November 2024

[Stormlover74]

39 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Allegedly a forest ranger was killed today at the brush fire in Greenwood Lake. Looking for confirmation. 

Killed by a falling tree apparently 

[IrishRob17]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Killed by a falling tree apparently 

Yeah, it's being shared by a number of sources, just looking the official announcement. Clearly it just sucks. 

[SACRUS]

 

Down to 38 jere.

[FPizz]

31 so far 

[Volcanic Winter]

32 here

[jm1220]

33 here. 

[LoboLeader1]

28 here in the Berks. 37 back home in HPN.

[psv88]

33

[Rjay]

Made it down to 32

[the_other_guy]

32F in westchester…finally

[Allsnow]

34 sigh 

[bluewave]

Just tied for the 5th latest freeze just east of the ASOS at HVN at 30.6° and the ASOS at 31.0°.

 

Frost/Freeze Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1949	04-11 (1949)	32	11-16 (1949)	31	218
2014	04-21 (2014)	30	11-15 (2014)	25	207
2022	04-05 (2022)	31	11-14 (2022)	29	222
1963	04-26 (1963)	31	11-13 (1963)	31	200
1956	05-09 (1956)	32	11-10 (2024)	31	184

[IrishRob17]

Forecast was 21, made it down to 26 for the low. 

[Allsnow]

Ensembles definitely hinting at some type of storm between 20-22nd 

[Brian5671]

Solid freeze here last night.  Hoping for .50 of rain tonight.

[MJO812]

50 here

[lee59]

Got down to the low 30s but no frost.

[FPizz]

27

[SACRUS]

 

 44 / 25 off a low of 29.  Clouds starting to roll in on what will deliver the first widespread rain (light rain) since Sep 28.  Warms up Mon to or near 70 before the next front and cooler period settles in Tue.  Shot at showers Thu but not too much forecast.  Overall near normal and dry continues through next weekend.   Deep front and trough moving through on 21 - 23 period in the beyond, with a colder close to the month.

 

[SACRUS]

 

Evolution to a colder close?

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 76 (2020)
NYC: 74 (2020)
LGA: 75 (2020)
JFK: 72 (1999)


Lows:

EWR: 25 (2017)
NYC: 25 (2017)
LGA: 27 (2017)
JFK: 25 (2017)

 

Historical:

 

1915 - An unusually late season tornado struck the central Kansas town of Great Bend killing eleven persons along its 35 mile track. The tornado destroyed 160 homes in Great Bend killing 11 persons and causing a million dollars damage. Hundreds of dead ducks dropped from the sky northeast of the track's end. (The Weather Channel)

1975 - Another freshwater fury hit the Great Lakes. A large ore carrier on Lake Superior, the Edmund Fitzgerald, sank near Crisp Point with the loss of its crew of 29 men. Eastern Upper Michigan and coastal Lower Michigan were hardest hit by the storm, which produced wind gusts to 71 at Sault Ste Marie MI, and gusts to 78 mph at Grand Rapids MI. Severe land and road erosion occurred along the Lake Michigan shoreline. A popular hit song by Gordon Lightfoot was inspired by the storm. (David Ludlum)

 

1975: The SS Edmund Fitzgerald sinks 17 miles northwest of Whitefish Point, at the northeastern tip of Michigan's Upper Peninsula on Lake Superior. While the sinking cause is unknown, strong winds and high waves likely played a significant role. The crew of 29 members was lost from this event.

1987 - A cold front brought snow to the Appalachian Region and freezing temperatures to the central U.S. Up to nine inches of snow blanketed Garrett County of extreme western Maryland. Freezing temperatures were reported as far south as El Paso TX and San Angelo TX. Gale force winds lashed the Middle Atlantic Coast and the coast of southern New England. Thunderstorms brought fire quenching rains to Alabama, and produced large hail and damaging winds to eastern North Carolina. Ahead of the cold front, seven cities in Florida and Georgia reported record high temperatures for the date as readings warmed into the 80s. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Strong winds circulating around a deep low pressure system in southeastern Ontario buffeted the northeastern U.S., with the Lower Great Lakes Region hardest hit. Winds in western New York State gusted to 68 mph at Buffalo, to 69 mph at Niagra Falls, and to 78 mph at Brockport. Four persons were injured at Rome NY when a tree was blown onto their car. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Strong southwesterly winds prevailed along the eastern slopes of the Rockies in Montana and Wyoming. Winds of 80 to 90 mph prevailed across the northwest chinook zone of Montana, with gusts to 112 mph. Unseasonably warm weather accompanied the high winds. Shortly after midnight the temperature at Kalispell, MT, reached a record 59 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Windy and wet weather prevailed across Washington State. Strong southerly winds gusted to 70 mph at Rattlesnake Ridge, near Hanford. Six rivers in western Washington State rose above flood stage between the 9th and the 11th of the month, following eight days of moderate to heavy rain. Rainfall over the western slopes of the Cascade Mountains between the 3rd and the 10th ranged from 14 to 24 inches. High freezing levels also caused the early snowpack to melt, adding to the runoff in the rain-swollen rivers. Damage was heaviest in Whatcom County, where the Nooksack River caused nearly six million dollars damage, mostly to roads and bridges. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2002 - Severe thunderstorms developed ahead of a strong cold front and produced a widespread outbreak of severe weather including many tornadoes. The worst tornado damage was concentrated in Ohio, Tennessee and Alabama. A tornado rated as F-4 on the Fujita Scale struck Van Wert county in Ohio. In Tennessee, the community of Mossy Grove was nearly destroyed by a mile-wide tornado that claimed 12 lives (ENS). A major outbreak of severe weather and tornadoes occurred across the U.S. Tennessee and Ohio valley region on November 10-11, 2002, producing damage in 13 states. A total of 75 tornadoes touched down on Sunday 10th, resulting in at least 36 deaths (ENS).

 

2002: The second-largest November tornado outbreak on record over the eastern United States occurred during the Veterans Day weekend of November 9-11th, 2002. Seventy-six tornadoes were reported in seventeen states. Of the 76 tornadoes, almost one out of every six was a killer, resulting in 36 fatalities.

[uofmiami]

29 in Muttontown & 31 in Syosset for the lows. 

[snowman19]

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

Evolution to a colder close?

 

That’s all PAC maritime air. Look at the vortex/Low over AK (+EPO). The arctic is completely cut off. All the -NAO block is doing is trapping the PAC air underneath it

[MANDA]

Summary on the dry September / October from State Climatology office at Rutgers:

https://www.njweather.org/content/bone-dry-october-2024-recap

[forkyfork]

i think raphael is the 4th gulf hurricane to give us nothing

[snowman19]

2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i think raphael is the 4th gulf hurricane to give us nothing

This fall is and has been finding every way possible not to rain. The new RGEM barely has anything for the metro area now and the late week “event” has turned into a nothing burger. 
 

12z RGEM: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024111012&fh=84&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

[Stormlover74]

12 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

This fall is and has been finding every way possible not to rain. The new RGEM barely has anything for the metro area now and the late week “event” has turned into a nothing burger. 
 

12z RGEM: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024111012&fh=84&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1

North of the city especially.  We might squeeze out a quarter inch south and west

[Volcanic Winter]

I’d really love to ditch the trough in the west look every time we happen to have a trough here, add that to the southeast ridge as something that’s given me serious weather trauma the past couple years. 

Really hoping to have a wintry Iceland trip in December, but they’ve been having some incredible warmth trapped under a major ridge. Some of the cams in the north are completely devoid of snow; when we toured the north in Nov 2022 it was like being in arctic tundra (everything I’ve ever wanted lol). 
 

[bluewave]

4 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Ensembles definitely hinting at some type of storm between 20-22nd 

Greenland blocking retrogressions in the past have usually resulted in storm systems in the East. But this dry pattern has been much more impressive than we have seen in a long time. Hopefully, we can get at least one storm system with over 1.00” of much needed rainfall before the fall ends.

[snowman19]

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Greenland blocking retrogressions in the past have usually resulted in storm systems in the East. But this dry pattern has been much more impressive than we have seen in a long time. Hopefully, we can get at least one storm system with over 1.00” of much needed rainfall before the fall ends.

Normally that’s completely true, but given how this entire fall (really since the end of August) has gone so far, would anyone actually be surprised if that doesn’t work out?