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Rocktober Obs/DISCO


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Some Thursday AM whitening of the peaks?

Given
the cold core aloft and timing of the best synoptic scale forcing
approaching our western cwa around 21z Weds, still thinking some
graupel and a rumble or two of thunder is possible within the
heavier convective elements. As dynamics with s/w energy moves east,
a period of upslope rain and snow showers is likely on Weds night
into Thurs morning, with a light snow accumulation above 2500 feet.
Little change has been noted in the latest thermal profiles with
progged 850mb temps between -3C and -5C and 925mb temps approaching
0C for a time on Weds night. Our latest total snowfall girds
indicate up to an inch possible High Peaks of the Dacks and along
the summits of the northern/central Greens from Mt Mansfield to Jay
Peak. In addition, with progged 850mb temps hovering near 0C on Weds
have utilized the mtn max t adjust tool to highlight much cool temps
at summit level, compared to the warmer valleys. Highs generally
mid/upper 30s to mid/upper 50s depending upon your elevation.
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1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Some Thursday AM whitening of the peaks?

Given
the cold core aloft and timing of the best synoptic scale forcing
approaching our western cwa around 21z Weds, still thinking some
graupel and a rumble or two of thunder is possible within the
heavier convective elements. As dynamics with s/w energy moves east,
a period of upslope rain and snow showers is likely on Weds night
into Thurs morning, with a light snow accumulation above 2500 feet.
Little change has been noted in the latest thermal profiles with
progged 850mb temps between -3C and -5C and 925mb temps approaching
0C for a time on Weds night. Our latest total snowfall girds
indicate up to an inch possible High Peaks of the Dacks and along
the summits of the northern/central Greens from Mt Mansfield to Jay
Peak. In addition, with progged 850mb temps hovering near 0C on Weds
have utilized the mtn max t adjust tool to highlight much cool temps
at summit level, compared to the warmer valleys. Highs generally
mid/upper 30s to mid/upper 50s depending upon your elevation.

Boing!

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It’s great to see even just a small amount of moisture around here. My hand needed a bit of a break from watering some newly planted grass. That plus all the late blooming plants were starting to get a little dried out. Hopefully we can get another boost in a few days or so.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m kidding. Looks like flakes certainly possible. 

I mean, it’s also not that exciting as a region so I get that lol… but it’s a start.  It’s going to happen eventually.

It’s the time of year when folks start stroking the weenie in the middle of the street over 3-minute graupel showers.  Or at least it used to be on the forums.  We’ve all been a bit more jaded and beaten down (or just older) than a decade ago, ha.

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33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Where is that map or link on BOX site for today’s rain amounts that was posted? I can’t find it anywhere.

Still holding to your theory that the Tampa area can't get hit by a hurricane because of the shape of the coast? Why don't you repost in the hurricane thread. See how that goes over.

 

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1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

well... we can look forward to nominally below normal temperatures followed by nominally above normal temperatures, with nominal to no rain through the 23rd or so.    hm hm?

At least the last two weeks have had some tropical interests to spice things up...but good lord the last two years have featured total meteorological ennui.

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36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And that you’re older :lol:

So true!  My even older neighbor turned his on weeks ago.

My threshold is mid 60s in the downstairs areas mid day.  So I flipped it on.  It will kick on occasionally overnight after warming us to 68-my preferred temperature in the cold season.

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