FPizz Posted Wednesday at 01:52 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:52 PM 56 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Fail once again. Stopped at 34 last night Wow, 26.8 here. Metuchen getting those Newark temps now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 01:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:58 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:26 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Wednesday at 02:32 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:32 PM 38 here No freeze yet here this year Did you ever move?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 02:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:33 PM Painful miss opportunity 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Wednesday at 02:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:33 PM . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted Wednesday at 02:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:34 PM 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This was an interesting reply he posted, we shall see… 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted Wednesday at 02:37 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:37 PM 1 hour ago, SACRUS said: What should become Sara is currently tracked to impact S Florida next week 11/20 - 11/21 Oh man... I dated a Sara, someone is about to have their lives wrecked haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted Wednesday at 02:38 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:38 PM 3 minutes ago, uofmiami said: This was an interesting reply he posted, we shall see… Someone needs more followers so is attracting weenies... Guess time will tell, but I am not seeing a snowy winter unless we get a huge storm that melts within a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 02:53 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:53 PM 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 02:53 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:53 PM 20 minutes ago, North and West said: Did you ever move? . Yes but still in Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 03:12 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:12 PM 1 hour ago, FPizz said: Wow, 26.8 here. Metuchen getting those Newark temps now Won’t make it tonight either Clear for tonight, and with winds probably decoupling inland with light to calm winds, good radiational cooling conditions. Mixed low levels should however limit radiational cooling for the NYC/NJ metro where the growing season continues, so not expecting much frost. Have decided to convert the Freeze Watch in southern Nassau County to a Warning with just enough coverage of freezing temperatures as cold air advection would be sufficient in spite of a mixed boundary layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 03:15 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:15 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted Wednesday at 03:19 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:19 PM 6 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Won’t make it tonight either Clear for tonight, and with winds probably decoupling inland with light to calm winds, good radiational cooling conditions. Mixed low levels should however limit radiational cooling for the NYC/NJ metro where the growing season continues, so not expecting much frost. Have decided to convert the Freeze Watch in southern Nassau County to a Warning with just enough coverage of freezing temperatures as cold air advection would be sufficient in spite of a mixed boundary layer. I guess I was just west enough last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted Wednesday at 03:22 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:22 PM Noticeable smell of smoke at the office in Basking Ridge; didn’t have it at home in Chester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Wednesday at 03:41 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:41 PM 47 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Sell DT and that map like its on fire. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Wednesday at 04:19 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:19 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 04:35 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:35 PM 15 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I'm going with a snowy winter for thr northeast. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Wednesday at 04:36 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 04:36 PM 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: gfs is cold(ish) and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Wednesday at 04:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:42 PM 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm going with a snowy winter for thr northeast. Look at where all the arctic air is, locked on the complete opposite side of the pole again, in Eurasia. And we are going into mid-November. Just like last year 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:56 PM 20 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: gfs is cold(ish) and dry Makes sense with the ULL trapped north of the lakes need that to move out for any precipitation chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Wednesday at 04:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:58 PM Look at where all the arctic air is, locked on the complete opposite side of the pole again, in Eurasia. And we are going into mid-November. Just like last yearAww, I sign back in after seven months and some things never change.. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Wednesday at 04:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:58 PM 15 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Look at where all the arctic air is, locked on the complete opposite side of the pole again, in Eurasia. And we are going into mid-November. Just like last year this doesn't look to be the case as we draw later into the month but we'll see how modeling does 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Wednesday at 04:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:58 PM 1 hour ago, FPizz said: I guess I was just west enough last night. I got down to 29 here last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Wednesday at 04:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:59 PM 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Makes sense with the ULL trapped north of the lakes need that to move out for any precipitation chance The tropical system ends up getting suppressed again like all of them since late August and the northern stream doesn’t have much moisture for us this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 05:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:00 PM Just now, bluewave said: The tropical system ends up getting suppressed again like all of them since late August and the northern stream doesn’t have much much moisture for us this run. Yup. Best chance for rain on the ensembles is 11/22. After that it might be a while until the ULL moves out north of the lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Wednesday at 05:05 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:05 PM 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yup. Best chance for rain on the ensembles is 11/22. After that it might be a while until the ULL moves out north of the lakes Just 9 short days away. Not going to see much snow regardless of temps with all the dryness around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:18 PM 12 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Just 9 short days away. Not going to see much snow regardless of temps with all the dryness around The lakes will cash in away from The immediate shoreline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Wednesday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:32 PM 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Wow, predicting normal snow around 30” for NYC. I’ll gladly eat my socks if that happens. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:34 PM 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Wow, predicting normal snow around 30” for NYC. I’ll gladly eat my socks if that happens. Agreed. Seems like they favor late December into January for snow/cold. February is a torch according to the outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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