Allsnow Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 I don’t believe I have ever anticipated a recon mission’s results with both more excitement and fear. And we are talking many hundreds of past Atlantic canes here. This is peak americanwx.com for me right here 14 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goctican Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: How does waves height compare to surge? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 100 years ago when there was a fraction of the population and development. Crazy scenario incoming. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 We don't normally do this but we're at a point that even with a not particularly large Florida contingent here... There probably needs to be a dedicated thread for local impacts, warnings etc. independent of this and the banter thread. There will be some good info that will quickly be lost like was shared on the last page or two. 10 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 There's going to be a ton of energy once this unravels near landfall, better hope it keeps trending south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 We've seen it in other storms, could the interaction with the Yucatan be tightening up the circulation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 NHC website appears to be offline momentarily 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Down The Rabbit Hole Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 2 minutes ago, Scott747 said: We don't normally do this but we're at a point that even with a not particularly large Florida contingent here... There probably needs to be a dedicated thread for local impacts, warnings etc. independent of this and the banter thread. There will be some good info that will quickly be lost like was shared on the last page or two. There's a reason Tampa was one of the first places outside of the Mid-Atlantic to get a Wawa. There are many people on here with close ties to the region, and I agree with the suggestion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 1 minute ago, jrips27 said: NHC website appears to be offline momentarily Yep noticed that too. It's been offline the past 10-15 minutes. It's been a while since a hurricane was forecast to take a direct hit on a city this populated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Not trying to hype here - this has the *potential* to change Tampa Bay. The population, development, vulnerability, and already hard impacted state from Helene makes this such a bad situation. We are talking a mega strong Category 5 hurricane's surge being potentially shoved into the Bay. Even if it weakens to a Category 3 at landfall, the surge will be unreal. 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: There's going to be a ton of energy once this unravels near landfall, better hope it keeps trending south. It's a lose-lose regardless. That just brings more water into Fort Myers Beach, Port Charlotte, Cape Coral, Naples, etc. Just as densely populated. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 1 minute ago, LSC97wxnut said: We've seen it in other storms, could the interaction with the Yucatan be tightening up the circulation? It’s definitely a factor. It’s a question of how low can you go… As in how small of an eyewall can you get before it collapses and leads to a EwRC. We may see the high end of what pure physics can produce. Next recon is telling and potentially record setting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 The eye has gotten unbelievably small. If this is the start of an EWRC, I just hope recon gets there first so we can give this thing the records it deserves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendritious Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Uh oh. Crashing the site... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Jon Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Hey, what's the story on tornados as this thing unravels over Florida in a couple of days? Has there been any discussion of the threat? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 4 minutes ago, StormChazer said: The eye has gotten unbelievably small. If this is the start of an EWRC, I just hope recon gets there first so we can give this thing the records it deserves. It looks to me like it's just losing the perfect donut look, perhaps due to ewrc. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 7 minutes ago, jrips27 said: NHC website appears to be offline momentarily I am able to get to it, but it is very slow to load, and incomplete page load. The traffic on it right now is probably off the wall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Where is recon currently? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoeppeya Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 6 minutes ago, StormChazer said: The eye has gotten unbelievably small. If this is the start of an EWRC, I just hope recon gets there first so we can give this thing the records it deserves. They should be basically through a pass, last update on TT is from almost half an hour ago and they were just outside the CDO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 2 minutes ago, NeonPeon said: It looks to me like it's just losing the perfect donut look, perhaps due to ewrc. I think just contracting based off radar. Does look less symmetrical but it's far from the radar site so hard to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 20 minutes ago, Scott747 said: That imagery is starting to get some Haiyan vibes. Effing crazy. Haiyan: The most perfect symmetry imaginable. Milton not quite there yet, but not far off either 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Just now, schoeppeya said: They should be basically through a pass, last update on TT is from almost half an hour ago and they were just outside the CDO plane at 22.0N 90.3W as of 6:14 PM EDT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Where is recon currently?Recon is punching into the eye now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Where is recon currently? Flightaware has it entering the eye now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Should have it in the next 10-20 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 Milton is evolving into a buzzsaw right now 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 GFS again not showing weakening prior to landfall. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 899 mb on that pass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted October 7 Share Posted October 7 898.6 mb extrapolated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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