Daniel Boone Posted Wednesday at 04:15 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:15 PM 17 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Worth noting there his a high degree of forecast error possible after landfall, in terms of track and wind, due to the complex interaction with the ULL as well as poor forecast accuracy related strength and placement of ULLs to begin with. Good valid points. I agree with Snowgoose in that the stronger Helene is the more East She will trek as the ULL will have a tougher time pulling her around it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 04:38 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 04:38 PM You can already see the southerly flow really cranking on radar. We’re going to have some overachieving cells this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:47 PM UK much stronger this run 971 landfall compared with 980s previous runs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 04:55 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 04:55 PM The consistency of the icon and gfs have me nervous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted Wednesday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:36 PM 2 hours ago, Rainforrest said: Well a tropical storm watch for Transylvania county. That’s a new one. Lol If I had told you a couple of years ago "you will be under a Tropical Storm Watch before you are under a Winter Storm Watch again" I would have been horse laughed off the site 1 9 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted Wednesday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:50 PM 2 hours ago, strongwxnc said: Yup! As a person who covers buses at my school and they leave around 5:25am, this is good info to make decisions early ! . As a retired teacher and administrator with 34 years of experience including 8 years of making the call on closings there is no decision to make. Tomorrow the busses stay parked. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:04 PM 13 minutes ago, jburns said: As a retired teacher and administrator with 34 years of experience including 8 years of making the call on closings there is no decision to make. Tomorrow the busses stay parked. Our county just pulled the trigger about an hour ago. Closed school the rest of the week. A great decision indeed and couldn't agree more. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:06 PM Euro rain totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted Wednesday at 06:11 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:11 PM The TS wind field has expanded about 100 miles since the 8am advisory 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 06:13 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 06:13 PM Helene now appears to have a closed eyewall per Cuban radar. She’s primed for takeoff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted Wednesday at 06:37 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:37 PM Based on those model outputs recently posted, Raleigh may not see much of any rain at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Wednesday at 07:20 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:20 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 07:22 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:22 PM This is pretty amazing. Look at the fetch of moisture all the way down in the Gulf. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 07:26 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:26 PM Torrential rains here now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted Wednesday at 07:36 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:36 PM 10 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Torrential rains here now. Yep it’s here. Bringing some thunder with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted Wednesday at 07:42 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:42 PM 15 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Torrential rains here now. 4 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: Yep it’s here. Bringing some thunder with it. Indeed. Lightning is popping 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 07:49 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:49 PM Just light rain here but I hear the thunder coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 07:59 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:59 PM Seems like I'm fighting dry air. Temps have dropped to 66 but not much rain which is freaking great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 08:09 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:09 PM Yall want to do an obs thread or just keep everything here? Also torrential rainfall with lots of lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted Wednesday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:13 PM Keep everything here, IMO.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 08:23 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:23 PM This stuff coming from Atlanta means business. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted Wednesday at 08:26 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:26 PM My office is in clarkesville ga. Tornado warning popped up on phones and the sirens went off (around 3ish). Was super dark and the clouds were swirling. Radar had classic hook on it. Not sure if we saw a funnel but there were reports of one - then the wind and rain hit and almost instantly flooded the road. Entire town lost power. If this is what happens again tomorrow going to be wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Wednesday at 08:27 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:27 PM 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: This stuff coming from Atlanta means business. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk I'm going to be flying into that stuff coming from Atlanta in about an hour because somebody on here told me to fly today. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 08:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:33 PM Up to .52 on the day. 1.43 in the past 24 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 08:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:33 PM 6 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: I'm going to be flying into that stuff coming from Atlanta in about an hour because somebody on here told me to fly today. Will be one hell of a flight! Stay safe! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted Wednesday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:44 PM Big storm with heavy rain. Flood advisory for Transylvania county pretty good sized hail mixed in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 08:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:58 PM 13 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: Big storm with heavy rain. Flood advisory for Transylvania county pretty good sized hail mixed in Yeah I swore we had some brief hail in Canton about 10 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 09:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:00 PM Yep flash flooding warning for the Pigeon River from Tomorrow through Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted Wednesday at 09:00 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:00 PM This line of storms put down 2.50 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 09:03 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:03 PM 2 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: This line of storms put down 2.50 inches What are up to already? 5 plus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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