winter_warlock Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 39 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Would be nice to be able to capitalize on this nice early winter pattern. It hasn't lately but I believe it can still snow in Decemer lol. Amen brother!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 hour ago, winter_warlock said: Amen brother!!! Not this run of the GFS. Sunny and 52F. Let’s see if we can run at 60F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Southern slider just misses us on Nov 30. It’s close. At d8 its very close… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Southern slider just misses us on Nov 30. It’s close. At d8 its very close…Southern sliders always slide south of us…always missing us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Gfs with a coastal on infamous December 5th. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Gfs with a coastal on infamous December 5th.Dec. 5th is a lock this year. Book it. Been saying it for weeks. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Dec. 5th is a lock this year. Book it. Been saying it for weeks. If models are believed we are into some pretty anomalous cold air by then. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 8 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Gfs with a coastal on infamous December 5th. That’s the wave I have an eye on. GEPS had it on 0/12z 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 If models are believed we are into some pretty anomalous cold air by then.Im heartened by the fact the CPC agrees with the models as per their outlook. I’d be disappointed to not get 1” on the ground in the next 3 weeks within the beltway. That’s my bar, which is fairly ambitious given recent Decembers. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 22 Share Posted November 22 Northern stream wave dives out of western Canada and digs south of us. That’s something we rarely see recently. If that actually happened then I’d believe maybe this is a anomalous season. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 2 hours ago, Chris78 said: If models are believed we are into some pretty anomalous cold air by then. Looking like one of the coldest decembers in many many years! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Northern stream wave dives out of western Canada and digs south of us. That’s something we rarely see recently. If that actually happened then I’d believe maybe this is a anomalous season. With you man. Deep diving NS Systems are a rarity anymore. Clippers have become nearly extinct. Webber has a good Write-up on X on the how's and why's this may be one of those Winter's. Great presentation by him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 I miss clippers so much. The lack of them the last decade is why our totals here have dropped off the ledge. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 1 hour ago, jonjon said: I miss clippers so much. The lack of them the last decade is why our totals here have dropped off the ledge. I have still wondered about that...like why did they all of the sudden shut off after 2015? Or was it perhaps because of the PDO flip? Even with a possibly changing climo in mind, the steep shut off with those is strange, isn't it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 Gosh, 00z GFS is close for TDay. Verbatim a decent storm for NW burbs, close in burbs probably get a little bit of winter again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 1 hour ago, Daniel Boone said: With you man. Deep diving NS Systems are a rarity anymore. Clippers have become nearly extinct. Webber has a good Write-up on X on the how's and why's this may be one of those Winter's. Great presentation by him. Can I trouble you for the link please? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 Gosh, 00z GFS is close for TDay. Verbatim a decent storm for NW burbs, close in burbs probably get a little bit of winter again. Seems like surface temps and 925s are an issue across the board. Largely evening/overnight timing probably still gets it done for favored spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Seems like surface temps and 925s are an issue across the board. Largely evening/overnight timing probably still gets it done for favored spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 That kinda counts as getting it done for November. PSU did blow that out of the water today though, lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: That kinda counts as getting it done for November. PSU did blow that out of the water today though, lmao Keep the chances comin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 1 hour ago, jonjon said: I miss clippers so much. The lack of them the last decade is why our totals here have dropped off the ledge. 39 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I have still wondered about that...like why did they all of the sudden shut off after 2015? Or was it perhaps because of the PDO flip? Even with a possibly changing climo in mind, the steep shut off with those is strange, isn't it? True, but redundant since even if it were possible to get clippers in the warm regimes absent a northerly flow out of Canada or a sharp thermal gradient to fuel them…they’d just be rain anyways. Clippers are just a label for weak NS waves along the arctic boundary. No arctic boundary. No clippers. I get the sentiment but the issue is bigger than just “clippers disappeared”. That’s just an effect of the whole winter patterns having been wrong in so many ways most of the last 8 years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 06z GFS was pretty nice for the i81 corridor into parts of C MD for next Friday 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 40 minutes ago, yoda said: 06z GFS was pretty nice for the i81 corridor into parts of C MD for next Friday So close to something fun for the rest of us if it was just a tick colder. But a cold rain works just fine to eat and drink excessively on turkey day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted November 23 Share Posted November 23 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: So close to something fun for the rest of us if it was just a tick colder. But a cold rain works just fine to eat and drink excessively on turkey day. Yea it would be nice, but like past years where is the cold high up north of us to feed in the cold this is the ingredient we have been missing over the past few years nothing really changing yet right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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