Allsnow Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 40 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Best fall colors in years around here. Dry weather and cool nights? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 2 hours ago, Dan76 said: Wow I have clouds in my 7 day wee. Hmm. I’d see a Dr. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 62 / 49 and more near / low 80s today. A mostly dry front overnight and Thu will cool it down with a reinforcing, mainly dry front Sunday. Cooler Thu - Mon before ridging and warmth return on a Bermuda high 28th with a very warm close to the month. Dryness continues through the opening of Nov, overall warmer than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 Records: Highs: EWR: 87 (1947) NYC: 85 (1947) LGA: 86 (1947) JFK: 77 (1978) Lows: EWR: 30 (1997) NYC: 32 (1969) LGA: 32 (1969) JFK: 33 (1969) Historical: 1761 - A hurricane struck southeastern New England. It was the most violent in thirty years. Thousands of trees blocked roads in Massachsuetts and Rhode Island. (David Ludlum) 1843 - "Indian Summer" was routed by cold and snow that brought sleighing from the Poconos to Vermont. A foot of snow blanketed Haverhill NH and Newberry VT, and 18 to 24 inches were reported in some of the higher elevations. Snow stayed on the ground until the next spring. (22nd-23rd) (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) (The Weather Channel) 1878: One of the most severe hurricanes to affect eastern Virginia in the latter half of the 19th century struck on October 23, 1878. This storm moved rapidly northward from the Bahamas on October 22nd and hit the North Carolina coast late that same day moving at a forward speed of 40 to 50 mph. The storm continued northward passing through east central Virginia, Maryland and eastern Pennsylvania. The barometric pressure fell to 28.78". The five minute sustained wind reached 84 mph at Cape Henry. During the heaviest part of the gale, the wind at Kitty Hawk, North Carolina registered 100 mph. The instrument itself has finally blown away and therefore no further record was made. 1920: Famed research meteorologist Theodore Fujita, was born on this date in Kitakyushu City, Japan. Fujita, known as "Mr. Tornado" after developing the international standard for measuring tornado severity, also discovered microbursts. 1947: Fish fell from the sky in Marksville, LA. Thousands of fish fell from the sky in an area 1,000 feet long by 80 feet wide possibly due to a waterspout. 1987 - Thirteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. It marked the sixth record low of the month for Greer SC and Columbia SC, and the ninth of the month for Montgomery AL. Showers and thunderstorms deluged Corpus Christi TX with five inches of rain. Winnemucca NV reported their first measurable rain in ninety-two days, while Yakima WA reported a record 96 days in a row without measurable rainfall. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Denver, CO, reported their first freeze of the autumn, and Chicago, IL, reported their first snow. In Texas, afternoon highs of 93 degrees at Austin and San Antonio were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - A storm moving out of the Gulf of Alaska brought rain and high winds to the Central Pacific Coast Region. High winds in Nevada gusted to 67 mph at Reno, and thunderstorms around Redding CA produced wind gusts to 66 mph. Locally heavy rains in the San Francisco area caused numerous mudslides, adding insult to injury for earthquake victims. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2015: On this day, Hurricane Patricia became the most powerful tropical cyclone ever measured in the Western Hemisphere as its maximum sustained winds reached an unprecedented 200 mph (320 kph) and its central pressure fell to 879 millibars (25.96 inches of mercury). Hurricane Patricia became the strongest Pacific hurricane on record shortly after midnight CDT early on Oct. 23. Air Force Hurricane Hunters had flown through the eye of Patricia and reported a sea-level pressure of 894 millibars as measured by a dropsonde inside the eye itself. Wind measurements suggested that the pressure measurement was not in the exact center of the eye and was probably not the absolute lowest pressure, prompting NHC to estimate the minimum central pressure at 892 millibars in its special 12:30 a.m. CDT advisory. Tropical cyclone strength comparisons are typically based on minimum central pressure. At 892 millibars, Patricia shattered the Eastern Pacific basin's previous record of 902 millibars set by Hurricane Linda in 1997. While a number of typhoons in the western North Pacific have been stronger, Patricia is now by far the strongest hurricane on record in any basin where the term "hurricane" applies to tropical cyclones – namely, the central and eastern North Pacific basins and the North Atlantic basin, which includes the North Atlantic Ocean itself plus the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jr461 Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 3 hours ago, snowman19 said: We have been a desert since August 20th and there’s no end in sight. One of the guys I work with is on well water and he said this is the 1st time in over 20 years that his well is starting to run low. He turned his lawn sprinklers off because of it I have a well, too, but unless pressure was noticeably lower or the water coming out of the faucets was no longer clear, how would one know if the well was running low? Ours is about 120 feet deep FWIW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 1 minute ago, jr461 said: I have a well, too, but unless pressure was noticeably lower or the water coming out of the faucets was no longer clear, how would one know if the well was running low? Ours is about 120 feet deep FWIW. I’ve never had well water so I know nothing about it. Just repeating what he told me last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 2 hours ago, cleetussnow said: Hmm. I’d see a Dr. LOL ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 80 haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 Euro bone dry out until 11/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Euro bone dry out until 11/2 Just amazing persistence on the dry pattern continuing. Even if there are some very light totals here and there with various frontal passages the message is that the dry pattern continues for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 This may be the first time we had two separate 590+DM ridge events in late October with the next big warm up next week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 Spent the day at a Pinelands cranberry farm - these folks REALLY need water as they're right in the middle of the harvest. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 Newark only needs 3 more days for the new longest dry streak record. Number of Consecutive Days Precipitation < .01 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 26 1949-06-24 2 25 1939-11-30 3 24 1995-09-08 - 24 1980-02-15 - 24 1963-10-27 - 24 1959-09-27 - 24 1942-05-05 4 23 2024-10-22 - 23 1991-11-09 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 20 minutes ago, bluewave said: This may be the first time we had two separate 590+DM ridge events in late October with the next big warm up next week. Obviously November to be determined but the seasonal forecasts that had a cold and wet fall with lots of storminess are a real huge bust to this point 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 22 minutes ago, bluewave said: This may be the first time we had two separate 590+DM ridge events in late October with the next big warm up next week. Absolutely disgusting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 Foliage is strong but everything is bone dry so the leaves just look worn out. And it feels like the SW out there. Going from such wet conditions to setting a dryness record is something else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 Definitely at foliage peak around here currently Central Park should be soon as it looked close when I was there on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 love going for a walk and getting dust in my eyes 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 11 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Obviously November to be determined but the seasonal forecasts that had a cold and wet fall with lots of storminess are a real huge bust to this point The longer that marine heatwave near Japan kept going you knew that it was only a matter of time before a big +EPO pattern emerged. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 6 minutes ago, forkyfork said: love going for a walk and getting dust in my eyes Best to stay by the stream under the bridge …… at least while it’s still flowing. As always …. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Obviously November to be determined but the seasonal forecasts that had a cold and wet fall with lots of storminess are a real huge bust to this point The EC hurricane season was a complete bust. Several called (euro seasonal) for a wet northeast with tropical remnants. It’s been completely dry here since August 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Obviously November to be determined but the seasonal forecasts that had a cold and wet fall with lots of storminess are a real huge bust to this point Yeah literally the complete opposite. October is going to have a huge positive temp departure 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 It will turn cooler tomorrow with the mercury being confined to the 60s. A shortlived but fairly sharp cool shot is likely Sunday into Monday before it warms up quickly early next week. Out West, yet another round of near-record and record heat is affecting Phoenix and Tucson. The heat will persist through Sunday. Tucson could see its latest 100° temperature on record. Through today, New York City has seen just a trace of rainfall for October. The old record low figure through October 23 was 0.02" in 1947. At Philadelphia, rainfall has been 0.00". The old record was a trace during 1886. Further, today is Philadelphia's 25th consecutive day with no measurable precipitation (tied for the 4th longest dry stretch). The record streak of 29 days set during October 11-November 8, 1874 will likely be challenged or broken. Precipitation in the northern Mid-Atlantic region will likely remain below to much below normal through October. The ECMWF ensembles, along with the experimental AIFS and FuXi AI versions continue to show very little precipitation. As a result, October monthly and all-time monthly record low precipitation amounts will likely be approached or broken in parts of the region. Select October and Monthly Record Low Precipitation Amounts: Allentown: October: 0.15", 1963 Monthly: 0.09", May 1964 Period of Record: January 1912-Present New York City: October: 0.14", 1963 Monthly: 0.02", June 1949 Period of Record: January 1869-Present Newark: October: 0.21", 1963 Monthly: 0.07", June 1949 Period of Record: January 1893-Present Philadelphia: October: 0.09", 1924 and 1963 Monthly: 0.09:, October 1924 and October 1963 Period of Record: November 1871-Pesent Trenton: October: 0.05", 1963 Monthly: 0.05", October 1963 Period of Record: September 1865-Present Wilmington, DE: October: 0.05", 1924 Monthly: 0.05", October 1924 Period of Record: January 1894-Present The NAO fell to a preliminary -2.751 on September 24th (all-time September record: -2.371, September 12, 1971). That was the 9th lowest value on record. La Niña winters following September cases where the NAO fell to -1.900 or below featured a predominantly positive NAO. The most recent such winters were 2016-2017 and 2022-2023. The mean temperatures for those winters in New York City were 39.3° and 41.0° respectively. The 1991-2020 normal value is 36.2°. A warmer outcome is favored by the October run of the C3S multi-model forecast for Winter 2024-2025. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around October 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late fall. The SOI was +11.86 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +4.795 today. The preliminary figure exceeds the October monthly record of +4.521 that was set just yesterday. It is also the highest autumn value on record. The old autumn record of +4.544 was set on November 2, 1978. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 94% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 60.0° (2.1° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 Strong +EPO patterns can be very dry this time of year like we also saw back in 1963. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 What and when is the longest the NYC area has went without rain? and when was the last time it lasted for this duration? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 I posted a list of longest NYC dry spells yesterday, now tied 10th longest: Rank _ Year ___ Days ___ Duration __________ _01 ___ 1924 ___ 36 ___ Oct 9 to Nov 13 _____ _02 ___ 1941 ___ 28 ___ Sep 5 to Oct 2 ______ t03 ___ 1884 ___ 27 ___ Sep 1 to 27 __________ t03 ___ 1910 ____27 ___ Sep 10 to Oct 6 _____ t05 ___ 1939 ___ 26 ___ Nov 6 to Dec 1 _____ t05 ___ 1973 ___ 26 ___ Oct 3 to 28 _________ t05 ___ 2001 ___ 26 ___ Apr 22 to May 17 ___ t08 ___ 1942 ___ 25 ___ Apr 11 to May 5 ____ t08 ___ 1968 ___ 25 ___ Feb 4 to 28 _________ t 10 ___ 1922 ___ 24 ___ Sep 13 to Oct 6 _____ t 10 ___ 1980 ___ 24 ___ Jan 23 to Feb 15 ___ t 10 ___ 1963 ___ 24 ___ Oct 4 to 27 _________ t 10 ___ 1995 ___ 24 ___ Aug 7 to 30 _________ t_10 ___ 2024 ___ 24 ___ Sep 30 to Oct 23 ___ It will only take five additional days for Oct 2024 to reach second place behind 36-day 1924. 1973 dry spell was followed by a record rainfall on Oct 29, 1973. 1963 dry spell was part of record dry October (0.14"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 The trees have to be struggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 23 Share Posted October 23 Almost the entire U.S. has tranquil weather. Eventually it will change, maybe just in time for the snow enthusiast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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