IWXwx Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Uh...I think we need some rain around here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 1 hour ago, IWXwx said: Uh...I think we need some rain around here. looking grim for rain until at least the middle of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Another dry frontal passage. Zzzzzzz…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 17 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Another dry frontal passage. Zzzzzzz…. Spit a little rain here. Just enough to wet the surface briefly. Breezy, cool today before warmer wx returns. ZZZZ is spot on. Hoping for a little more action towards mid Oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 22 hours ago, IWXwx said: Uh...I think we need some rain around here. SW US vibe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crowbar Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 This sums up the weather here in Central Ohio for the forseeable future: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 14 hours ago, Crowbar said: This sums up the weather here in Central Ohio for the forseeable future: Yep. Although that rain we got from the hurricane remnants did wonders to green up lawns again. I actually had to cut my grass and bag clippings last week. First time in probably 6 or 7 weeks. Do have to admit we had a hell of a severe storm season in Ohio with record # of tornados, so maybe this calm is the balancing act for that. If that saying about the rubber band effect is true... this winter should be epic. Of course there may still be a lot of stretch left in that band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Flying into Orlando tomorrow morning to "chase" Milton. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 46 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Flying into Orlando tomorrow morning to "chase" Milton. My wife HS friend lives in Sarasota. Maybe I could convince them for you to be a house sitter ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 5 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Flying into Orlando tomorrow morning to "chase" Milton. Did you bring your wife so you can have that all important spot report from another balcony? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 8 Share Posted October 8 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 again tonight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 Looks like around sunset and again around 11:00PM EDT are supposed to be the peaks. A high KP most of the night would indicate a good chance of seeing something tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: again tonight? Photographing the northern lights is still on my bucket list. Didn't go out for the big display in May because I didn't think the clouds over southern Wisconsin that night would clear in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 Looks like the CME may be arriving soon. Bz has gone quite negative and proton flux is way up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 1 hour ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Looks like the CME may be arriving soon. Bz has gone quite negative and proton flux is way up. Yep, now we wait to see how long the strongest storming lasts. May very well be on the decline once it reaches nighttime across CONUS. But maybe not! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted October 10 Share Posted October 10 NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 10-Oct 12 2024 Oct 10 Oct 11 Oct 12 00-03UT 2.00 7.67 (G4) 5.33 (G1) 03-06UT 2.67 8.00 (G4) 5.00 (G1) 06-09UT 1.67 7.33 (G3) 4.67 (G1) 09-12UT 2.00 6.67 (G3) 4.33 12-15UT 4.67 (G1) 6.33 (G2) 4.33 15-18UT 6.67 (G3) 6.33 (G2) 5.33 (G1) 18-21UT 8.33 (G4) 6.00 (G2) 4.67 (G1) 21-00UT 7.67 (G4) 5.33 (G1) 4.33 The 3 hour window from 1200 - 1500 UT averages out to 3.33 right now so if anything it is either smaller or later than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 Seeing some wintery-looking systems show up in the extended is slowly starting to bring back the trauma of last year's Ls. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 Best I could do from my neck of the woods with light pollution during that substorm. Looks better if I fully saturate it lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 Wouldn't mind some rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 11 hours ago, Malacka11 said: Seeing some wintery-looking systems show up in the extended is slowly starting to bring back the trauma of last year's Ls. Save yourself the pain and just assume we are going to pop the "Chicago snow futility" thread now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 2 hours ago, Stebo said: Wouldn't mind some rain. How’s it been in Detroit? Minneapolis has seen 0.06” since August 30th. Might have two record dry months back to back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 6 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: How’s it been in Detroit? Minneapolis has seen 0.06” since August 30th. Might have two record dry months back to back. 1.31, down 2.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 I was looking up current snowfall drought figures, and for Cincinnati, why does it show an ending date of September 26, 2024? I can assure you there was not 6" of snow on September 27. Hopefully, this nonsense gets resolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said: I was looking up current snowfall drought figures, and for Cincinnati, why does it show an ending date of September 26, 2024? I can assure you there was not 6" of snow on September 27. Hopefully, this nonsense gets resolved. I'm sure cmh is just as ugly. But damn, 3650 would be 10 years....so their pretty close to hitting that. Even I didn't realize how bad the futility has been. I guess if there's anything good about these long strings of dumpster fire winters, its that our expectations are so low we're all pretty easy to please moving forward. No idea what to expect this winter. The only positive I see for this winter is the anecdotal argument that eventually something has gotta break our way, and maybe that'll be this winter. The negatives are many but I wonder if the drought is going to add more fuel on the futility fire. I no longer care about enso, teleconnections, analogs, or any long term forecast, they've all been trash indicators for long term winter forecasts. It's all a crapshoot and the only question is whether this losing streak has finally run it's course. My guess?.... not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 1 minute ago, buckeye said: I'm sure cmh is just as ugly. But damn, 3650 would be 10 years....so their pretty close to hitting that. Even I didn't realize how bad the futility has been. I guess if there's anything good about these long strings of dumpster fire winters, its that our expectations are so low we're all pretty easy to please moving forward. No idea what to expect this winter. The only positive I see for this winter is the anecdotal argument that eventually something has gotta break our way, and maybe that'll be this winter. The negatives are many but I wonder if the drought is going to add more fuel on the futility fire. I no longer care about enso, teleconnections, analogs, or any long term forecast, they've all been trash indicators for long term winter forecasts. It's all a crapshoot and the only question is whether this losing streak has finally run it's course. My guess?.... not yet. 3519 days since the last calendar day with 6" of snowfall, which is slightly longer than the streak indicated for Cincy (but should be slightly shorter if that one didn't stop counting on September 26). Although, it does claim you had an absolutely astounding 6,335-day drought which ended on February 3, 1948. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 On 10/7/2024 at 7:59 PM, bowtie` said: Did you bring your wife so you can have that all important spot report from another balcony? not this time, but it would have been helpful to have had an above ground level report. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 11 Share Posted October 11 Wonder if clippers will return this winter. Seems like they've been largely absent for several winters in a row now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 12 Share Posted October 12 20 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Wonder if clippers will return this winter. Seems like they've been largely absent for several winters in a row now. I wonder if it will ever rain again. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 12 Share Posted October 12 1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said: I wonder if it will ever rain again. Yeah this has been the longest dull stretch of weather I can remember. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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