Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 10:02 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:02 PM 23 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Totals keep going up from WPC Looks like a wide area of 8 to 12 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 10:08 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:08 PM 18z gfs rainfall before Helene. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 10:11 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:11 PM 18z gfs catastrophic. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 10:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:12 PM 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: 18z gfs rainfall before Helene. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Still inching east. I really think someone gets 16"+ totals from this 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 10:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:14 PM 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Still inching east. I really think someone gets 16"+ totals from this The trends are not going the right way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 10:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:22 PM New rainfall map from NWS GSP. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 10:40 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:40 PM 53 minutes ago, wncsnow said: New rainfall map from NWS GSP. I bet these will be upped as well. This is still extremely impressive. Also if this thing ends up strengthening a good bit that will really put us under the gun for some extreme weather. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 10:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:55 PM More storms firing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted Tuesday at 10:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:56 PM 13 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I bet these will be upped as well. This is still extremely impressive. Also if the thing ends up strengthening a good bit that will really put us under the gun for some extreme weather. I wish it would all be as wrong as some of the snow forecasts of the past. This sounds like misery ahead. Chain sawing trees and being without power don't top my list of favorite things to do. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 11:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:17 PM 21 minutes ago, wncsnow said: More storms firing Things are going to go downhill from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 11:18 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:18 PM 21 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: I wish it would all be as wrong as some of the snow forecasts of the past. This sounds like misery ahead. Chain sawing trees and being without power don't top my list of favorite things to do. Yeah as shown currently this is going to be a historical event.. Not hyping but just looking at the data. Again any sudden change with this thing and that could greatly impact our area but so far all models have us as ground zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted Tuesday at 11:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:21 PM 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Yeah as shown currently this is going to be a historical event.. Not hyping but just looking at the data. Again any sudden change with this thing and that could greatly impact our area but so far all models have us as ground zero. They definitely do. It is not hype at all. It is a scary scenario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Tuesday at 11:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:22 PM 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yeah as shown currently this is going to be a historical event.. Not hyping but just looking at the data. Again any sudden change with this thing and that could greatly impact our area but so far all models have us as ground zero. The Southern Apps are going to be to a degree ground zero regardless just from Orographic lift. As well as the convergence the mountains provide with the ULL. It's possible the "wealth" could be spread around a bit more and places like Ashville end up with less than forecast. But somewhere in the higher elevations is getting double digit rainfall. No doubt about it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Tuesday at 11:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:22 PM Whats the latest thinking on forward speed? I'm flying Thurs mid day from New Orleans thru CLT to GSO. I'm fine with bumpy. Just more concerned about cancellations in the SE if Helene comes in fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Tuesday at 11:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:23 PM 1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said: They definitely do. It is not hype at all. It is a scary scenario. BTW, how appropriate a user name. This well could be NC's Joaquin! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 11:24 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:24 PM Tomorrow morning is the time to batten down the hatches. Get your generator going and making sure you have flashlights, blankets, water, maybe a camp cooking stove, and possibly an alternative place to stay in case your power goes out for an extended period of time. Also if you live near a river or stream keep an eye out but do not wait until the last minute to leave your home. Also be sure you have an alternate plan for your animals. They are family so take care of them and keep them safe as well. Just be prepared and tune into here and the NWS because you know we are some of the best to keep up to date info at the first of hearing anything. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:26 PM 3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: The Southern Apps are going to be to a degree ground zero regardless just from Orographic lift. As well as the convergence the mountains provide with the ULL. It's possible the "wealth" could be spread around a bit more and places like Ashville end up with less than forecast. But somewhere in the higher elevations is getting double digit rainfall. No doubt about it. Yeah no doubt about that and also a great assessment to the southern upslope factor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:26 PM Old fort is getting pounded again with storms. They have had 2 inches today in spots already. I am also surprised at all the tornado warnings near us today in TN, KY, and VA. I'm sure there will be some with Helene too. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:26 PM 4 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Whats the latest thinking on forward speed? I'm flying Thurs mid day from New Orleans thru CLT to GSO. I'm fine with bumpy. Just more concerned about cancellations in the SE if Helene comes in fast. You are probably screwd.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted Tuesday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:26 PM 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: BTW, how appropriate a user name. This well could be NC's Joaquin! I was not a fan of SC's Joaquin 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 11:29 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:29 PM 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Old fort is getting pounded again with storms. They have had 2 inches today in spots already. I am also surprised at all the tornado warnings near us today in TN, KY, and VA. I'm sure there will be some with Helene too. Yeah I believe @GaWx has alluded to possible severe storms and Tornados as Helene runs her way through the SE and us. If she moves quickly and right over our area we could see some narly cells cross the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Tuesday at 11:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:31 PM 4 minutes ago, Met1985 said: You are probably screwd.... So rebook for tomorrow night. Got it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 11:36 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:36 PM 4 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: So rebook for tomorrow night. Got it. I would if you want to get home in time. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted Wednesday at 12:03 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:03 AM This could be a wild couple of days. The rain amounts are pretty insane - it’s been a while since anything like that here. I want to say Ivan or Katrina gave mby that kind of rain. Even if you cut back on the numbers it is still a ton of rain After Irma showed that our area could get really strong winds here, with this storm, depending on the exact track and how strong its gets before making landfall, it could be very windy. A lot of the models sometimes show it to the east, the the latest “official” track puts eastern ga, ne ga, western sc up to western nc on the eastern side of the storm. definitely keeping my phone charged up starting thur. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted Wednesday at 12:03 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:03 AM WIND GUST EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted Wednesday at 12:05 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:05 AM Wind Gust GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 12:08 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:08 AM Yeah the winds which we usually don't have to worry about seem worrisome currently. With a saturated ground and gusts 50 plus... That is a recipe for a lot of down trees. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 12:14 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:14 AM Also from what I'm gathering from the main tropical thread is that this storm. Is going to be large scale in size. This isn't going to be an extremely compact storm but more of a beast of a storm.. That will help generate some wild weather here across the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted Wednesday at 12:18 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:18 AM Have a feeling that Helene is going to leave a lasting impact and make some memories for folks along the lines of Fred, Ivan, Frances, etc. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 12:54 AM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 12:54 AM Digging around tonight into some local history. These were the rainfall amounts for the great flood of 1940. While idk if we hit the maxes in the illustration, this storm certainly will dump elevated totals on a larger area. In short - worried about everybody but especially worried locally for the Wilson Creek gorge and those downstream of Johns River and the Catawba. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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