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about .76 here in this part of Wanrage at 6A. 41.5F  r/s mix in parts of e PA high terrain, Poconos west. 

 

We should in nw NJ high terrain start accumulating around 7-8P, and 1-3" high terrain by midnight... 

 

IF NOT, then my faith in modeling r/s boundaries is degraded. 06Z EC and 09z HRRR continue.  am still looking for 1" Newton and 4-6" by sunrise Friday Highland Lakes/HP high terrain stretches n SC.   Colder air seeping in...  has to be some slippery untreated roads tonight.  

Will be more difficult to accum on roads tomorrow at 32F but grass/trees should add more at time of heavier rates. 

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30 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

A week to go? It bares watching .

It’ll be a stormy pattern which should relieve the drought, that’s about all we can take away at this point. Hopefully the western ridge and Aleutian ridge pointed near the pole work out, that would at least supply cold air. 

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17 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

It’ll be a stormy pattern which should relieve the drought, that’s about all we can take away at this point. Hopefully the western ridge and Aleutian ridge pointed near the pole work out, that would at least supply cold air. 

If there is cold air to be supplied.  I recall most of the cold air was on the other side of the pole 2 weeks ago.  

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1 hour ago, wdrag said:

about .76 here in this part of Wanrage at 6A. 41.5F  r/s mix in parts of e PA high terrain, Poconos west. 

 

We should in nw NJ high terrain start accumulating around 7-8P, and 1-3" high terrain by midnight... 

 

IF NOT, then my faith in modeling r/s boundaries is degraded. 06Z EC and 09z HRRR continue.  am still looking for 1" Newton and 4-6" by sunrise Friday Highland Lakes/HP high terrain stretches n SC.   Colder air seeping in...  has to be some slippery untreated roads tonight.  

Will be more difficult to accum on roads tomorrow at 32F but grass/trees should add more at time of heavier rates. 

What’s your take for Orange County from Middletown westward along I-84? Modeling has trended colder for tonight 

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48 / 45 1.02 in the bucket.  Looks like another round of steady rain later this pm adding an additional 0.50 - 1.00, clearing out by Sat morning.  Colder week ahead.  Track next potential sizeable storm and rainfall towards good Friday.

 

NORTHEAST_loop.gif?refreshed=17321579056

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8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

That and we are on the edge of climo for snow.  November averages something like less than an inch.

Last week of Nov is absolutely snow climate. This week not so much.

Forget thanksgiving, it moves around every year.

Nov and March have strong cutoffs depending on week

Last week of Nov…watch it

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6 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Last week of Nov is absolutely snow climate. This week not so much.

Forget thanksgiving, it moves around every year.

Nov and March have strong cutoffs depending on week

Last week of Nov…watch it

I'd agree with that.  I always said Thanksgiving was when you could start looking for frozen events....(but that was in colder times LOL)

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