November 2024

[lee59]

Wind seems to be slacking off now but did gust to 30mph. Looks like tomorrow night I have a chance for my first frost and or freeze.

[MJO812]

Brush Fire in Prospect Park
 2 alarm

[Stormlover74]

Icon way south for next week

[rclab]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Brush Fire in Prospect Park
 2 alarm

Photo of Prisoect Park brush fire from the ‘Patch’. As always ….

 

[the_other_guy]

7 hours ago, psv88 said:

Some of the years we had warm winters but a few big storms to pad the numbers. 2016 comes to mind. Overall it’s been pretty warm with limited lasting snowpack like we had 2000-2014

In 2 decades we became Boston, then Denver, and now DC

 

Yea!

[cardinalland]

4 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

In 2 decades we became Boston, then Denver, and now DC

 

Yea!

this month, you could say San Diego!

It's funny how almost every storm this month seems to be crossing our longitude at 50+N. We've gotten a cutter or two but I wonder when we'll get our first apps runner/coastal/clipper... anyways next couple weeks seem to be continuing with the "cuts so far it's off the map" theme

[SRRTA22]

In my opinion, there's signal for a big storm thanksgiving week. It'll probably turn into nothing but I think the signal warrants a thread of it's still there by 11/15. 

[cardinalland]

4 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said:

In my opinion, there's signal for a big storm thanksgiving week. It'll probably turn into nothing but I think the signal warrants a thread of it's still there by 11/15. 

i'm assuming the week before thanksgiving around 11/21? could see some kind of east coast storm action with a -NAO/-AO/neutral-ish PNA

[SRRTA22]

1 hour ago, rclab said:

Photo of Prisoect Park brush fire from the ‘Patch’. As always ….

 

I smell the wildfire now in Manhattan, strongest smoke smell since 2023

[Gravity Wave]

1 hour ago, SRRTA22 said:

I smell the wildfire now in Manhattan, strongest smoke smell since 2023

I've been smelling it for over an hour here.

[bluewave]

At least we get some showers Sunday night before most of the rainfall with the system later next week probably misses to our east.

 

 

[ILoveWinter]

6 hours ago, SRRTA22 said:

I smell the wildfire now in Manhattan, strongest smoke smell since 2023

Yea pretty strong here in the UWS. Shades of June '23.

[SACRUS]

45 / 22 off a low of 39.  Mid / upper 50s today.  Cloudy and showers , light rain Sun night, first rainfall since Sep 28 for many 0.25 - 0.40.  Overall near to slightly above normal this coming week.  Rain chances later in the week Thu / Fri could be diminishing with next longer range trough pushing in towards the 18th which could lead to a below normal period into / through the 24th.

 

[SACRUS]

 

Trough West, ridge into the east , trough off the NE 

 

[SACRUS]

 

Much if this is now Sunday night - Mon with the THu - Fri rain trending offshore NE

 

[Allsnow]

13 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Trough West, ridge into the east , trough off the NE 

 

Our typical winter pattern 

[SRRTA22]

1 hour ago, ILoveWinter said:

Yea pretty strong here in the UWS. Shades of June '23.

I still smell it now back home in jersey city. We need rain BAD

[TWCCraig]

Couple fires in NJ sending a smoke plume over Manhattan

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 77 (2020)
NYC: 75 (2020)
LGA: 78 (2020)
JFK: 74 (2020)



Lows:

EWR: 23 (1976)
NYC: 24 (1976)
LGA: 27 (1971)
JFK: 25 (2019)


Historical:

 

1864: On Election Night, a violent tornado strikes a ferry on the Mississippi River near Chester, Illinois, blowing away all but the hull. The boiler and engines are found up the bluff. Half of Chester was destroyed, and twenty died during the storm.

1913 - The freshwater fury , a rapidly deepening cyclone, caused unpredicted gales on the Great Lakes. Eight large ore carriers on Lake Erie sank drowning 270 sailors. Cleveland OH reported 17.4 inches of snow in 24 hours, and a total of 22.2 inches, both all-time records for that location. During the storm, winds at Cleveland averaged 50 mph, with gusts to 79 mph. The storm produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Buffalo NY, and buried Pickens WV under three feet of snow. (9th-11th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1926 - A tornado in Charles County of southern Maryland killed seventeen persons. (The Weather Channel)

 

1926: An estimated F3 to F4 tornado tore through La Plata, Maryland, killing 14 individuals at a small school. This storm caused 17 deaths and injured 65 others. 

1982 - Seven tornadoes touched down in southern California, three of which began as waterspouts. The waterspouts moved ashore at Point Mugu, Malibu, and Long Beach. The Long Beach tornado traveled inland ten miles causing much damage. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Showers and gusty winds associated with a cold front helped extinguish forest fires in the Appalachian Region and clear out smoke in the eastern U.S. Thunderstorms produced locally heavy rains from eastern Texas to the Tennessee Valley. Longview TX received 3.12 inches of rain, including two inches in two hours, Tupelo MS was soaked with 2.80 inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a strong cold front produced severe weather from eastern Oklahoma to central Indiana. Hail more than two inches in diameter was reported around Tulsa OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - High winds prevailed along the eastern slopes of the Rockies from the afternoon of the 8th into the early morning hours of the 9th. Winds of 50 to 80 mph prevailed across the northwest chinook area of Wyoming, with gusts to 100 mph. Winds in Colorado gusted to 97 mph at Fritz Peak (located near Rollinsville) the evening of the 8th, and early in the morning on the 9th, gusted to 78 mph west of Fort Collins. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1996 - The Veteran's Day storm of November 9-14, 1996 may be the most severe early season lake effect snow (LES) storm the Great Lakes has witnessed in the past fifty years. At the height of the storm, over 160,000 customers were without power in Greater Cleveland alone, as the storm produced isolated snowfall tallies approaching 70 . As usual with these LES events, the Veteran's Day storm battered snowbelt communities downwind of each of the Great Lakes while nearby towns went unscathed. (University of Illimois WW2010)

[dWave]

6 hours ago, Gravity Wave said:

I've been smelling it for over an hour here.

Some of that may be from the Palasades fire in NJ. The wind was due west earlier sending the smell straight across the Hudson into Riverdale, Bx and beyond. Wind went more NW later and the smell went SW towards Central Park, LIC etc.

[Rwes1]

I lurk more than I post but figured I’d share. Significant brush fire broke out last night on the bluffs just behind my parents place in Baiting Hollow. Fire departments still working to contain.

Edit: As of 10:15am fire is mostly contained. Thanks to all departments who assisted on this call. 
 

https://riverheadlocal.com/2024/11/09/firefighters-from-over-a-dozen-departments-battle-large-brush-fire-on-li-sound-in-baiting-hollow-saturday-morning/

[snowman19]

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

At least we get some showers Sunday night before most of the rainfall with the system later next week probably misses to our east.


 

 

Tomorrow into Monday has underperformer written all over it, the models have backed way off from what they were showing a few days ago. These dry feedback patterns are very difficult to break once they are in place. And yea, late next week looks like a miss. Once again, the SE ridge is hooking up to a south based -NAO. The never ending cycle. The EPS was never on board for a wet pattern on the east coast the next 15 days which was a big red flag

 

 

 

 

[bluewave]

29 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Tomorrow into Monday has underperformer written all over it, the models have backed way off from what they were showing a few days ago. These dry feedback patterns are very difficult to break once they are in place. And yea, late next week looks like a miss. Once again, the SE ridge is hooking up to a south based -NAO. The never ending cycle. The EPS was never on board for a wet pattern on the east coast the next 15 days which was a big red flag

 

 

 

 

We are lucky this is happening during the fall and not the summer. Had this pattern started back in May or June places like Newark could have seen the first year with 10 days reaching 100°.They tried to make a run on 10 days back in 2022 but the rains came in time to interrupt the dry pattern. 

 

[lee59]

Looks like next week trending a little cooler. Monday still looks mild.

[Stormlover74]

Canadian would be a nice .5" but at this point I'd settle for a tenth.

[the_other_guy]

2 hours ago, Rwes1 said:

I lurk more than I post but figured I’d share. Significant brush fire broke out last night on the bluffs just behind my parents place in Baiting Hollow. Fire departments still working to contain.

Edit: As of 10:15am fire is mostly contained. Thanks to all departments who assisted on this call. 
 

https://riverheadlocal.com/2024/11/09/firefighters-from-over-a-dozen-departments-battle-large-brush-fire-on-li-sound-in-baiting-hollow-saturday-morning/

Back in mid 90s that area of Suffolk really burned off the William Floyd and 27. Lot more houses now in those woods…if it ever happened again, there would be lots of structural damage

[MJO812]

The smoke smell is strong this morning outside in Brooklyn. 

[snowman19]

55 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Canadian would be a nice .5" but at this point I'd settle for a tenth.

The new National blend of models is showing around 0.3 area wide which seems reasonable. Better than nothing I guess. But it’s all going to get vaporized once the sun comes out and winds pick up on Monday. I don’t think it does much if anything to mitigate the fire threat and it’s obviously not going to come close to touching the drought. Looks like a total miss now for late next week

[Allsnow]

[Allsnow]

19 inches at Denver