Not gonna go as in depth as last year because I'm in the middle of a job search. Gotta stay focused on applying and interviewing.
But wanted to share my thoughts about what might be in store for winter. Not gonna wait for further data since that might be delayed due to Helene and now possibly Milton.
Based on the PDO, ENSO, QBO/solar, I came up with analogs going back only to the year 2000 (including Dec 1999):
1999-00
2008-09
2010-11
2017-18
2021-22