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NNE Cold Season Thread 2024-2025


bwt3650
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Killington north could legit start blowing over the next couple days, but don’t know if anyone will with the weds/thurs temps probably 60 even at the summits. Might be after the first week of November if looking for that sustained period of decent overnight temps, which is late.


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23 minutes ago, bwt3650 said:

Killington north could legit start blowing over the next couple days, but don’t know if anyone will with the weds/thurs temps probably 60 even at the summits. Might be after the first week of November if looking for that sustained period of decent overnight temps, which is late.


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How worried is Killington about the WC?

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How worried is Killington about the WC?

Has to be on their minds…I wouldn’t think panic at this point. Can really bury that trail in about 3 days if they get the right conditions and thanksgiving being so late this year helps, but yeah; if nothing promising by second week of November, I would be nervous.


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The first flakes of the season here at our site were back on the 16th with that last big snow event, but today marked the first accumulations I’ve seen here. Based on posts that are showing up in the thread though, it sounds like a lot of folks are getting snow today. Temperatures are certainly above freezing here in the valley, but the intensity of the precipitation is what brought on the accumulation when that cell on the radar came through. Definitely be on the lookout for flakes when these radar echoes move through, and with temperatures anticipated to drop down well into the 20s F as we progress through the evening, chances for accumulation should only improve as long as the precipitation remains around.

27OCT24A.gif.2db75dff3d5b4c84d5cba02fe1c8bb86.gif

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  • 2 weeks later...

It’s been almost two weeks since our last round of snow that hit the valleys (see PF’s post above), but the snow potential for tomorrow night into Tuesday seems to be appearing on just about every short and medium-range model at this point. It looks likely that at least some elevations are going to see snow with this next event, and the BTV NWS forecast discussion talks about it.

At the beginning of the month there wasn’t much in the medium-range models with respect to snow chances, but for several days now just about every system coming through the area on GFS runs shows some possible snow, so apparently November climatology is starting to take hold as we move past the first third of the month.

Last year we’d already had three accumulating snowstorms by this point in the month, but that was definitely on the early side and ahead of average pace: we had our first storm of an inch or more on November 1st last year, and that’s a week ahead of average. Unlike last year though, we had accumulating snow to the valley bottoms in October this year, so that gave this year a bit of a jump with respect to early season accumulations.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...

Shower activity will redevelop Monday night as a cold front pushes through the region overnight, with a robust broken line of showers moving through overnight. Strong cold air advection will take place behind this feature, with temperatures dropping after midnight. Showers will become more focused across the western slopes of the Adirondacks and northern Greens as the winds become more northwesterly, becoming breezy behind the front. Snow levels will lower tomorrow night, with some snow mixing in, with light snow accumulations possible across the higher terrain, above 1500ft elevation.

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Following up on the recent snowfall, I was up at Bolton Valley yesterday and can pass along where accumulations sat at that point. I topped out in the 2,500-2,600’ elevation range during my time on the mountain, so I can speak to snow depths up to there. Accumulations began at around 1,600’ near the bottom of the Timberline area, and here’s a quick elevation profile report:

1,600’: Trace

2,000’: ~1”

2,500’: 2-3”

Low angle slopes with manicured cutting and few rocks like Lower Turnpike were definitely skiable if you wanted to get out the rock skis, but I didn’t see any tracks, so it doesn’t look like there was anyone around who wanted to commit to those levels of snow at this point.

I didn’t catch what their specific report of summit level accumulations were for this most recent system, but their season snowfall total as of today stands at 14 inches.

It looks the next chance for snow or potentially other types of frozen precipitation is with the next clipper system coming through in the Monday timeframe.

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23 hours ago, dmcginvt said:

Weird warmth spike tonight that didnt happen everywhere.  Went to 28 then to 40 fast. 

image.thumb.png.dc169117a07f172dc0ee6f43ee23ba6f.png

I just drove home from camp, which is about 1400’ between Hardwick and Walcott. The car thermo was 36° when I left and 28° when I got down to Rt.15. Going up Rt.14 through the gulf to Woodbury, the temp spiked to 41° and then dropped to as low as 23° in North Montpelier. It was cool seeing the temps bounce around. 

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