November 2024

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Short-lived but pouring at the moment

Same here

[SACRUS]

 

50 / 49 light rain moving through.    Warmest day of at least the next week to 10 days and likely beyond.    Next chance of rain Thursday with a moderate rainfall around one inch for most.   Colder starting Thanksgiving weekend and through the first 7 - 10 days of December.  Coldest Dec opening since 2010 being forecast, peaking Dec 2 - 7 as of current forecasts.  

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 68 (2011)
NYC: 67 (1946)
LGA: 67 (2020)
JFK: 66 (2020)


Lows:

EWR: 15 (1938)
NYC: 16 (1938)
LGA: 24 (1940)
JFK: 24 (1993)

 

Historical:

 

 

1888 - A late season hurricane brushed the East Coast with heavy rain and gale force winds. The hurricane passed inside Nantucket and over Cape Cod, then crossed Nova Scotia. (David Ludlum)

1896 - Snow and high winds hit the Northern Plains and the Upper Mississippi Valley, with a Thanksgiving Day blizzard across North Dakota. The storm was followed by a severe cold wave in the Upper Midwest. The temperature at Pokegama Dam MI plunged to 45 degrees below zero. (David Ludlum)

1987 - A Thanksgiving Day storm in the northeastern U.S. produced heavy snow in northern New England and upstate New York. Snowfall totals in Maine ranged up to twenty inches at Flagstaff Lake. Totals in New Hampshire ranged up to 18 inches at Errol. Gales lashed the coast of Maine and New Hampshire. A second storm, over the Southern and Central Rockies, produced nine inches of snow at Kanosh UT, and 13 inches at Divide CO, with five inches reported at Denver CO. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Central Gulf Coast States during the late morning and afternoon hours. Five tornadoes were reported in Mississippi, with the tornadoes causing a million dollars damage at Ruleville, and in Warren County. In Utah, the town of Alta was blanketed with 15 inches of snow overnight, and during the day was buried under another 16.5 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - A massive storm over the western U.S. produced heavy snow in Utah, Colorado, Wyoming and Montana. The storm produced more than two feet of snow in the higher elevations of northern and central Utah, bringing more than sixty inches of snow to the Alta Ski Resort in the Wasatch Mountains. Winds in Utah gusted to 60 mph at Bullfrog. The storm brought much needed snow to the ski resorts of Colorado, with 19 inches reported at Beaver Creek. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 

 

[SnowGoose69]

59 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Look like phases 1/2 as we start January, albeit not too strong of a wave. I think Ninas typically are colder December into the first half of January?

This looks like it will fail to reach Nina territory anyway.  We might get to -0.5 briefly some time mid to late December but it could easily stay neutral the rest of the way.  We have very little track record in recent years in the new climo of a neutral after Nino.  92-93 and 03-04 are the only things close and both were neutral warm while this is neutral cold.  80-81 was really the last neutral cold following a nino

[EastonSN+]

16 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

This looks like it will fail to reach Nina territory anyway.  We might get to -0.5 briefly some time mid to late December but it could easily stay neutral the rest of the way.  We have very little track record in recent years in the new climo of a neutral after Nino.  92-93 and 03-04 are the only things close and both were neutral warm while this is neutral cold.  80-81 was really the last neutral cold following a nino

80/81 was not terrible snowfall wise with CPK at 19.4 inches. Not sure what the temps were like wrt above or below average.

[Stormlover74]

14 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

80/81 was not terrible snowfall wise with CPK at 19.4 inches. Not sure what the temps were like wrt above or below average.

These days most would take that. I think there was a good storm in March that year 

[donsutherland1]

44 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

80/81 was not terrible snowfall wise with CPK at 19.4 inches. Not sure what the temps were like wrt above or below average.

It was a cold winter. The highlight was late December into early January, which featured extreme cold. NYC saw the temperature fall to -1° on December 25th.

[EastonSN+]

30 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

These days most would take that. I think there was a good storm in March that year 

I was thinking, if the issue was suppression that year then add in more of a SE ridge and we could be off to the races.

[EastonSN+]

2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

It was a cold winter. The highlight was late December into early January, which featured extreme cold. NYC saw the temperature fall to -1° on December 25th.

I wonder if the more persistent SE ridge these days would yield better results wrt snowfall avoiding suppression. 

[FPizz]

2 hours ago, BlizzLuv said:

Just heard thunder. Seemed odd, I have not heard that much in the past months.

I heard that as well here.  .12" total rain

[SACRUS]

 

0.17 in the bucket here.  Looks just about over, some clearing and breaks in the clouds working into C/E PA

 

[IrishRob17]

.38" thru the tipper, bringing my monthly total to 3.34". So after two well below normal months I'm back to an above normal month, albeit slightly at the moment as my November average is 3.04". 

[bluewave]

Top 5 warmest fall for many spots across the region through the 24th.

 

[SACRUS]

 

 

Sunday potentially the coldest day since Feb 17th as Dec opens below normal with cold not seen since 2010 for the first 7 - 10 days as currently forecast.

[brooklynwx99]

could be the inklings of something mildly interesting. very nice +PNA ridge out west with a vort diving in from the Upper Midwest. probably nothing all that crazy but it's very cold leading in and can potentially redevelop

[MJO812]

Looking like clippers for the foreseeable future. 

[wishcast_hater]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Looking like clippers for the foreseeable future. 

Alberta Clippers....totally 80s retro man.

[steve392]

1/4" in the gauge today.  Suns coming out. Turing out to be decent. 

[Evie3]

3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

It was a cold winter. The highlight was late December into early January, which featured extreme cold. NYC saw the temperature fall to -1° on December 25th.

I remember that well, we were visiting my children's godparents in Manassas, VA (a suburb of DC) over that holiday and their forced hot air HVAC system was running full blast but it could not keep up, I guess those houses weren't designed to deal with temps below zero.  On one particularly frigid night we all went to bed bundled up in our ski jackets lol.  By the time we were back home I had caught a cold from one of my sons that developed into walking pneumonia.  Hopefully this won't be as severe as that was....

[Dark Star]

7 minutes ago, steve392 said:

1/4" in the gauge today.  Suns coming out. Turing out to be decent. 

Looks like only 0.15" in Newark, with the temperature at 59 degrees...

[bluewave]

27 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Looking like clippers for the foreseeable future. 

Nice pattern for lake effect snow.

 

[MJO812]

7 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Nice pattern for lake effect snow.

 

They are going to get crushed 

[bluewave]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

They are going to get crushed 

While the record warm lakes will modify the air mass when it gets to our area, it’s a great set up for heavy lake effect snow.

 

 

[North and West]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

 

Sunday potentially the coldest day since Feb 17th as Dec opens below normal with cold not seen since 2010 for the first 7 - 10 days as currently forecast.

What are the parlays on December finishing above normal regardless?

[SACRUS]

 

Up to 62 - likely the warmest through at least Dec 12th and perhaps beyond.

 

 

[MANDA]

25 minutes ago, bluewave said:

While the record warm lakes will modify the air mass when it gets to our area, it’s a great set up for heavy lake effect snow.

 

 

I'll take the over on some spots getting 36".

[Stormlover74]

Time to start the December thread. Who's feeling lucky? I think Walt should do it or maybe @snowman19

[cleetussnow]

56 minutes ago, bluewave said:

While the record warm lakes will modify the air mass when it gets to our area, it’s a great set up for heavy lake effect snow.

 

 

Lake Erie will be fun but Ontario will put up bigger numbers IMO in this setup.

[bluewave]

8 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Lake Erie will be fun but Ontario will put up bigger numbers IMO in this setup.

The Tug Hill may have a small edge but it could be impressive for both locations.

[weathermedic]

.41 in the bucket today. Monthly total of 2.77 so far. More to come on Turkey Day.