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8 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

Always goes north and is less extreme than modeled 5 days out

It will initially start out as an over the top warm up with the near record 590 dm ridge for late October. But it takes several days for the warmest temps to make into the region like we saw over the summer. It’s late October so we will be getting highs of 75-80°. When we had a near record 500mb ridge back over the summer it was 95°-100°. We got lucky that this dry pattern since August 20th is well past the peak summer heating.

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57 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Still no rain in our future 

 

where is the pac jet? The drought is getting serious now 

The Aleutian Ridge has been so strong from east of Japan to the Dateline that the Pacific Jet got forced much further north than usual leaving much of the CONUS dry.

 

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46 / 34 off a low of 41.  Assuming we get sun, temps will out perform guidance and get to the low 60s.   low 40s tonight and 30s inland (frost).  Coolest day tomorrow (Game 3 citifield 40s). Temps in sunshine will out perform and radiational cooling will too.  Warmer by Fri, perhaps touching near 80 in the warmer spots Sun and monday. Dry lingers and overall warmer, although guidance is a bit cut off-ish now towards later next week with easterly flow.

 

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