tied or set November monthly records. High temperatures included: Albany: 77° (old record: 73°, 2015) Allentown: 79° (old record: 78°, 1948) Atlantic City: 81° (old record: 77°, 1961) Baltimore: 81° (tied record set in 2015) Bangor: 75°(tied record set in 1938) ***Tied November monthly record*** Boston: 82° (old record: 76°, 2022) ***Latest 80° temperature*** Bridgeport: 73° (old record: 72°, 2022) Caribou: 72° (old record: 71°, 2022) Concord: 80° (old record: 75°, 1948 and 2022) ***Tied November monthly record*** Harrisburg: 80° (old record: 77°, 1948) Hartford: 84° (old record: 76°, 2015 and 2022) ***Tied November monthly record*** Manchester: 80° (old record: 77°, 2022) ***New November monthly record*** New York City-Central Park: 80° (old record: 75°, 2022) New York City-JFK Airport: 75° (tied record set in 2015) New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 80° (old record: 75°, 2015 and 2022) Newark: 83° (old record: 80°, 1948) Philadelphia: 80° (old record: 79°, 1948) Portland: 79° (old record: 71°, 2020) ***New November monthly record*** Poughkeepsie: 81° (old record: 77°, 2015) ***Latest 80° temperature*** Providence: 77° (old record: 75°, 2015) Reading: 83° (old record: 79°, 1975) Sterling: 83° (old record: 80°, 2015) Trenton: 80° (old record: 77°, 1948) Washington, DC: 83° (old record: 80°, 2015) Wilmington, DE: 81° (old record: 79°, 1948) Worcester: 78° (old record: 72°, 2022) It will turn somewhat cooler for tomorrow and Friday, but both days will still be unseasonably warm. There is growing model support for at least some rain to affect the region late in the weekend. Parts of the region could be in line for 0.25"-0.50" of rain. Today is Philadelphia's 39th consecutive day with no measurable precipitation. The old record of 29 days was set during October 11 through November 8, 1874. Wilmington, DE has also gone 39 consecutive days without measurable precipitation. The old record of 34 days was set during January 7 through February 9, 1909. The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer to much warmer than normal outcome is favored by the November run of the ECMWF for Winter 2024-2025. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around October 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late fall. The SOI was -6.30 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.806 today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted November 6 Share Posted November 6 80° high today ties Nov station record, also highest so late in season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 Records: Highs: EWR: 80 (1948) NYC: 80 (1948) LGA: 75 (2022) JFK: 75 (2015) Lows: EWR: 27 (2012) NYC: 27 (1879) LGA: 30 (1951) JFK: 30 (1952) Historical: 1951 - Snow fell from the Texas panhandle to the Lower Great Lakes, leaving record totals of 12.5 inches at Saint Louis MO, and 14.1 inches at Springfield MO. Other heavier snowfall totals included 20 inches at Nevada MO, 13.5 inches at Sedan KS, 13 inches at Decature IL, and 10 inches at Alva OK. In the Saint Louis area, up to 20 inches was reported in Washington County. (5th- 6th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1961: Santa Ana winds in southern California downed trees, utility lines and blew 10 to 50 percent of the avocado crop from trees. Dust from the winds lowered the visibility, which led to a 16 car pileup, injuring 23 people. In addition, the winds brought the lowerest relative humidity of record to Burbank, 3 percent, and contributed to disastrous fires in the hills of the Los Angeles area. 1977: Several possible causes lead to the collapse of the Kelly Barnes Dam in Georgia to give way. The failure allowed a 40-acre lake to flood the Toccoa Falls College, killing 39 people and injuring 60 more. 1987 - High winds in the northeastern U.S., turning a recent warm spell into a distant memory, gusted to 63 mph at Rhode Island. Squalls resulting from the high winds produced five inches of snow at Marquette MI and seven inches at Rome NY. A storm in the southwestern U.S. brought heavy snow to some of the higher elevations of Arizona, Colorado and Utah. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - A powerful low pressure system over the Great Lakes Region continued to produce snow across parts of the Ohio Valley and the Great Lakes Region. Snowfall totals along the shore of Lake Superior reached 24 inches, with three feet of snow reported in the Porcupine Mountain area of Upper Michigan. Marquette MI established a November record with 17.3 inches of snow in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the south central and southeastern U.S. Nine cities from Florida to Oklahoma and Texas reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 80s. The high of 89 degrees at the Dallas/Fort Worth Airport in Texas equalled their record for November. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2005 - Severe thunderstorms produced a deadly tornado near Evansville, Indiana during the early morning hours of November 6. There were 23 fatalities from the tornado, with 19 of the deaths occurring in the Eastbrook Mobile Home Park located just to the southeast of the city (Associated Press). It was Indiana's deadliest tornado since the Super Outbreak on April 3, 1974. 2005: The deadliest tornado to strike Indiana since April 3rd, 1974, occurred around 2 am. A single F3 tornado inflicted 24 fatalities, 238 injuries, and nearly 90 million dollars in damage with a path length of 41 miles. This storm moved in a northeasterly direction from just north of Smith Mills, Kentucky, to Gentryville, Indiana, and crossed the Ohio River three times. Most of the damage occurred as the tornado passed southeast of the city of Evansville, Indiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 Highs: TEB: 84 EWR: 83 New Brnswck: 82 BLM: 81 LGA: 81 ACY: 81 PHL: 80 NYC: 80 TTN: 80 JFK: 75 ISP: 73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 EWR with a +23 departure today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 76 still. Feels humid too. Ac back on to make sleep comfortable. Backyard is like a dustbowl. Puppy kicks up a dustorm when's running around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 getting a little worried, remember that early november warmth in 2022? by all means lets not re-do that winter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 7 Author Share Posted November 7 40 minutes ago, vegan_edible said: getting a little worried, remember that early november warmth in 2022? by all means lets not re-do that winter We easily could. Especially if we don't see something early 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 71 at 10:30 pm on 11/6. Feels like mid summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 69.6. Just a tad above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 70.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 65° at 2am 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 Topped out at a balmy 80F here yesterday afternoon. Currently 61F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 Another torchy day here...wonder if Newark can crack 80 to set a record for most 80 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 10 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: We easily could. Especially if we don't see something early "It's getting late, early"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 Expansive dryness and drought continues to affect and is expanding over majority of the lower 48. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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