Allsnow Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Over an inch now of rain which is my biggest rain event since July. Radar says their is more to come 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Per radar reflectivity, it looks like snow is mixing in elevated Sussex and Warren and should be increasing over the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Mt Pocono down to 32 with this more intense snow coming in. Should be a fun night there. Already at 530PM 1" of wet snow on the ground... and a little less on driveway at Mt Cobb, Exit 8 on I84. about 2000' elevation (Jefferson Township PA). Models are too slow in the higher elevations for snow depth CHANGE, which is what I use as a base. HRRR 3K NAM look good but am a little cautious because 12z EC nwas ot as robust as I'd like to see.---too much mixed snow sleet rain overnight in nw NJ. Temp here in Wantage at 537PM down to 37.4. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Maybe some flakes down here tomorrow. That would be a treat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 it looks like most of the metro will avoid the dry slot through the night 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Heavy rain here 47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Down to 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Record long extended dry spell ends at 52 days Sep 30 to Nov 20 (0.19"). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 34.5 and wet flakes mixing in with the rain. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 Now 34 degrees. Short video. 75392568105__EA20A638-27C7-4D41-BC5D-188D4DCBF212.MOV 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted November 21 Share Posted November 21 32.9 75392616265__37EAA636-BCE9-419F-8B3C-B3FBE4C51633.MOV 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Deck getting coated. 11 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Discussion New York City has seen its biggest rainfall since August 18th when 2.29" fell. Periods of rain will continue overnight and through much of tomorrow. The rain will likely end as a period of wet snow or flurries on Friday morning in the distant northern and western suburbs, especially hilly sections where some accumulations are possible. A heavy wet snowfall is likely in the higher elevations of the Catskills and Poconos. The departing storm will likely be followed by a period of below normal but not exceptionally cold temperatures. A stronger shot of cold could arrive to end the month or start December. The first week of December will likely feature generally below normal temperatures. The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer to much warmer than normal outcome is favored by the November run of the ECMWF for Winter 2024-2025. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around November 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.30°C. Neutral ENSO conditions may evolve into a La Niña event during the late fall. Uncertainty as to whether a La Niña will develop has increased. The SOI was +14.12 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.097 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 98% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 51.4° (3.4° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1.20 mod rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Saw a PHI FB report from near 1500' vicinity High Point NJ..snowing there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northwest NJ Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 37 Degrees in Hardyston Township, Sussex County, NJ. Still just plain rain at 600' elevation 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 29 minutes ago, MANDA said: Deck getting coated. You're 250 feet higher than me - could be an interesting event for both of us. I'm still at work, near Newton, with a cold, cold rain. Elevation here is 570 feet. I'll report back when I get home later. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Snowing at 900’ elevation in Sparta. Light coating on elevated surfaces.. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 All snow falling here at 1200'. 34° 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 22 Author Share Posted November 22 39 with moderate rain. Over 1.5" on the day now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Mt Pocono 1N report of 1.3" on the ground at 7P per PHI FB and their posted storm report. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Morris County NJ.. several reports of snow or snow mixed w rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 from my sister in stanhope 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 22 Author Share Posted November 22 WWA end at 10am but euro keeps precip going all day until at least early evening. Would think that's mostly snow for those areas perhaps mixing back with rain in the afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 All but paved surfaces now a solid measurable coating. Sparta 900’ elevation.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 16 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 39 with moderate rain. Over 1.5" on the day now Hopefully we get this band a month from now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 New HRRR has snow on the N Shore, SW CT and Westchester. Here I doubt anything would accumulate but it’s a dynamic enough setup that there could be a burst at some point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: New HRRR has snow on the N Shore, SW CT and Westchester. Here I doubt anything would accumulate but it’s a dynamic enough setup that there could be a burst at some point. We'll take our mood flakes on the N Shore should it occur. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Snow falling. Starting to stick on paved driveway. 32.7° 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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