November Medium/ Long Range

[Weather Will]

As we head into the last full week of October, time sure flies doesn't  it, time to start looking into November.  Looking at EPS  weeklies, looks like temperatures return to near normal by mid/late November, and normal precipitation.  Maybe setting us up for a rocking December to remember!!! Showing 30 day maps and last week of November.

[JenkinsJinkies]

Get used to the cold west coast/warm east coast setup. That's the norm in winters with the current analogs.

[WxUSAF]

EPS progression there follows Roundy’s longwave prog I posted a week ago or so, where the eastern ridge slowly evolves northward and gets undercut to some degree during November. 

[CAPE]

After last winter's debacle with the extended/weeklies products, I will be even more cautious than usual with the pattern depiction, especially any suggestion of a wholesale change beyond the range of the ensembles. So with that said, the Euro Ens and GEFS both depict a +WPO/EPO pattern developing going forward, which is usually a warm one for us. GEFS look is probably warmer in the LR with a trough along the west coast into early November, while the Euro has a bit of a PNA ridge.

[Paleocene]

Welp

[Chris78]

11 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Welp

I'll take above normal temps in early November.  Pretty nice weather.

[Paleocene]

3 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I'll take above normal temps in early November.  Pretty nice weather.

Yeah, I'm not complaining. My heat hasn't even kicked on the last few days. Solar gain is great.

However, if those maps are red wall to wall come DJF... I'll be sad.

[mattie g]

2 hours ago, Paleocene said:

Yeah, I'm not complaining. My heat hasn't even kicked on the last few days. Solar gain is great.

However, if those maps are red wall to wall come DJF... I'll be sad.

If. Aunt. Balls. Uncle.