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October Discobs 2024


JenkinsJinkies
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
305 AM EDT Sat Oct 26 2024

MDZ004>006-008-503-505-507-508-VAZ506-261515-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.A.0004.241028T0600Z-241028T1300Z/
Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Northwest
Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-
Eastern Loudoun-
Including the cities of Sterling, Elkton, Reisterstown, Ballenger
Creek, Leesburg, Cockeysville, Eldersburg, Jarrettsville, Lisbon,
Ashburn, Damascus, Frederick, Westminster, Aberdeen, and
Germantown
305 AM EDT Sat Oct 26 2024

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 possible.

* WHERE...In Maryland, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery,
  Carroll, Frederick MD, Cecil, Northern Baltimore, Northwest
  Harford, and Southeast Harford Counties. In Virginia, Eastern
  Loudoun County.

* WHEN...From late Sunday night through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&
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50 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Getting close to being -10" vs normal since June 1st.

Ditto that here in SE Pa we are beyond -10".  We have picked up 0.38" of rain since August 18th.  Local reservoir here is down 12-15 feet.  We have picked up zero not even a trace so far in October.  I don't think I have ever remembered a time where I have seen 0.00" of rain without a trace here in my lifetime.  PHL is about to break a dry streak without a trace a rain that dates back to 1874.

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7 hours ago, dailylurker said:

Perfect hiking weather today. I'm actually seeing some dark clouds through the trees to the NW and the wind has been blowing pretty hard. The trees here in the South River watershed are nearing peak color. 

Howdy neighbor! We live right along the South River now up in Londontowne. The foliage along shore drive is beautiful. Tonight will likely help change everything that’s hanging on, for good. Solid color this year. Might not be as good as past few years, but certainly not bad. 

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6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Only model I can see cold enough to support freeze warnings is 6Z RDPS.

IMG_4098.png

Look at the dew points. High pressure will be overhead, so clear skies. Calm wind and nights are longer. Near perfect radiational cooling conditions. Many locations away from the urban areas should get to or just below freezing.

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2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Freeze warning for essentially all the LWX area that hasn’t had a freeze plus the eastern shore tonight. Guidance looks like M/U 30s though? Maybe I’m missing something. 

Guess it will be a battle between dry desert air and desert grounds vs. the lingering warmth of the nearby water ways. 

 

I am guessing the same will be up here in regard to the dry it's really bad we have streams literally disappearing that have been around for many years. 

While guidance shows middle / upper 30's do they factor in dry desert grounds (I suppose with dew points)? 

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