WxSynopsisDavid Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 6 minutes ago, Hotair said: Tampa dodged a major bullet if that track confirms. WFLA News Channel 8 is live streaming on Facebook. The on-air Mets disagree and said Milton is coming right into the mouth of the Bay. Just told people Tampa will be taking a direct hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WolfStock1 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 1 hour ago, Windspeed said: 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: I have to say, the tornadoes are going to be memorable for a lot of inland folks. Lets hope the surge doesn’t upstage what’s already a high end outbreak. As bad as the inland tornado outbreak has been, I'm afraid the surge is still going to be the biggest disaster with Milton. Most of us knew the timing of landfall would coincide with a degraded core and transition, but the sea heights aren't just going to magically disappear. Sea height and fetch has already been acquired, and areas south of the circulation will be inundated. We don't need a thick/intense southern eyewall band either. Strong surface winds perpendicular to the peninsula shoreline will be aided by the low-level jet to push the fetch onshore south of Milton's circulation center. The surge threat is high for a reason regardless of landfall intensity and why evacuations were needed. I think the big saving grace is how early it's coming in. Highest tide isn't until 6am tomorrow. Right now the tides are fairly low, so the surge effects will be lessened quite a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 49mph gusting to 74mph at Venice FL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Extreme Wind Warning FLC057-081-103-100130- /O.NEW.KTBW.EW.W.0001.241009T2236Z-241010T0130Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Extreme Wind Warning National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL 636 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024 The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a * Extreme Wind Warning for... Manatee County in west central Florida... Pinellas County in west central Florida... Hillsborough County in west central Florida... * Until 930 PM EDT. * At 635 PM EDT, National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated extreme winds, associated with the eyewall of Hurricane Milton, were moving onshore along a line extending from 6 miles southwest of South Bradenton to 25 miles southwest of Anna Maria to 52 miles southwest of Saint Armands Key, moving northeast at 30 mph. THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION! PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Treat these imminent extreme winds as if a tornado was approaching and move immediately to the safe room in your shelter. Take action now to protect your life! && 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 I hope so. Given all possible outcomes just three days ago this seem like a win Tornado events are still in play so we must stay vigilant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gustmouse Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 18:45 EDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 2 minutes ago, WolfStock1 said: I think the big saving grace is how early it's coming in. Highest tide isn't until 6am tomorrow. Right now the tides are fairly low, so the surge effects will be lessened quite a bit. Dr Knabb been explaining on TWC today that surge effects will actually peak well after landfall. Forecast is for surge to peak around high-tide as the winds shift back around from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 21 minutes ago, Hotair said: Tampa dodged a major bullet if that track confirms. Tampa is going to get smoked by the eyewall. Hardly consider that dodging a bullet. 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Looks like the eye is now just offshore from Sarasota, Port Charlotte area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 This live shot on cnn has to be the heaviest rain I’ve ever seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 12 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Torrential rains and fresh water flooding may be the big story in the Tampa area. + Structual damage from downed trees and extended power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Center looks to come right into the bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Just now, wncsnow said: Center looks to come right into the bay I think the bay may be in the very northern part of the eye wall, or they will just miss it and stay in the very strong northern eyewall winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Port Charlotte probably going to get the worst of the surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 It’s going to go near Sarasota it seems. Give or take 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Center looks to come right into the bay The eastern eyewall is already east of the mouth of Tampa Bay longitude wise. As someone said above, this looks to make landfall between Sarasota and Venice in the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Here is a live webcam from the University of Tampa, downtown. https://www.ut.edu/about-ut/university-services/office-of-communications-and-public-affairs/live-webcam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 NWS Tampa has issued an Extreme Wind Warning. Center will be coming onshore next 60-90 min. between Sarasota and Osprey. Tampa area will be affected by northern eyewall which is very robust. All 3 counties are north of the expected landfall point and will be affected by northern eyewall. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Orlando-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Wow, is this the first extreme wind warning ever issued for a major city? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Tampa is going to get smoked by the eyewall. Hardly consider that dodging a bullet. Right? They’re under an Extreme Wind Warning for Pete’s sake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Consistent high end tropical storm force/low end hurricane force wind gusts in Sarasota.Still very limited surge, nothing of note. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 https://x.com/weatherprof/status/1844139585376563423?s=46 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 The Inner Core is intact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 10 minutes ago, lee59 said: Here is a live webcam from the University of Tampa, downtown. https://www.ut.edu/about-ut/university-services/office-of-communications-and-public-affairs/live-webcam Live? Winds look calm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Consistent high end tropical storm force/low end hurricane force wind gusts in Sarasota. Still very limited surge, nothing of note. I would have to imagine that the northern portion of the eye wall getting close to moving in towards Sarasota is going to be nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Northern Eyewall coming ashore in Tampa/St Pete right now per Bettes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 8 minutes ago, nwohweather said: Right? They’re under an Extreme Wind Warning for Pete’s sake They definitely dodged a bullet regarding the surge. That would have been catastrophic. 1 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 Meant to post earlierhttps://www.facebook.com/share/p/B1WTggiDn4ppvrmC/ A variety of cams 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gustmouse Posted October 9 Share Posted October 9 19:15 EDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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