October 2024

[Picard]

Highest spread today was 30/83, at Walpack.  Just incredible.

Weird, freaky weather.  

Does anyone have access to reliable data on our all time driest 90-day stretch?  I'm curious.  I would think if this goes on another 2-3 weeks, which seems likely, that we've got to be getting closer to some all time records.

Meanwhile, while most of the US remains high and dry, out in Roswell, NM, they recorded 5.67" yesterday along with two fatalities.  Keep in mind they only get about 11" and change for the entire year, so half of it in a day.

For those still on the fence about climate change, well, what more can be said.  

[jm1220]

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, we are getting a sampler of the normal diurnal temperature range in the high desert.

Within 90 minutes it went from needing a jacket at 8am to able to wear shorts by 9:30. Crazy for LI which is surrounded by water. 

[TriPol]

354 hour GFS strikes again 

[bluewave]

9 hours ago, jm1220 said:

Within 90 minutes it went from needing a jacket at 8am to able to wear shorts by 9:30. Crazy for LI which is surrounded by water. 

This month really illustrates how so much of the daily minimum temperature rise over the years was due to increasing dew points. This is one of the first months in recent times where the maximum temperatures are driving the departures. It has usually been the other way around. 
 

October temperature departures so far

ISP…..max…+3.5….min….-1.8……+0.9

HPN…max….+3.8…min….+0.3….+1.7

EWR…max….+4.2…min…..0.0…..+2.1

POU…max…+4.2…..min…-3.8….+0.2

TTN…max…+3.7…..min….-1.8……+1.0

 

[jm1220]

2 hours ago, TriPol said:

354 hour GFS strikes again 

Ugh, 14 straight sleepless nights now. Thanks for posting that. 

[Brian5671]

44 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Ugh, 14 straight sleepless nights now. Thanks for posting that. 

At least we are starting to get some fantasy storms-some runs literally had nothing all 15 days...it's like living in S CA or ARZ

[gravitylover]

Still in the mid to high 40s below me but I'm at 65° already. 

[psv88]

Low of 51 here, more humid than past nights 

[SACRUS]

 

67 / 51 and another warm one near to mid 80s.  More near / low 80s tomorrow.   Cool down but remain dry by Thu and a reinforcing shot of cool Sat that looks mainly dry.  30s inland lows Sat into sunday.  warmer by the 28 and to close the month.  Models starting to look more active (perhaps stormy) towards the middle of the first week of November.  Dry continues through at least Halloween. 

 

[sheahunter]

1 hour ago, gravitylover said:

Still in the mid to high 40s below me but I'm at 65° already. 

I saw that on Wunderground temps for Mahopac

[Picard]

Higher jumping off points for the low temps this morning.  Couple stations already at 70+
Someone gets to 90?

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 86 (1979)
NYC: 88 (1979)
LGA: 83 (1979)
JFK: 77 (1984)


Lows:

EWR: 30 (1940)
NYC: 30 (1940)
LGA: 33 (1940)
JFK: 37 (2003)

 

Historical:  

 

 

1884: A drought which began in August, extended through September and continued until the last week October brought hardship to Northern, Central, and Eastern Alabama. The 22nd was the first day of general showers, and gentle rains fell from the 26th to the 29th.

1965 - The temperature soared to 104 degrees at San Diego, CA. Southern California was in the midst of a late October heat wave that year. Los Angeles had ten consecutive days with afternoon highs reaching 100 degrees. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1985 - A guest on the top floor of a hotel in Seattle, WA, was seriously injured while talking on the phone when lightning struck. Several persons are killed each year when the electrical charge from a lightning bolt travels via telephone wiring. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Yakutat, AK, surpassed their previous all-time yearly precipitation total of 190 inches. Monthly records were set in June with 17 inches, in September with 70 inches, and in October with more than 40 inches. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) Twenty-two cities in the eastern U.S., most of them in the southeast states, reported record low temperatures for the date. Morning lows of 30 degrees at Athens GA, 28 degrees at Birmingham AL, and 23 degrees at Pinson AL, were the coldest of record for so early in the season. (The National Weather Summary) Showers produced heavy rain in southern California, with amounts ranging up to five inches at Blue Jay. Flash flooding resulted in two deaths, ten injuries, and more than a million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A "nor'easter" swept across the coast of New England. Winds gusted to 75 mph, and large waves and high tides caused extensive shoreline flooding. A heavy wet snow blanketed much of eastern New York State, with a foot of snow reported in Lewis County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - A storm system moving out of the Gulf of Alaska brought rain to the Northern and Central Pacific Coast Region, with snow in some of the mountains of Oregon, and wind gusts to 60 mph along the Oregon coast. Six cities in Florida reported record low temp-eratures for the date, including Tallahassee with a reading of 34 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1997: Game 4 of the World Series between the Cleveland Indians and the Florida Marlins was the coldest game in World Series history. The official game-time temperature was 38 degrees at Jacobs Field in Cleveland. Wind chills as low as 18 degrees was reported during the game.

 

1998: Tropical Depression Thirteen formed on October 22 over the southwestern the Caribbean Sea. By the 24th, this tropical depression became Hurricane Mitch. This hurricane would rapidly intensify over the next two days, reaching Category 5 strength on the 26th. Hurricane Mitch would end up being the second deadliest hurricane in the history of the Atlantic Ocean.

 

 

[bluewave]

It does look like the MJO favors tropical development in the Western Caribbean later in October into November. But we would need the suppression pattern which has been in effect since August 20th to relax. Current extended Euro keeps the moisture to our east.

 

 

[Allsnow]

47 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It does look like the MJO favors tropical development in the Western Caribbean later in October into November. But we would need the suppression pattern which has been in effect since August 20th to relax. Current extended Euro keeps the moisture to our east.

 

 

 

[SACRUS]

49 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It does look like the MJO favors tropical development in the Western Caribbean later in October into November. But we would need the suppression pattern which has been in effect since August 20th to relax. Current extended Euro keeps the moisture to our east.

 

 

 

Great stats and an incredible stretch.  We'll see if the nov 2 - 7 period gets some rain or does it stay focuses into the SE.

[SACRUS]

 

76  / 49 and rocketing, reminds me of the April warm spells.  Records will be challenged outside of the park

[Stormlover74]

27 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

76  / 49 and rocketing, reminds me of the April warm spells.  Records will be challenged outside of the park

Yeah another 83 or 84 day for sure

[dieselbug]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

67 / 51 and another warm one near to mid 80s.  More near / low 80s tomorrow.   Cool down but remain dry by Thu and a reinforcing shot of cool Sat that looks mainly dry.  30s inland lows Sat into sunday.  warmer by the 28 and to close the month.  Models starting to look more active (perhaps stormy) towards the middle of the first week of November.  Dry continues through at least Halloween. 

 

 

I looked to find a calendar month at EWR and PHL with no precipitation for the entire month, and I don't think it has ever occurred on record. 

EWR  0.07" (June 1949)

PHL   0.24" (May 2023)

 

 

[donsutherland1]

Islip has reached 80° so far. That easily surpasses the daily record of 77° from 1979.

[bluewave]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

Great stats and an incredible stretch.  We'll see if the nov 2 - 7 period gets some rain or does it stay focuses into the SE.

Very lucky to be getting this dry pattern now as we could have exceeded 110° at the warm spots like Newark with enough SW to W flow during July. Some locations reached 108° during 2010 and 2011 and those summers had more rainfall than the last 60 days. The summer of 2022 had more rainfall also and still managed to get over 100° for 6 days. 

[SACRUS]

Up to 82 here

[lee59]

81 degrees here

[Volcanic Winter]

81. Looks like a low of only 49 around 7am. 

[Stormlover74]

Somerville 85

[Allsnow]

Torch 

[forkyfork]

cool how ewr is 80 behind the sea breeze in late october 

[bluewave]

27 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Somerville 85

While the records only go back to 1999, looks like this is the latest in the year that they reached 85°. They made it to 89° on 10-19-16. So just like after that very strong El Niño heading into La Niña like this fall.

 

First/Last Summary for SOMERSET AIRPORT, NJ
Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date.
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2016

05-25 (2016)

88

10-19 (2016)

88

146

[MJO812]

75 here

Disgusting

[Brian5671]

1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

Torch 

We've had cooler days in June.

[Allsnow]

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

We've had cooler days in June.

Cool fart this weekend then back to the torch