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 71 / 58 and sunny.   Near / low 80s today.  A bit cooler Thu with 70s. and Near 70 on Friday.  Half a dry weekend before the front moves through Sunday with some rain showers perhaps more than a trace.   2 shots, with the second shot of rain coming on the 12/13.  Overall warmer and drier than normal.

 

GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

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11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Records have already been tied or broken at New York City (Central Park), Newark, and White Plains. Bridgeport and Islip are 1° short of their daily records. Newark has reached 80° for the second time this month, which ties the November record from 1950.

Hopefully this is our last one until February 

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Under bright sunshine, temperatures rose to near record and record highs across much of the region. Some locations tied or set November monthly records. High temperatures included:

Albany: 77° (old record: 73°, 2015)
Allentown: 79° (old record: 78°, 1948)
Atlantic City: 81° (old record: 77°, 1961)
Baltimore: 81° (tied record set in 2015)
Bangor: 75°(tied record set in 1938) ***Tied November monthly record***
Boston: 82° (old record: 76°, 2022) ***Latest 80° temperature***
Bridgeport: 73° (old record: 72°, 2022)
Caribou: 72° (old record: 71°, 2022)
Concord: 80° (old record: 75°, 1948 and 2022) ***Tied November monthly record***
Harrisburg: 80° (old record: 77°, 1948)
Hartford: 84° (old record: 76°, 2015 and 2022) ***Tied November monthly record***
Manchester: 80° (old record: 77°, 2022) ***New November monthly record***
New York City-Central Park: 80° (old record: 75°, 2022)
New York City-JFK Airport: 75° (tied record set in 2015)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 80° (old record: 75°, 2015 and 2022)
Newark: 83° (old record: 80°, 1948)
Philadelphia: 80° (old record: 79°, 1948)
Portland: 79° (old record: 71°, 2020) ***New November monthly record***
Poughkeepsie: 81° (old record: 77°, 2015) ***Latest 80° temperature***
Providence: 77° (old record: 75°, 2015)
Reading: 83° (old record: 79°, 1975)
Sterling: 83° (old record: 80°, 2015)
Trenton: 80° (old record: 77°, 1948)
Washington, DC: 83° (old record: 80°, 2015)
Wilmington, DE: 81° (old record: 79°, 1948)
Worcester: 78° (old record: 72°, 2022)

It will turn somewhat cooler for tomorrow and Friday, but both days will still be unseasonably warm. There is growing model support for at least some rain to affect the region late in the weekend. Parts of the region could be in line for 0.25"-0.50" of rain.

Today is Philadelphia's 39th consecutive day with no measurable precipitation. The old record of 29 days was set during October 11 through November 8, 1874. Wilmington, DE has also gone 39 consecutive days without measurable precipitation. The old record of 34 days was set during January 7 through February 9, 1909.

The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer to much warmer than normal outcome is favored by the November run of the ECMWF for Winter 2024-2025.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around October 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late fall.

The SOI was -6.30 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.806 today.

 

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 80 (1948)
NYC: 80 (1948)
LGA: 75 (2022)
JFK: 75 (2015)


Lows:

EWR: 27 (2012)
NYC: 27 (1879)
LGA:  30 (1951)
JFK: 30 (1952)


Historical:

 


 

1951 - Snow fell from the Texas panhandle to the Lower Great Lakes, leaving record totals of 12.5 inches at Saint Louis MO, and 14.1 inches at Springfield MO. Other heavier snowfall totals included 20 inches at Nevada MO, 13.5 inches at Sedan KS, 13 inches at Decature IL, and 10 inches at Alva OK. In the Saint Louis area, up to 20 inches was reported in Washington County. (5th- 6th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

 

1961: Santa Ana winds in southern California downed trees, utility lines and blew 10 to 50 percent of the avocado crop from trees. Dust from the winds lowered the visibility, which led to a 16 car pileup, injuring 23 people. In addition, the winds brought the lowerest relative humidity of record to Burbank, 3 percent, and contributed to disastrous fires in the hills of the Los Angeles area.

 

1977: Several possible causes lead to the collapse of the Kelly Barnes Dam in Georgia to give way. The failure allowed a 40-acre lake to flood the Toccoa Falls College, killing 39 people and injuring 60 more.

1987 - High winds in the northeastern U.S., turning a recent warm spell into a distant memory, gusted to 63 mph at Rhode Island. Squalls resulting from the high winds produced five inches of snow at Marquette MI and seven inches at Rome NY. A storm in the southwestern U.S. brought heavy snow to some of the higher elevations of Arizona, Colorado and Utah. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - A powerful low pressure system over the Great Lakes Region continued to produce snow across parts of the Ohio Valley and the Great Lakes Region. Snowfall totals along the shore of Lake Superior reached 24 inches, with three feet of snow reported in the Porcupine Mountain area of Upper Michigan. Marquette MI established a November record with 17.3 inches of snow in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the south central and southeastern U.S. Nine cities from Florida to Oklahoma and Texas reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 80s. The high of 89 degrees at the Dallas/Fort Worth Airport in Texas equalled their record for November. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

2005 - Severe thunderstorms produced a deadly tornado near Evansville, Indiana during the early morning hours of November 6. There were 23 fatalities from the tornado, with 19 of the deaths occurring in the Eastbrook Mobile Home Park located just to the southeast of the city (Associated Press). It was Indiana's deadliest tornado since the Super Outbreak on April 3, 1974.

 

2005: The deadliest tornado to strike Indiana since April 3rd, 1974, occurred around 2 am. A single F3 tornado inflicted 24 fatalities, 238 injuries, and nearly 90 million dollars in damage with a path length of 41 miles. This storm moved in a northeasterly direction from just north of Smith Mills, Kentucky, to Gentryville, Indiana, and crossed the Ohio River three times. Most of the damage occurred as the tornado passed southeast of the city of Evansville, Indiana. 

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