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Major Hurricane Milton


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4 hours ago, csnavywx said:

image.png.a39edb203da7f9d2099a5da7e505f73c.png

 

17,000+ Scorpion Stock Photos, Pictures & Royalty-Free ...

It's here:

KSRQ 100136Z 32060G89KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR OVC008 23/22 A2860 RMK AO2 PK WND 33089/0134 RAE0059B06 P0012 T02280217 $

102mph gust there. The 105KT FL winds recon found offshore a bit earlier in the southern quad were definite trouble, as was that telltale hook/stinger.

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18 minutes ago, Amped said:

The rainband headed for Orlando later tonight. Hopefully the heaviest part misses to the north, but it does seem to be having a hard time advancing north on radar.

Models seem to have it mainly along I-4 so Orlando will likely get blasted too, hopefully not as bad as Tampa. It'll be along and north of wherever the quasi-frontal boundary sets up that focuses and dumps out the moist southerly feed east of the center. 

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The amount of rain (10-14" reported and probably more has fallen in some places with more to come) is just nuts. SIAP, but the NWS in Tampa just issued a Flash Flood Emergency for most of the Tampa/St. Pete area, which is rarely used - it's what was issued in our area when Ida's remnants unleashed that deadly deluge on CNJ/NNJ/NYC a few years ago.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
926 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR ST. PETERSBURG, TAMPA, RIVERVIEW,
AND PALMETTO...

The National Weather Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Central Hillsborough County in west central Florida...
  Northern Manatee County in west central Florida...
  Southeastern Pinellas County in west central Florida...

* Until 230 AM EDT.

* At 926 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 10 and 14 inches of
  rain have fallen. Flash flooding is already occurring.

  This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for St. Petersburg, Tampa,
  Riverview, and Palmetto. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS
  SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW!

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK
           HIGHER GROUND NOW! Life threatening flash flooding of
           low water crossings, small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Tampa, Clearwater, Largo, Bradenton, Pinellas Park, Temple
  Terrace, Seminole, Palmetto, Downtown Saint Petersburg, Saint
  Petersburg, Fort Desoto Park, Brandon, St. Petersburg, St. Pete
  Beach, Anna Maria, Gandy, Macdill Air Force Base, West And East
  Lealman, Feather Sound and Tampa International Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Move to higher ground now! This is an extremely dangerous and
life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are
fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become
unstable and unsafe.

 

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1 minute ago, KPITSnow said:

Tampa is getting rocked. Yeah, didn’t get the surge but the combination of huge rainfall rates and hours of hurricane force gusts is pretty impactful 

I didn’t think they’d get this much wind with the eye going south of them. Has to be quite a bit of tree damage since there are many non palms there 

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6 minutes ago, mob1 said:

SPG has over 10 inches of rain in the last 3 hours. 

over 14 inches today so far as of the 9PM observation - likely has or will be setting a daily rainfall record since likely to have heavy rainfall right through midnight, wonder what the record was going into this storm.

edit:  17 1/2 inches today as of 10PM

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8 minutes ago, WolfStock1 said:

Fat lady hasn't sung yet on the surge in Tampa Bay.

image.thumb.png.2dcc456187d18f5efd65be448c27952f.png

Believe there’s some nuance to this data based on this gauge location. Looks to be exposed to a north wind. The three other Tampa Bay gauges all are running many feet BELOW normal, as the ocean has evacuated towards Tampa Bay’s mouth.

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