Daniel Boone Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 43 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah maybe, but seems like it could also be one of the -NAO/SE ridge equator to pole ridge beast thingy. Yeah, we've seen that often in recent Winter's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 12z GFS with snow chances for western and extreme northern part of our region into PA between the 18th and 22nd. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 35 minutes ago, CAPE said: Let’s save this for late Dec or Jan, mm aight? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 1 hour ago, Terpeast said: Let’s save this for late Dec or Jan, mm aight? Not likely going to verify anyway. I am just hoping for 'normal' temps for more than couple days in a week sometime this month. And multiple rain events. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not likely going to verify anyway. I am just hoping for 'normal' temps for more than couple days in a week sometime this month. And multiple rain events. Yes please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted November 8 Share Posted November 8 6 hours ago, Terpeast said: Yes please. Next run of the gfs will be a hurricane coming up the East Coast rather than snow on the 18th to the 22nd we just don't know yet? Soon though? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted November 8 Share Posted November 8 17 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said: Next run of the gfs will be a hurricane coming up the East Coast rather than snow on the 18th to the 22nd we just don't know yet? Soon though? Its close to a hurricane on the 19th then snow for western areas by the 21st!!!!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted November 8 Share Posted November 8 On 11/7/2024 at 1:03 PM, Terpeast said: Let’s save this for late Dec or Jan, mm aight? Listen, at this point I'll take a good ole fashioned noreaster in July if it just breaks up this most milquetoast stretch of weather I've seen in my life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 8 Share Posted November 8 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted November 9 Share Posted November 9 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: So it’ll collapse on modeling on Sunday, got it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 9 Share Posted November 9 4 hours ago, WxUSAF said: A bit of a SE ridge linking up with the -NAO, looks familiar. Hope we get some rain, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 9 Share Posted November 9 8 hours ago, Terpeast said: A bit of a SE ridge linking up with the -NAO, looks familiar. Hope we get some rain, anyway. With a deep trough out west an eastern ridge is inevitable. If the -NAO is legit it can somewhat mitigate its strength. On the ens means the trough progresses eastward underneath as +heights retrograde westward towards Baffin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted November 9 Share Posted November 9 1 hour ago, CAPE said: With a deep trough out west an eastern ridge is inevitable. If the -NAO is legit it can somewhat mitigate its strength. On the ens means the trough progresses eastward underneath as +heights retrograde westward towards Baffin. Looks to me more of the same we have seen over the past few years the pacific and the southeast ridge just dominate Mississippi east and we get relatively cool and wet at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 10 Share Posted November 10 Well ... things look a bit interesting in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted November 10 Share Posted November 10 29 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Well ... things look a bit interesting in the long range. Interesting? That run was more interesting than the past 6 years lol 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted November 10 Share Posted November 10 2 hours ago, dailylurker said: Interesting? That run was more interesting than the past 6 years lol Lock it in. We are headed to Germany Thanksgiving week so DC will probably get a 2ft noreaster. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 10 Share Posted November 10 LOL GFS. The op run should just stop at 240 hrs like the other models. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 10 Share Posted November 10 LOL GFS. The op run should just stop at 240 hrs like the other models.Bad news - I forget the timeline, but EURO is going to 360 or 384 pretty soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 10 Share Posted November 10 10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Bad news - I forget the timeline, but EURO is going to 360 or 384 pretty soon. I'm gonna guess it will be less whacky with the day 10+ outcomes from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 11 Share Posted November 11 Looks like we go negative, but turn it around at the end of the month... unless you go with the control! LOL! Not a strong positive.. but there... the hints at something around then could have some small support? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 12 Author Share Posted November 12 WB 18Z EURO...nice shift NE in precip shield for late TH. compared to 12Z. Can it rain twice in a week? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted November 12 Share Posted November 12 55 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO...nice shift NE in precip shield for late TH. compared to 12Z. Can it rain twice in a week? Meanwhile the metro New York forum is entering “is it ever going to rain again?” mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted November 12 Share Posted November 12 Looks like the GFS switched back to the idea that some tropical moisture could join up with a front and give us real rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 12 Share Posted November 12 Interesting evolution around HR 240. Looks like another "epic" long range block trying to shape up. The only use I can see out of something this early on would be to diagnose whether the models are going to give us another head fake like we saw time after time last year, or if they're going to give us real skill in the long range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted November 12 Share Posted November 12 Snow in Highland County Thursday night? The NAM says yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 12 Author Share Posted November 12 WB 18Z EURO....feel this is going to be a tough winter to forecast....if this were snow there would be wailing and gnashing of teeth. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 13 Share Posted November 13 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z EURO....feel this is going to be a tough winter to forecast....if this were snow there would be wailing and gnashing of teeth. Im good with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 13 Share Posted November 13 We're so close to getting mesonet sites in Garrett County. Just need about 3 weeks of decent weather to get concrete poured. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 13 Author Share Posted November 13 WB 6Z 3K NAM...welcome rain by Th. Evening... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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