gravitylover Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: That's okay Mother Nature is saving all the moisture for winter. And it'll all fall on you at 33° with a southerly wind. Sorry... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Milton to Be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Milty eyeing up Tampa Bay? Stellar fall day out this way; traffic already building from all the city folk headed to the orchards. That our local tax base is thankful for! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 1 hour ago, ForestHillWx said: Milty eyeing up Tampa Bay? Stellar fall day out this way; traffic already building from all the city folk headed to the orchards. That our local tax base is thankful for! Traffic is building up this way as you go into Sussex County as well. Had a horrible experience at Alstede Farms many years back with horrendous traffic and place was crowded beyond words. Not enjoyable at all and have not been back since. Just can't take all that, ruins the Fall experience. Great place most of the time but from mid September to late October we tend to stay away, especially on the weekends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Beautiful and dry outside. Laying out and grilling today. It's like part of the September we lost out on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 1 hour ago, MANDA said: Traffic is building up this way as you go into Sussex County as well. Had a horrible experience at Alstede Farms many years back with horrendous traffic and place was crowded beyond words. Not enjoyable at all and have not been back since. Just can't take all that, ruins the Fall experience. Great place most of the time but from mid September to late October we tend to stay away, especially on the weekends. We live about 2 miles as the crow flys. Cannot disagree. Great place, but we avoid it on weekends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Looks like some Monday morning elevated convection but not much in the way of drought relief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 75 and beautiful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Up to 79 here what a fine day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Major Hurricane now forecast near TPA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (1941) NYC: 94 (1941) LGA: 93 (1941) JFK: 84 (1967) Lows: EWR: 34 (1965) NYC: 35 (1881) LGA: 38 (1965) JFK: 36 (1965) Historical: 1638 - The journal of John Winthrop recorded that a mighty tempest struck eastern New England. This second severe hurricane in three years blew down many trees in mile long tracks. (David Ludlum) 1786 - The famous "Pumpkin Flood" occurred on the Delaware and Susquehanna Rivers. Harrisburg PA reported a river stage of twenty-two feet. The heavy rains culminated a wet season. (David Ludlum) 1786: The famous “Pumpkin Flood” occurred on the Delaware and Susquehanna Rivers. Harrisburg, PA, reported a river stage of twenty-two feet. 1917 - The temperature at Sentinel, AZ, soared to 116 degrees to establish an October record for the nation. (The Weather Channel) 1972 - Heavy rains, mostly the remnants of Tropical Storm Joanne, fell across much of Arizona. It was believed to be the first time in Arizona weather history that a tropical storm entered the state with its circulation still intact. The center was over Flagstaff early on the 7th. (3rd-7th) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - It was another day of scorching heat for the southwestern U.S. Afternoon highs of 102 degrees in Downtown San Francisco, and 104 degrees at Monterrey, established all-time records. The high of 101 degrees at San Jose was a record for October. Sacramento tied their record for October for the third time in the month, with a reading of 102 degrees. The high for the nation was 111 degrees at San Luis Obispo and Palm Springs. Twenty cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Knoxville TN with a reading of 34 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thirteen cities in the central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Duluth MN with a reading of 21 degrees. Goodland KS reported an afternoon high of 39 degrees. Showers over Upper Michigan produced an inch of snow at Marquette. (The National Weather Summary) 2010: Large hail pounded Phoenix, Arizona, causing nearly $3 billion in damage. Click HERE for more information from the NWS Office in Phoenix, Arizona. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 5 Share Posted October 5 5 hours ago, MANDA said: Traffic is building up this way as you go into Sussex County as well. Had a horrible experience at Alstede Farms many years back with horrendous traffic and place was crowded beyond words. Not enjoyable at all and have not been back since. Just can't take all that, ruins the Fall experience. Great place most of the time but from mid September to late October we tend to stay away, especially on the weekends. Used to like hacklebarney farm and also hiking the state park but both are so crowded on weekends 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 It will turn somewhat cooler tomorrow. Monday could see some showers as a strong cold front crosses the region. In its wake, the region will see its coolest air so far this season. New York City could see its first temperature below 50° since May 13th during the second half of next week. During the middle of the week, what will likely become major Hurricane Milton will likely make landfall on Florida's west coast. The storm will bring a devastating storm surge inland. There is a risk that Tampa could face some of the hurricane's worst impacts, but later guidance will lead to a more precise picture. In the Southwest and parts of California, near record and record heat continued. Phoenix reached 111°. Palm Springs reached 115°. That was the highest temperature on record so late in the season in the United States. The extreme heat will persist into early next week before it fades. The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer outcome is favored by the September run of the C3S multi-model forecast for Winter 2024-2025. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around September 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall. The SOI was +2.19 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.569 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 Highs: EWR: 79 PHL: 79 TTN: 78 JFK: 78 New Brnswck: 78 ACY: 78 TEB: 76 ISP: 76 BLM: 75 NYC: 75 LGA: 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 49 first 40’s of the season 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: 49 first 40’s of the season Wait. It was your first 40s? I've been in the 40s like 9x, and as low as 43. 1st 40s was 9/3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 Big temperature and dew point swings coming up this week. First 40s of the season for NYC with afternoon dew points dropping near freezing. Then a quick bounce back to 70s for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 Radiational cooling could be really strong this week due to the dryness Wouldn't be surprised to see 30s here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 41 for the low, so close to the first 30s of the season. KMGJ a couple miles away made it to 38. Time will tell if I'll get to the 30s this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 45 in Muttontown this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 55 / 54 off a low of 46. Another gorgeous day as the overall dry regime continues (when will it end). Low - mid 70s. Front comes through with some showers light rain or just clouds overnight into Monday morning. Cooler 10/8 - 10/10, perhaps some frost inland and northern sections before warming later this week and the next coming weekend Milton to aim for Florida's gulf coast between Naples and St Pete. Then cooler again by the 14th. - A bit back and forth - overall dry and near normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 Dryness running wild GOM low then Milton keep Florida drenched and likely the next recover zones along the gulf / west Florida coastvinto C Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 Records: Highs: EWR: 91 (1959) NYC: 90 (1941) LGA: 92 (1941) JFK: 88 (1997) Lows: EWR: 33 (1965) NYC: 36 (1881) LGA: 40 (1965) JFK: 36 (1965) Historical: 1836 - A second early season snowstorm produced eleven inches at Wilkes Barre PA and 26 inches at Auburn NY. All the mountains in the northeastern U.S. were whitened with snow. (David Ludlum) 1952: Sleet fell at several locations, making it the earliest documented winter precipitation in Arkansas. 1967: A Canadian weather record one-day rainfall of 19.3 inches falls at Brynnor Mines at Ucluelet. 1984 - The temperature at Honolulu, Hawaii, reached 94 degrees to establish an all-time record at that location. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - A tropical wave, later to become Tropical Storm Isabel, struck Puerto Rico. As much as 24 inches of rain fell in 24 hours, and the severe flooding and numerous landslides resulting from the rain claimed about 180 lives. (Storm Data) 1987 - The western U.S. continued to sizzle. Afternoon highs of 85 degrees at Astoria OR, 101 degrees at Tucson AZ, and 102 degrees at Sacramento CA, equalled October records. It marked the fourth time in the month that Sacramento tied their record for October. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Cool Canadian air prevailed across the central and eastern U.S. Toledo OH reported a record low of 27 degrees. Limestone ME received an inch of snow. Warm weather continued in the western U.S. Boise ID reported a record high of 87 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Temperatures soared into the 90s across southern Texas. Afternoon highs of 93 degrees at Houston, and 96 degrees at Austin and Corpus Christi, were records for the date. Beeville was the hot spot in the nation with an afternoon high of 101 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 2010: A significant severe weather event struck northern Arizona with at least eight confirmed tornadoes. This event will go down in history as the most tornadoes to hit Arizona in a single day. An EF2 tornado was on the ground for 34 miles, ranking as the longest-tracked tornado in Arizona history. 2016: Around a half dozen tornadoes struck Kansas, including an EF-2 and EF-3 in Saline County. 2016: The center of Category 4 Hurricane Matthew passed within 100 miles of Miami, Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 33 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 55 / 54 off a low of 46. Another gorgeous day as the overall dry regime continues (when will it end). Low - mid 70s. Front comes through with some showers light rain or just clouds overnight into Monday morning. Cooler 10/8 - 10/10, perhaps some frost inland and northern sections before warming later this week and the next coming weekend Milton to aim for Florida's gulf coast between Naples and St Pete. Then cooler again by the 14th. - A bit back and forth - overall dry and near normal. Cool land breeze boundary just off the coast of the Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 The drought continues 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: The drought continues Nothing in sight. Unless the euro is right and we get something tonight but it's probably overdone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 5 hours ago, Allsnow said: The drought continues What drought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 It's been a wet year but here's where we are at currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 6 Share Posted October 6 nice hoodie day today i felt very comfortable... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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