November 2024

[FPizz]

8 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

The sun appears to have been obscured by dark grey objects in the sky and I observed some small water droplets falling to the earth, apparently from these grey objects. Can anyone explain these strange observations?

Haha, the ground actually got wet here.  Clear skies though are only a few minutes away though   

[Allsnow]

 

[Uniblab]

9 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Haha, the ground actually got wet here.  Clear skies though are only a few minutes away though   

I felt a drop on my head before, had to make sure it wasn't bird poop. 

[Picard]

A few raindrops on the car on my way to work.  Not even enough to turn on the windshield wipers.  I wonder if they still work.
The long range for rain around, say within 200 miles, gives me a little hope.  Previous runs didn't even have that.  So it's getting ever so slightly closer.  I can hope.

[bluewave]

39 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

 

We are going to need a big reversal of this dry pattern mid to late month in order to avoid the driest fall since 2001.

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Sep through Nov
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2024	0.77	30
2	1922	2.37	0
3	1879	2.91	0
4	1915	3.66	0
5	2001	3.97	0
6	1884	4.05	0
7	1871	4.09	61
8	1914	4.14	0
9	1908	4.27	0
10	1990	4.56	0

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Sep through Nov
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2024	0.36	30
2	1965	3.31	0
3	2001	4.02	0
4	2013	4.86	0
5	1973	5.38	0
6	1998	5.96	0
7	1982	6.34	0
8	2007	6.50	0
9	1967	6.56	0
10	1994	7.42	0

 

[Allsnow]

Just now, bluewave said:

We are going to need a big reversal of this dry pattern mid to late month in order to avoid the driest fall since 2001.

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) - Sep through Nov
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2024	0.77	30
2	1922	2.37	0
3	1879	2.91	0
4	1915	3.66	0
5	2001	3.97	0
6	1884	4.05	0
7	1871	4.09	61
8	1914	4.14	0
9	1908	4.27	0
10	1990	4.56	0

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Sep through Nov
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2024	0.36	30
2	1965	3.31	0
3	2001	4.02	0
4	2013	4.86	0
5	1973	5.38	0
6	1998	5.96	0
7	1982	6.34	0
8	2007	6.50	0
9	1967	6.56	0
10	1994	7.42	0

 

Meanwhile the only place in the country that still can get snow consistently 

 

 

[bluewave]

5 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Meanwhile the only place in the country that still can get snow consistently 

 

 

Yeah, this +EPO pattern has been on steroids. We have about 5 weeks to see if a wetter pattern can emerge by early December. Nobody wants to see a repeat of the 01-02 dry pattern which ran from the fall of 01 into the summer of 02.

[kat5hurricane]

4 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

Riding around with the car window open before dawn, incredible. 

Walking outside at 11pm on Halloween in shorts and short sleeves is not something I had on my Bingo Card. It feels nice but is also very unsettling in the same token.

[Stormlover74]

11 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

Walking outside at 11pm on Halloween in shorts and short sleeves is not something I had on my Bingo Card. It feels nice but is also very unsettling in the same token.

Might be able to do it again on Wednesday 

[the_other_guy]

another nice cool August day.

Because I have a newborn, I was up at 4 AM and had to run out to the car. I think it was still like 64°.

un fucking real

[winterwarlock]

its loverly outside

[Brian5671]

Nice not having to run heat this time of year.  (and no AC here-windows open instead)

[winterwx21]

78 degrees here. I was just outside doing leaf cleanup before I leave for bow hunting, and it felt like I was working in early September out there instead of early November. All sweated up. Crazy. Leaves have been really coming down quickly too. It was a nice fall foliage season, but a short one due to the drought. A lot of bare trees already. 

At least we're gonna have a nice cool weekend before the next torch next week. 80 degrees again Tuesday and Wednesday. 

[steve392]

Had some rain early in am.  Now it's just absolutely gorgeous out.  Only downside is all the brush fires I keep reading about that are popping up all over nnj. 

[bluewave]

First time that Newark had 5 days reaching 80° or warmer after October 20th.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2024-12-31	5	61
2	1979-12-31	3	0
-	1950-12-31	3	0
-	1947-12-31	3	0
3	2023-12-31	2	0
-	1963-12-31	2	0
-	1946-12-31	2	0

[the_other_guy]

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

Nice not having to run heat this time of year.  (and no AC here-windows open instead)

I had the air on yesterday. I had like six people in the house. I couldn’t take the heat.

[Stormlover74]

Wind is still gusting above 35 mph 

[SnoSki14]

4 hours ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, this +EPO pattern has been on steroids. We have about 5 weeks to see if a wetter pattern can emerge by early December. Nobody wants to see a repeat of the 01-02 dry pattern which ran from the fall of 01 into the summer of 02.

That's what it's looking like according to seasonal models. 

Things are going to be very bad soon. 

[snowman19]

18 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

That's what it's looking like according to seasonal models. 

Things are going to be very bad soon. 

If the new EPS is correct we go into a torch-a-rama pattern come mid-month. Massive -PNA trough into the west, +NAO, +AO, +EPO and the SE ridge goes bonkers

[lee59]

Hit 80 here today, wind gusting close to 30

[donsutherland1]

November started off with near record and record warmth. Records included:

Bangor: 73° (old record: 71°, 1971 and 2003)
Boston: 79° (old record: 77°, 1974
Bridgeport: 81° (old record: 71°, 2019) ***new monthly record***
Hartford: 84° (old record: 81°, 1974) ***new monthly record***
Islip: 80° (old record: 77°, 1982) *** tied monthly record***
New York City-JFK Airport: 82° (old record: 80°, 1950) ***new monthly record***
Portland: 74° (tied record set in 1974 and tied in 2003)
Providence: 80°(old record: 78°, 1974)
Worcester: 77° (old record: 73°, 2003)

A cooler air mass is now overspreading the region. During the weekend, highs will generally be in the middle and upper 50s. Lows in New York City will be in the 40s with some 30s outside the City.

Today is Philadelphia's 34th consecutive day with no measurable precipitation. The old record of 29 days was set during October 11 through November 8, 1874.

The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer outcome is favored by the October run of the C3S multi-model forecast for Winter 2024-2025.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around October 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late fall.

The SOI was +3.37 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.449 today.

 

[kat5hurricane]

5 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Might be able to do it again on Wednesday 

Lunacy but this is an era when we've had 80 in February so we might be entering "new normal" territory with occasional 80+ in November.

[Allsnow]

 

[psv88]

81 today 

[Cfa]

80/62 today, very June-like but with low humidity. Fire department was in different spots along the edge of the woods near me earlier, wouldn’t be surprised if something was on fire there given how dry it’s been.

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 85 (1950)
NYC: 84 (1950)
LGA: 83 (1950)
JFK: 77 (1982)


Lows:

EWR: 31 (1954)
NYC: 30 (1885)
LGA: 37 (1976)
JFK: 36 (1983)


Historical:

 

 

1848: When Joseph Henry came to the Smithsonian, one of his priorities was to set up a meteorological program. In 1847, while outlining his plan for the new institution, Henry called for "a system of extended meteorological observations for solving American storms." On November 1st, 1848, Joseph Henry and Navy meteorologist James Espy wrote a letter urging anyone interested in becoming a weather observer to signify their willingness to do so. By 1849, he had budgeted $1,000 for the Smithsonian meteorological project and established a network of some 150 volunteer weather observers. A decade later, the project had more than 600 volunteer observers, including people in Canada, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. Its cost in 1860 was $4,400, or thirty percent of the Smithsonian's research and publication budget. 

1861 - A hurricane near Cape Hatteras, NC, battered a Union fleet of ships attacking Carolina ports, and produced high tides and high winds in New York State and New England. (David Ludlum)

 

1870: United States Army Signal Corps observers at 24 sites around the country simultaneously made weather reports and transmitted them to Washington, where a national weather map would be drawn. These simultaneous reports also started the process of sending out weather reports by telegraph to metropolitan newspapers. This would be the beginning of our present-day National Weather Service.

1966 - Santa Anna winds fanned fires, and brought record November heat to parts of coastal California. November records included 86 degrees at San Francisco, 97 degrees at San Diego, and 101 degrees at the International airport in Los Angeles. Fires claimed the lives of at least sixteen firefighters. (The Weather Channel)

1968 - A tornado touched down west of Winslow, AZ, but did little damage in an uninhabited area. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Early morning thunderstorms in central Arizona produced hail an inch in diameter at Williams and Gila Bend, and drenched Payson with 1.86 inches of rain. Hannagan Meadows AZ, meanwhile, was blanketed with three inches of snow. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the Ohio Valley. Afternoon highs of 76 degrees at Beckley WV, 77 degrees at Bluefield WV, and 83 degrees at Lexington KY were records for the month of November. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Low pressure brought gales and locally heavy rain to the northeastern U.S. The rainfall total of 1.46 inches at Newark NJ was a record for the date. New York City was soaked with more than two inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - A strong cold front ushered snow and arctic air into the north central U.S. Snow whitened North Dakota and the Central High Plains Region. Up to five inches of snow blanketed Denver CO. Yellowstone Park WY was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 4 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

2014: Up to 6 inches of snow fell in Gilbert, South Carolina. 

[SACRUS]

 

Highs:

EWR: 82
TEB: 82
JFK: 82
PHL: 81
LGA: 81
TTN: 80
ISP: 80
New Brnswck: 80
ACY: 79
BLM: 79
NYC: 79

[Picard]

Big ass wildfire burning in Rockaway, up Green Pond Road towards 23.  

[MJO812]

80 here today in Providence, Rhode Island which is a record high.

 53 right now

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, Picard said:

Big ass wildfire burning in Rockaway, up Green Pond Road towards 23.  

We've seen several 100+ acre fires pop up lately.