October 2024

[495weatherguy]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

This is disgusting for October 31. Im outside handing out candy in shorts and short sleeves. 

80 degrees here

Awesome weather!

[Volcanic Winter]

2 hours ago, forkyfork said:

two broken so far

84 here. 
 

[Volcanic Winter]

7 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

Awesome weather!

In the correct season, sure. 

I enjoy fall for the cool, beautiful time of year that it’s supposed to be. We shouldn’t be this warm - sustained - heading into Nov. A day or two, or three, - I’ll give you. It’s a given anyway these days 

[Brian5671]

36 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

This is disgusting for October 31. Im outside handing out candy in shorts and short sleeves. 

80 degrees here

you'll be Christmas caroling in shorts this year too

[lee59]

79 my high, now 76.

[ecovers94]

why is it so hopeless? why is it IMPOSSIBLE for it to rain? 

[FPizz]

3 minutes ago, ecovers94 said:

why is it so hopeless? why is it IMPOSSIBLE for it to rain? 

geoengineering gone wrong   

[Allsnow]

Kphl ties its record 

[Stormlover74]

14 minutes ago, ecovers94 said:

why is it so hopeless? why is it IMPOSSIBLE for it to rain? 

Think of all the months we had tons of rain. Nature balances itself out eventually 

[ecovers94]

12 minutes ago, FPizz said:

geoengineering gone wrong   

literally thinking it's the only thing that will fix this + 80 degree Halloweens

[ecovers94]

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Think of all the months we had tons of rain. Nature balances itself out eventually 

is it really a balance right now? or a frightening new extreme?

[Stormlover74]

Just now, ecovers94 said:

is it really a balance right now? or a frightening new extreme?

Well yeah. One extreme to the next

[SnoSki14]

4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Well yeah. One extreme to the next

That's the problem. There's no middle ground anymore. 

1 hour ago, 495weatherguy said:

Awesome weather!

If it wasn't for the worsening drought then sure but we are getting perilously close to some massive fire event. 

[SACRUS]

 

Made it to 83 - clouds popper up in the last hour

 

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, 495weatherguy said:

Awesome weather!

I just had 21 kids within the last hour come to my house for candy. 

[doncat]

81 high here today... warmest on station record for so late in season .

[donsutherland1]

Numerous cities, particularly in the northern Mid-Atlantic region, saw all-time monthly record low precipitation. Numerous cities also experienced their driest September 1-October 31 period on record. Drought in the Northeastern U.S. continued to expand.

[SnoSki14]

2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Numerous cities, particularly in the northern Mid-Atlantic region, saw all-time monthly record low precipitation. Numerous cities also experienced their driest September 1-October 31 period on record. Drought in the Northeastern U.S. continued to expand.

What was our worst drought intensity designation? 

[doncat]

Trace...7th warmest in 47 years.

[donsutherland1]

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

What was our worst drought intensity designation? 

I believe parts of the region were in extreme drought during 1964-65.

[donsutherland1]

October ended with exceptionally warm readings. Records fell across much of the northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England areas. New York City finished with a monthly mean temperature of 60.9°, which was 3.0° above normal.

High temperatures included:

Albany: 79° (old record: 75°, 2019)
Allentown: 82° (old record: 81°, 1950) ***highest temperature so late in the season***
Bangor: 78° (old record: 71°, 1956) ***highest temperature so late in the season***
Binghamton: 75° (old record: 70°, 2003)
Bridgeport: 77° (old record: 75°, 2004)
Burlington: 77° (old record: 71°, 2019)
Caribou: 77° (old record: 69°, 1942, 1956, 1989) ***highest temperature so late in the season***
Concord: 79° (old record: 78°, 1946)
Harrisburg: 82° (old record: 81°, 1950)
Hartford: 84° (old record: 82°, 1946) ***highest temperature so late in the season***
Islip: 80° (old record: 73°, 2004)
Manchester: 81° (old record: 75°, 1999)
New York City-Central Park: 81° (tied record set in 1946)
New York City-JFK Airport: 78° (old record: 75°, 1950)
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 83° (old record: 81°, 1946)
Newark: 83° (old record: 82°, 1946)
Philadelphia: 82° (tied record set in 1946)
Poughkeepsie: 82° (old record: 78°, 1946)
Scranton: 79°(old record: 75°, 1950)
Syracuse: 81° (old record: 75°, 2003)
Trenton: 82° (old record: 81°, 1946)
Wilmington: 82° (tied record set in 1946)

November will get off to a very warm start with temperatures topping out in the lower to middle 70s. Parts of the region could reach or exceed 80°.

Through today, New York City had seen just 0.01" of rainfall for October. That makes October 2024 New York City's driest month on record At Philadelphia, rainfall has been a trace, which also set a new all-time monthly record. Today is Philadelphia's 33rd consecutive day with no measurable precipitation. The old record of 29 days was set during October 11 through November 8, 1874.

Select October rainfall amounts and October and Monthly Record Low Precipitation Amounts:

Allentown:
October 2024: 0.02"
Old October Record: 0.15", 1963
Old Monthly Record: 0.09", May 1964
Period of Record: January 1912-Present

New Brunswick:
October 2024: None
Old October Record: 0.25", 1963
Old Monthly Record: 0.02", June 1949
Period of Record: January 1893-Present

New York City:
October 2024: 0.01"
Old October Record: 0.14", 1963
Old Monthly Record: 0.02", June 1949
Period of Record: January 1869-Present

Newark:
October 2024: Trace
Old October Record: 0.21", 1963
Old Monthly Record: 0.07", June 1949
Period of Record: January 1893-Present

Philadelphia:
October 2024: Trace
Old October Record: 0.09", 1924 and 1963
Old Monthly Record: 0.09:, October 1924 and October 1963
Period of Record: November 1871-Pesent

Trenton:
October 2024: Trace
Old October Record: 0.05", 1963
Old Monthly Record: 0.05", October 1963
Period of Record: September 1865-Present

Wilmington, DE:
October 2024: Trace
Old October Record: 0.05", 1924
Old Monthly Record: 0.05", October 1924
Period of Record: January 1894-Present

Allentown (1.32"), New Brunswick (1.06"), New York City (1.59"), Newark (0.89"), Philadelphia (0.77"), Trenton (0.43"), and Wilmington (0.33") also saw their lowest rainfall for September 1-October 31.

November will very likely to be warmer to perhaps much warmer than normal in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. Already, the sensitivity study is suggesting a 69% probability of a warmer than normal November and a 55% probability of a 50° or above mean temperature in New York City. Those are exceptionally high probabilities at a timeframe where model error is high.

The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer outcome is favored by the October run of the C3S multi-model forecast for Winter 2024-2025.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around October 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late fall.

The SOI was -3.93 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.686 today.

 

[Stormlover74]

Ewr +20. First since 3/15

[lee59]

Minneapolis 76 yesterday, currently 35 and snow.

[MJO812]

19 minutes ago, lee59 said:

Minneapolis 76 yesterday, currently 35 and snow.

My friend over there was shocked that it was snowing today .

[bluewave]

Some spots to our north approached +30 today.

 

THE WATERTOWN NY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 31 2024...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1949 TO 2024


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST      
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                          
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         78R  2:30 PM  72    1989  53     25       42        
  MINIMUM         63   6:25 AM  15    2002  35     28       26        
  AVERAGE         71                        44     27       34     

[SACRUS]

Highs:

 

TEB: 85
BLM: 84
EWR: 83
New Brnswck: 83
LGA: 83
PHL: 82
ACY: 82
TTN: 82
NYC: 81
ISP; 80
JFK: 78

[IrishRob17]

4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

I just had 21 kids within the last hour come to my house for candy. 

Isn't that what kids do on Halloween?

[MJO812]

9 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Isn't that what kids do on Halloween?

Not where I live

[SI Mailman]

People were leaving the candy out earlier in the day and the chocolate was melting from the heat. I avoided my normal haul delivering the mail because I didn’t feel like collecting chocolate sauce

[SnoSki14]

4 minutes ago, SI Mailman said:

People were leaving the candy out earlier in the day and the chocolate was melting from the heat. I avoided my normal haul delivering the mail because I didn’t feel like collecting chocolate sauce

Just your typical northeast Halloween. Drought, fires and 80s