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NNE Cold Season Thread 2024-2025


bwt3650
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There hasn’t been much change to the BTV NWS advisories map, but the Event Total Snowfall map has seen some adjustments with their latest update. There’s an expansion of the areas with 6-8” shading in Northern Vermont, and now some 8-12” coloring is appearing along the eastern slopes in the Stowe/Smugg’s area. In general, the snow accumulation zones were extended a bit farther south, presumably based on changes seen in more recent modeling runs. In our area, the point forecast for snow has been bumped to roughly the 4-8” range, which seems consistent with the updated map. The BTV NWS forecast discussion clearly notes how difficult it is to pin down specific snowfall amounts with how tight the gradient is along the front, so they’ll just have to keep watching the guidance and we’ll get their latest thoughts in the next update.

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I received an afternoon text that we’d be put under a Winter Storm Warning, and in the BTV NWS forecast discussion they mention that they put it up for areas with an 80% chance of seeing at least 7 inches of snowfall through the event. Those are also areas in which very heavy snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected tomorrow morning. In line with this update, there’s also a more expanded area of 8-12” snowfall shading in this part of the Northern Greens.

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6 hours ago, J.Spin said:

I received an afternoon text that we’d be put under a Winter Storm Warning, and in the BTV NWS forecast discussion they mention that they put it up for areas with an 80% chance of seeing at least 7 inches of snowfall through the event. Those are also areas in which very heavy snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected tomorrow morning. In line with this update, there’s also a more expanded area of 8-12” snowfall shading in this part of the Northern Greens.

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Models have 12+ but some might be freezing rain/sleet.

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The secondary spike in depth is common this time of year.  Sometimes it happens later in April, other times in March, but there’s usually a rebound in depth after the first real spring melt.

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9” at 3,000ft on Mansfield for the initial wave of precip.  The next wave tomorrow morning is going to be IP/ZR/RN.

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Snow from our latest winter storm began to fall late Friday evening, and then it really hit hard overnight with snowfall rates of an inch per hour or more that lasted into the early morning. Bolton Valley was already reporting 8 inches of overnight snow as of their early 6:30 A.M. report, with more snow still to come.

My liquid analyses from down in the valley indicated that we’d picked up ¾ inches of liquid equivalent in the snow at that point, so the mountain probably picked up in the range of an inch of liquid equivalent, and you could feel it in the snow. The snow at our site came in right around 10% H2O, so this storm generally brought medium weight powder. Even on the mountain the new snow fell with minimal wind, so it was a very even coating across the entire resort that set up some excellent skiing both on and off piste.

My wife and I headed up to Timberline for the chair’s opening, with plans to quickly meet up with our younger son and several of his friends for a session. While we waited to group up, we took a run on Twice as Nice, which had just a few tracks on it and plenty of untouched powder. As the numbers suggested, there was plenty of liquid in the new snow for a resurfacing on just about all terrain, and even on mid-fat skis, bottomless turns were the rule. Being such a low elevation trail with only natural snow, I believe Twice as Nice had been closed due to some areas of poor coverage after our run of spring warmth. But a testament to the resurfacing ability of this storm was the fact that ski patrol was able to open it right back up for some great skiing. You could still see some of the taller evergreen shrubs sticking out of the snow, but those were pretty easy to avoid.

After that first run at Timberline, we teamed up with my son and various friends and spend the rest of the session over at the main mountain. We skied everything from mellow to very steep, and on many occasions, I was surprised by just how well the powder was covering everything up. We knew the subsurface would be fairly hard after days of spring temperature cycling, but time and time again I’d jump into steep tree lines, and whenever you had untouched snow, it kept you entirely off the base. Temperatures were generally in the upper 20s F, but as we got into the afternoon, we could tell that the temperature was creeping up around the freezing mark; the powder was starting to get a bit denser in the lower elevations, and packed areas of snow were taking on hints of that wet pack type of surface.

Bolton is reporting 12 inches of total snow in the past 48 hours, so this storm was certainly a nice shot in the arm for the local spring skiing. The snowpack depth at the Mt. Mansfield stake is also back up to just shy of 100 inches thanks to this system and the one we had earlier in the week. So indeed, March has been behaving like March, with some warmth but also continued winter storms to help with the mountain snowpack.

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