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Fall/Winter '24 Banter and Complaints Go Here


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12 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

I thought Nina does 2011-'12?

It can, especially on the heels of four straight AN seasons for ORD. Smart $$ would've been betting against 11-12 going big, let alone snow-maggedon that was the going hype from many sources. 

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On 10/17/2024 at 11:06 AM, michsnowfreak said:

LMAO. You of ALL people accusing someone of cherry picking :lol::lol::lol::lol::lol:. After you just replied to yourself 3 times about a tweet where a lumberjack analyzed chicagos avg winter by posting soley 2023-24 data. Idk even know where you live, which is why I picked PIT and two well known cities in KY/TN to show how full of it you are.

Although really my first mistake was replying to you. I need to do like the rest of the board and just let you continue to talk/reply to yourself.

Well, then, you should stay in your own lane. I literally posted actual data proving my statement was not outlandish. In fact, if you review the table, the 12-month running average at Pittsburgh is not only warmer than the late 20th century 30-year mean at Tri-Cities Airport in Tennessee, it's only slightly cooler than the warmest year observed there in those 30 years.

For context, the elevations of these sites are approximately:

TRI - 1500' ASL

PIT - 1200' ASL

BNA - 600' ASL

SDF - 500' ASL

If you want to compare BNA and SDF, then you should use data from the city of Pittsburgh. Unfortunately, it hasn't been collected since 1979. I can tell you it averaged 2.6F warmer than the readings at PIT airport [with every overlapping year falling between 1.1 & 3.8F warmer]. I'll let you do that math there to figure out approximately what the temperatures have been like in the City.

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In the last week its becoming very cloudy to that majority overcast shit I loathe, I'm starting to feel it now. Its also a dark gloomy type but Sat had a brighter overcast. With DST I really felt it today, the other shoe has dropped. Sunny and November isn't a pairing in my region.

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  • 2 weeks later...
8 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

:kekw:

I mean, of course, there's going to be some lake effect snow.  But Buffalo's snowfall total of 71.3" was 24.1" below normal. Other locations were far worse - Erie had its 4th lowest snowfall on record (24.8") and Cleveland its 7th lowest on record (25.7") - the latter just one year removed from its 3rd least snowfall on record (22.7" in 2022-23). Both years being the lower than any winter since 1931-32. Rochester's total of 52.5" was 13th lowest on record, one year removed from its 10th least snowy winter on record (50.4" in 2022-23). Both of those totals were least since the winter of 1952-53. Doesn't matter how warm the lakes are if there isn't sufficient cold air. And northwest flow events have seemingly gone extinct in the last several years.

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1 hour ago, SethToast said:

Is it on any other website that doesn't require a subscription?

College of DuPage has it out to 360 hrs.

Also it notes that the 06Z and 18Z runs will now go out to 144 hrs.  That's a nice change.

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7 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

5 years ago today we were digging out of Detroits biggest November snowstorm on record (9.2") and would then fall to 7°, the earliest single digit temp on record. The winter of 2019-20 ended up being a mild winter. 

FB_IMG_1731429010043.jpg

Wasn't only 2-4 forecasted?

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8 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

5 years ago today we were digging out of Detroits biggest November snowstorm on record (9.2") and would then fall to 7°, the earliest single digit temp on record. The winter of 2019-20 ended up being a mild winter. 

FB_IMG_1731429010043.jpg

Am I crazy or was this pic from 2018 not 2019?

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11 hours ago, roardog said:

Am I crazy or was this pic from 2018 not 2019?

 

9 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

It was Nov 11/12, 2019. November 2018 was snowy with lots of small snowfalls but nothing big.

 

The 2019 storm was awesome widespread 8-12" storm for most of SE MI!! 

image.thumb.png.1f993b0482df3c44b285b4634844c6d2.png   

 

November 2018 ah yes there were several snows but most were 1-3" event.  roardog I think you recall the 2018 post-Thanksgiving event had a one of the bullseyes on your area.

image.png.1cf15a4dc540a336e86c9602ba143564.png  

 

Flint area Nov. 2018 ended up more snow than Nov. 2019 but Nov. 2019 had the greater storm.

 

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38 minutes ago, Lightning said:

 

 

The 2019 storm was awesome widespread 8-12" storm for most of SE MI!! 

image.thumb.png.1f993b0482df3c44b285b4634844c6d2.png   

 

November 2018 ah yes there were several snows but most were 1-3" event.  roardog I think you recall the 2018 post-Thanksgiving event had a one of the bullseyes on your area.

image.png.1cf15a4dc540a336e86c9602ba143564.png  

 

Flint area Nov. 2018 ended up more snow than Nov. 2019 but Nov. 2019 had the greater storm.

 

Wow I totally forgot about that in Nov 2018. Here we had a parade of 1-2" type snows totalling over 6" on the month but nothing large.

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On 11/12/2024 at 2:04 PM, Chicago Storm said:

Slightly.

The Euro is also now available out to 360hrs on WxBell.

 

On 11/12/2024 at 3:29 PM, SethToast said:

Is it on any other website that doesn't require a subscription?

 

On 11/12/2024 at 5:30 PM, vpbob21 said:

College of DuPage has it out to 360 hrs.

Also it notes that the 06Z and 18Z runs will now go out to 144 hrs.  That's a nice change.

Pivotal Weather, and Tropical Tidbits Weather sites also have the long range Euro now. (360 & 144)

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On 11/16/2024 at 12:27 PM, CheeselandSkies said:

ICON's apparently been doing well with tropical cyclones this year, be interesting to see how that translates to extratropical ones.

interesting not and it looks like this ended up being not too far off

something to watch this winter for sure

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I knew we were going to have to pay for all those sunny warm days. Hazards of living close to those pesky Lakes. Once the inversion gets set in the area, it almost takes an act of God to break down the inversion. Most of the week the forecast was for Sun on Sunday. Now today it has been downgraded to mostly cloudy. My bet is for the inversion to hold the upper hand.

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