Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:07 PM What a difference from last fall where it rained 1-2x per week mostly on weekends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Tuesday at 08:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:21 PM Up to 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted Tuesday at 08:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:48 PM 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: that will be next month... Or a huge blizzard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted Tuesday at 08:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:55 PM Yeah I got enough drizzle to wet the ground but there was nothing more than 30 or 40 feet further down the hill or 3 blocks south. The WU station at the town highway dept garage a mile away didn't record .01 so does it count as 0? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 09:02 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:02 PM Might be another batch this evening/overnight if radar holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted Tuesday at 09:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:03 PM Unfortunately the dry streak in NYC is over picking up 0.01", but if no more rain falls through Thursday it should still be the driest month all-time behind June 1949 where 0.02" fell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted Tuesday at 09:25 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:25 PM 28 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Yeah I got enough drizzle to wet the ground but there was nothing more than 30 or 40 feet further down the hill or 3 blocks south. The WU station at the town highway dept garage a mile away didn't record .01 so does it count as 0? it counts as a trace -no "measurable rain", which I believe "no measurable precipitation" is the official streak... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Tuesday at 09:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:31 PM The warmup will continue tomorrow with the temperature reaching or exceeding 70° in parts of the region. The warmth will crest on Thursday with temperatures topping out well into the 70s across much of the region. The warmest spots, including Hartford, Newark and Philadelphia, will likely reach or exceed 80°. Already, records were tied or broken in the Midwest. Records included: Cleveland: 78° (tied record set in 1946) Detroit: 79° (old record: 77°, 1999) Green Bay: 82° (old record: 77°, 1937) Milwaukee: 81° (tied record set in 1937) Minneapolis: 80° (old record: 78°, 1922) Green Bay's reading was the latest 80° or above temperature on record. The prior latest such temperature occurred on October 23, 1899. Through 5 pm EDT today, New York City has seen just 0.01" of rainfall for October. The old record low figure through October 29 was 0.14" in 1963. At Philadelphia, rainfall has been a trace. The prior record was 0.09", which was set in 1924 and tied in 1963. Today is Philadelphia's 31st consecutive day with no measurable precipitation. The old record of 29 days was set during October 11 through November 8, 1874. Precipitation in the northern Mid-Atlantic region will likely remain below to much below normal through October. As a result, October monthly and all-time monthly record low precipitation amounts will likely be approached or broken in parts of the region. Select October and Monthly Record Low Precipitation Amounts: Allentown: October: 0.15", 1963 Monthly: 0.09", May 1964 Period of Record: January 1912-Present New York City: October: 0.14", 1963 Monthly: 0.02", June 1949 Period of Record: January 1869-Present Newark: October: 0.21", 1963 Monthly: 0.07", June 1949 Period of Record: January 1893-Present Philadelphia: October: 0.09", 1924 and 1963 Monthly: 0.09:, October 1924 and October 1963 Period of Record: November 1871-Pesent Trenton: October: 0.05", 1963 Monthly: 0.05", October 1963 Period of Record: September 1865-Present Wilmington, DE: October: 0.05", 1924 Monthly: 0.05", October 1924 Period of Record: January 1894-Present Looking beyond October, November is likely to be warmer to perhaps much warmer than normal in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer outcome is favored by the October run of the C3S multi-model forecast for Winter 2024-2025. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around October 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late fall. The SOI was -3.87 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.900 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 60.6° (2.7° above normal). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted Tuesday at 11:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:15 PM Raining here. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Tuesday at 11:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:49 PM .10 thru the tipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted Wednesday at 12:06 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:06 AM Dripping here. I wouldn't even call it drizzle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Wednesday at 12:13 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:13 AM enough to wet the pavement here #winning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Wednesday at 12:50 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:50 AM Nam ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Wednesday at 01:05 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:05 AM Raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobbyHolikWillFindYou Posted Wednesday at 01:14 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:14 AM Earlier in Passaic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted Wednesday at 03:15 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:15 AM Still bone dry down here. Enjoy the raindrops! What a crazy fall. Low for the month: 29.3 High: 83.5 Rain: Zero.zerozero Wild! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LAVistaNY Posted Wednesday at 09:48 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:48 AM .03 in the rain gauge yesterday! Westchester/CT border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Wednesday at 11:47 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:47 AM A few spots could overperform and reach 80° today in NJ. Then more widespread 80° readings expected tomorrow. Thursday will be closer to record high temperatures in spots. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Wednesday at 12:18 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:18 PM 28 minutes ago, bluewave said: A few spots could overperform and reach 80° today in NJ. Then more widespread 80° readings expected tomorrow. Thursday will be closer to record high temperatures in spots. The ensembles look like a torch and a continuation of the drought for November 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 01:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:34 PM 59 / 52 warming to near 80 today , near / low 80s Thu and Fri ahead of the front which could bring more scattered showers. beyond that near normal weekend, ridge rebuilds Tue for a very warm first week next month. Trough / front with some cooler arriving between the 7 - 9th and the next chance of rain, otherwise after brief cool down overall warm with the dry continuing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 01:43 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:43 PM Records: Highs: EWR: 82 (1946) NYC: 82 (1961) LGA: 81 (1946) JFK: 79 (1961) Lows: EWR: 31 (1932) NYC: 31 (1925) LGA: 35 (2011) JFK: 30 (1962) Historical: 1925 - Nashville, TN, was blanketed with an inch of snow, their earliest measurable snow of record. (The Weather Channel) 1947 - The Donora, PA, smog disaster finally came to an end. For five days an inversion trapped impurities in the lower atmosphere over the Monongahela Valley killing 20 persons, and leaving more than 2000 others sick. (26th-30th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 74 mph near the town of Gould. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the central U.S. Temperatures warmed into the 80s form Texas to the Lower Missouri Valley. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Ten cities in the Upper Midwest reported record low temperatures for the date. The morning low of 20 degrees at South Bend IND was a record for October, and lows of 18 degrees at Grand Rapids MI and 20 degrees at Fort Wayne IND equalled records for October. The low of 2 degrees at International Falls MN smashed their previous record for the date by 11 degrees. Syracuse NY received 2.9 inches of snow to establish a record for October with 5.7 inches for the month. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Temperatures soared into the 70s in the northeastern U.S. The record high of 73 degrees at Alpena MI marked their sixth straight day of record warmth. In the western U.S., Klamath Falls OR reported a record low of 19 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1991: The Perfect Storm, also known as the No-Name Storm reached maximum strength on this day with a low pressure of 972 mb and sustained winds of 69 mph. https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/perfect-storm-hits-north-atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted Wednesday at 01:44 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:44 PM No rain here. Still sitting at a trace for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Wednesday at 01:44 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:44 PM 1 hour ago, bluewave said: A few spots could overperform and reach 80° today in NJ. Then more widespread 80° readings expected tomorrow. Thursday will be closer to record high temperatures in spots. It'll be interesting if Tue (5th) Wed (6th) can get any sites close to 80 during the next ridge expansion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX-PA Posted Wednesday at 04:22 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:22 PM 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: It'll be interesting if Tue (5th) Wed (6th) can get any sites close to 80 during the next ridge expansion. Has it ever hit 80 in November? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Wednesday at 04:40 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:40 PM 17 minutes ago, WX-PA said: Has it ever hit 80 in November? The last time was in 2022. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of NovClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1950 85 0 2 2022 81 0 - 2003 81 0 - 1974 81 0 3 1993 80 0 - 1982 80 0 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted Wednesday at 05:19 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:19 PM 3 hours ago, SACRUS said: It'll be interesting if Tue (5th) Wed (6th) can get any sites close to 80 during the next ridge expansion. Should get there easily with the drought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Wednesday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:23 PM Fridays front looks dry now. Shocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Wednesday at 05:37 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:37 PM 76 now. Hot in the sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Wednesday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:54 PM Halloween should be in the 40s and 50s Not 60s or 70s Wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Wednesday at 05:55 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:55 PM ewr is being weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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