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October Discobs 2024


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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
329 PM EDT Mon Oct 14 2024

VAZ025>027-029-150330-
/O.CON.KLWX.FZ.A.0003.241016T0600Z-241016T1300Z/
Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Page-
Including the cities of Luray, Staunton, Mount Jackson, New
Market, Stanley, Shenandoah, Waynesboro, Harrisonburg, Strasburg,
Stuarts Draft, and Woodstock
329 PM EDT Mon Oct 14 2024

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 31 possible.

* WHERE...Page, Shenandoah, Augusta, and Rockingham Counties.

* WHEN...From late Tuesday night through Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
 
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I'm sorry... come again?

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
While the parent upper low pulls away from the lower Great Lakes
toward New England, a secondary shortwave is primed to swing
across the Ohio Valley into the southern Mid-Atlantic. Strong
ascent with this system should allow for further upslope
precipitation along with scattered showers downstream. With the
most robust wind fields likely near the cloud tops, such winds
may struggle to mechanically mix down to the surface. Thus,
expect such showers to be of lower impact to areas east of the
Allegheny Front. Recent high-resolution model suites show the
best coverage south of I-66 during the late afternoon to evening
hours. Meanwhile, upslope showers continue along the
Alleghenies, which will mix in with snow at times during the
evening to overnight hours. Light snowfall accumulations are
possible depending on how much can stick to the ground.
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17 minutes ago, yoda said:

I'm sorry... come again?
 

Meanwhile, upslope showers continue along the Alleghenies, which will mix in with snow at times during the evening to overnight hours. Light snowfall accumulations are possible depending on how much can stick to the ground.

Any accumulations would likely be above 2500’ and amount to less than an inch on unpaved surfaces.

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2 hours ago, vastateofmind said:

Looks like that chance of showers is gonna verify shortly...based on those VERY dark clouds incoming at lower right.

image.thumb.jpeg.b4675acc74fccd67cd14902c10ff51c7.jpeg

Aaaaaand...nada! Every one of those showers that we're coming in from our west fell apart when each one tried to cross I-95. Interesting. Was really hoping to measure some precip, since I just installed a new wx station in the backyard. Anyone to the west observe any showers, aside from @Weather Will?

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2 hours ago, George BM said:

This day 70 years ago was a 10/10 spectacular weather day locally.

 

What? Is today your 70th birthday or something? (I considered wedding anniversary, but thought it infeasible)

Hurricane Hazel landed on that day, (I think), and I recall my Dad telling that he watched the storm from the front porch of a boarding house in D.C.

Edit: 98mph gust at DCA.

Eh, sorry for the useless post ;)

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