Dark Star Posted yesterday at 07:27 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:27 PM 4 hours ago, eduggs said: Overnight runs looked impressive for Sussex. Even into northern Morris and Orange. ECM, RGEM, GFS, HRDPS... Could be some surprised people up there if they wake up to saggy snow covered branches with some still leaf-covered trees. NWS Mt Holly is finally talking about the banding potential. If it sets up, someone is going to get pounded. Banding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted yesterday at 07:33 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:33 PM 13 minutes ago, jm1220 said: The beginnings of this deformation axis are starting now over NJ and will expand NE over time. 18z HRRR has 1-2” more precip especially I-80 and N. It could be quite heavy for a while especially northern areas. The loop back in from the Atlantic is like a much warmer version of 2-26-10. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 07:39 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:39 PM 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: The loop back in from the Atlantic is like a much warmer version of 2-26-10. I have about 1.1” now, hopefully another 0.9+ to make it over 2”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted yesterday at 07:45 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 07:45 PM 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: The loop back in from the Atlantic is like a much warmer version of 2-26-10. Precip is moving in about 4 different directions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted yesterday at 07:48 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:48 PM 14 minutes ago, bluewave said: The loop back in from the Atlantic is like a much warmer version of 2-26-10. yeah too bad this isn't in January 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted yesterday at 07:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:55 PM Sitting at just over 3/4 of an inch of rain today. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted yesterday at 08:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:10 PM Advisory now posted for NW NJ counties. Thinking 1 to maybe 3" especially non paved surfaces at my location just a tad above 1000'. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted yesterday at 08:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:10 PM 42f w/ 0.80” so far expecting 1-2” additional Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted yesterday at 08:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:12 PM 1 minute ago, MANDA said: Watch now posted for NW NJ counties. Thinking 1 to maybe 3" especially non paved surfaces at my location just a tad above 1000'. What are the tan areas by Passaic county? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted yesterday at 08:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:14 PM 3 minutes ago, MANDA said: Watch now posted for NW NJ counties. Thinking 1 to maybe 3" especially non paved surfaces at my location just a tad above 1000'. Advisory not a Watch. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted yesterday at 08:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:15 PM 2 minutes ago, steve392 said: What are the tan areas by Passaic county? Hazardous Weather Outlook issued by NWS Upton. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted yesterday at 08:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:22 PM 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: Radar starting to fill in Yup it’s exploding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted yesterday at 08:29 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:29 PM 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted yesterday at 08:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:30 PM The HRRR keeps printing out good (wintry) runs for Orange county. The elevated western parts of the county are obviously in a good spot, but even the Rt 94 corridor looks like it could pick up a few inches. Maybe plowable in some spots. Elevated Putnam, Rockland, and even Westchester has a shot at some accumulation too if the meso models are to be believed. Hopefully at least flakes in the air for many on Friday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted yesterday at 08:39 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:39 PM 24 minutes ago, MGorse said: Advisory not a Watch. Yes, sorry. My mistake. Fixed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted yesterday at 08:47 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 08:47 PM Hrrr has flakes flying tomorrow morning down to just west of the city 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted yesterday at 08:48 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:48 PM Euro showing a rainstorm for the day after Thanksgiving. Obviously everything has to come to together just right for the coast to see a snowstorm in late November, especially when you don't have a very cold airmass in place. Most likely rain, but we'll keep an eye on it. One thing for sure is it's going to be a cold pattern after that storm. We'll probably have some days that don't make it out of the 30s. We can hope that sets us up for a snow event in early December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted yesterday at 08:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:52 PM 7 hours ago, snywx said: What’s your take for Orange County from Middletown westward along I-84? Modeling has trended colder for tonight Sleet rain snow mix over to accumulative snow overnight. Haven’t seen 12Z ec positive snow depth change. Have to think slippery and plow able even down to 800’. Heading home from work now. Should be getting slippery in Poconos now above 1800 feet. Nice backside band developing in radar e central pa western nj. Should be our sleet snow changer thus evening 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted yesterday at 08:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:53 PM All of a sudden the winds picked up and temp dropped 3 degrees. Down to 38. Could get a little interesting even here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted yesterday at 08:58 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:58 PM Down to 38 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted yesterday at 08:58 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:58 PM 5 hours ago, eduggs said: If it happens, it shouldn't be a surprise since even us amateurs have been talking about potential snow in that area for days. And multi-model guidance has been steadfastedly highlighting the potential. But it's been so long since we've had rain, much less snow, it will seem like a surprise no matter what. Been modeled by many models for two days. We’ll see what happens. Elevations good for sccum, sleet could rob 1-3” of potential snow accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted yesterday at 09:01 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:01 PM 3 hours ago, snywx said: Yeah.. 2 mile drive up rt 6 and you are at 1300’ El Patron. Good Mexican food. They should accumulate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 09:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:02 PM 9 minutes ago, wdrag said: Sleet rain snow mix over to accumulative snow overnight. Haven’t seen 12Z ec positive snow depth change. Have to think slippery and plow able even down to 800’. Heading home from work now. Should be getting slippery in Poconos now above 1800 feet. Nice backside band developing in radar e central pa western nj. Should be our sleet snow changer thus evening Mt Pocono down to 32 with this more intense snow coming in. Should be a fun night there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted yesterday at 09:05 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:05 PM lol WWA here not expecting anything but seeing flakes fly would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted yesterday at 09:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:10 PM My weather app is excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 09:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:15 PM 26 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Euro showing a rainstorm for the day after Thanksgiving. Obviously everything has to come to together just right for the coast to see a snowstorm in late November, especially when you don't have a very cold airmass in place. Most likely rain, but we'll keep an eye on it. One thing for sure is it's going to be a cold pattern after that storm. We'll probably have some days that don't make it out of the 30s. We can hope that sets us up for a snow event in early December. Euro AI is way flatter and colder than the euro op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted yesterday at 09:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:44 PM 55 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Euro showing a rainstorm for the day after Thanksgiving. Obviously everything has to come to together just right for the coast to see a snowstorm in late November, especially when you don't have a very cold airmass in place. Most likely rain, but we'll keep an eye on it. One thing for sure is it's going to be a cold pattern after that storm. We'll probably have some days that don't make it out of the 30s. We can hope that sets us up for a snow event in early December. The pattern has finally flipped, let’s progress into December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Down to 36. Winds gusting to about 25 mph. Has been a steady drop in temps from 44 degrees about 2:00 earlier this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Picked up 1.36" of rain so far today. Current temp 43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Temp has dropped 5° in the last hr. Down to 37 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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