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Rocktober Obs/DISCO


40/70 Benchmark
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2 hours ago, psv88 said:

There’s barely any snow on the map outside of the mountains. Weird post 

That was a weird post by Maue.  Like nothing about that snow map looks better than a bad Dec/Jan.  That looks exactly what a ratter Dec/Jan looks like, ha.

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that 500 mb evolution in the operational version blend for this weekend is drawn out of a july playbook for heat waves.

it's been on the charts much more than less for many day's worth of runs at this point, and it also fits into the ens mean/derived telecon spread.  

we saw 80 as late as nov 9 in 2020.   we're 3 to 3.5 weeks up hill in solar so it's interesting if we can get that or even a couple of 85ers.   the metrics are ideal, otherwise.  near nil ceiling rh, west wind conveyor toting 850s 14+C .   one should assume they'll be slightly higher than 13 when/if the overall impression is taking place.. impressive anomaly for this time of year when 500 mb non hydrostats over 588 dm ... the only limiting factor is whether the steepening angle of the sun can dump enough energy into that environment - if so... what are the records for that period, sat and sun?

if one is a warm weather enthusiast ... just bear it for a couple days in the near term.   the synoptic wind may still be active tomorrow night but with these longish nocturnal ... anywhere that does manage to decouple may drop below the 2-meter 37s

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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

that 500 mb evolution in the operational version blend for this weekend is drawn out of a july playbook for heat waves.

it's been on the charts much more than less for many day's worth of runs at this point, and it also fits into the ens mean/derived telecon spread.  

we saw 80 as late as nov 9 in 2020.   we're 3 to 3.5 weeks up hill in solar so it's interesting if we can get that or even a couple of 85ers.   the metrics are ideal, otherwise.  near nil ceiling rh, west wind conveyor toting 850s 14+C .   one should assume they'll be slightly higher than 13 when/if the overall impression is taking place.. impressive anomaly for this time of year when 500 mb non hydrostats over 588 dm ... the only limiting factor is whether the steepening angle of the sun can dump enough energy into that environment - if so... what are the records for that period, sat and sun?

if one is a warm weather enthusiast ... just bear it for a couple days in the near term.   the synoptic wind may still be active tomorrow night but with these longish nocturnal ... anywhere that does manage to decouple may drop below the 2-meter 37s

Its 80+ in spots 

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