wncsnow Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 UKMET 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Euro moving the Precursor rain closer to the escarpment (or over most of SWNC) each run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 12z euro. Not good.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 24 Author Share Posted September 24 I was going to change the name of the thread but I’m not seeing the option. Someone educate me. Is that a mod only thing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 3 minutes ago, BooneWX said: I was going to change the name of the thread but I’m not seeing the option. Someone educate me. Is that a mod only thing? No you can change it. It should allow you to modify the thread name. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 6 minutes ago, BooneWX said: I was going to change the name of the thread but I’m not seeing the option. Someone educate me. Is that a mod only thing? Go to the first post, press the 3 dots in the corner, press edit. At the top you should be able to edit the title. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 24 Author Share Posted September 24 Thanks yall. Goes to show how many times I’ve launched a thread 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said: Go to the first post, press the 3 dots in the corner, press edit. At the top you should be able to edit the title. Thank you! I forgot about the 3 dots! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Just now, BooneWX said: Thanks yall. Goes to show how many times I’ve launched a thread Practice makes perfect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 24 Author Share Posted September 24 Also, coc was moving sw the last few hours, it now appears to be on a nnw heading. Convection now firing downshear as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 I realize that the models are fine tuning the rain amounts, but after watching prior amounts vanish for mby I’m not buying anything until I can see the whites of its eyes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 These big storms moving through are not good with the Precursor and hurricane coming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Good afternoon everyone. I think it's good to note that the ULL is going to drop a lot of that rain at least IMBY before the hurricane gets here. Totals are totals, but I think a lot of people think these totals are coming from just the Helene. It's kinda wild to me that we will get an ULL and then a Hurricane right behind it. Don't recall that scenario in my years of tracking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 9 minutes ago, HWY316wx said: Good afternoon everyone. I think it's good to note that the ULL is going to drop a lot of that rain at least IMBY before the hurricane gets here. Totals are totals, but I think a lot of people think these totals are coming from just the Helene. It's kinda wild to me that we will get an ULL and then a Hurricane right behind it. Don't recall that scenario in my years of tracking. The amount of rain being shown from the ULL is absolutely being influenced by Helene. That's the PRE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Flood watches are up for wnc. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham- Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson- Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains- Greenville Mountains- Including the cities of Hot Springs, Mountain Rest, Cullowhee, Kyle, Franklin, Sylva, Brevard, Ramseytown, Spruce Pine, Asheville, Alarka, Stecoah, Old Fort, Busick, Mountain City, Cruso, Canton, Jonas Ridge, Cedar Mountain, Saluda, Burnsville, Swiss, East Flat Rock, Waterville, Black Mountain, Cashiers, Newland, Ingalls, Almond, Luada, Banner Elk, Bryson City, Cove Creek, Wesser, Faust, Micaville, Marshall, Walnut, Poplar, Robbinsville, Rainbow Springs, Patterson, Tuckasegee, Little River, Woodlawn, Chimney Rock State Park, Mars Hill, Glassy Mountain, Waynesville, Highlands, Ashford, Pine Mountain, Luck, Hendersonville, Etowah, Sugar Hill, Fletcher, Celo, Allenstand, Rocky Bottom, Clayton, Tuxedo, Wolf Mountain, Dana, and Candler 322 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Georgia, including the following area, Rabun, western North Carolina, including the following areas, Avery, Buncombe, Burke Mountains, Caldwell Mountains, Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Macon, Madison, McDowell Mountains, Mitchell, Northern Jackson, Polk Mountains, Rutherford Mountains, Southern Jackson, Swain, Transylvania and Yancey, and upstate South Carolina, including the following areas, Greenville Mountains, Oconee Mountains and Pickens Mountains. * WHEN...From Wednesday morning through Friday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in significant and damaging flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Areas that are not typically impacted by floodwaters may flood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall are expected due to the interaction of tropical moisture along a stationary front, followed by the passage of Tropical Storm Helene. Storm-total rainfall of 8-12 inches is expected along the entire length of the Blue Ridge Escarpment with widespread 5-8 inches expected across the remainder of the mountains as well as the Piedmont. This has the potential to be an extremely rare event with significant and damaging flash-flooding along numerous streams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Hoping everyone stays stays safe in the SE. Just saw the Euro and wow, hopefully it weakens in the next 24-48 hours. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 24 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: Flood watches are up for wnc. Winter has arrived! 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Just had a July type storm move through. .83 on the day so far. Over an inch on the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 24 Author Share Posted September 24 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Just had a July type storm move through. .83 on the day so far. Over an inch on the week. We went from dry to wet as a region at exactly the wrong time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Not a fan of these models showing 8-12in of rain IMBY. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 3.36 already since yesterday. Getting saturated fast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 18z NAM.....Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 7 minutes ago, Rainforrest said: 3.36 already since yesterday. Getting saturated fast. You're going to end up with a foot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: You're going to end up with a foot. I’m telling you I hope that’s all we get. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Really worried about my property in Old Fort. I'm up in the northeast for this week and have tried getting away from work to make it home to prepare. Unofrtunately, won't be able to. Hopefully don't return this weekend to too much damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted September 24 Author Share Posted September 24 Quite the wobble north on the last several frames. This could have major impacts downstream. Sheer is nearly gone, outflow is starting to establish a nice moist envelope ahead of it. If it can avoid landfall in the Yucatán…. Bombs away. I’m actually wondering if a close shave with the Yucatán could be a worse case scenario. Friction with the coast could tighten up any primitive core quickly. That scenario would also lend credit to the models projecting landfall just north of Cedar Key - which increases the odds of putting the remnant core directly over western NC and the Upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Flood Watch National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 322 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 GAZ017-018-026-SCZ104-105-250700- /O.NEW.KGSP.FA.A.0008.240925T1500Z-240927T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens- Including the cities of Royston, Canon, Demorest, Easley, Clemson, Seneca, Lavonia, Dacusville, Toccoa, Gumlog, Baldwin, Franklin Springs, Walhalla, Westminster, Boydville, Hollywood, Cornelia, Clarkesville, and Oakway 322 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Georgia, including the following areas, Franklin, Habersham and Stephens and upstate South Carolina, including the following areas, Greater Oconee and Greater Pickens. * WHEN...From Wednesday morning through Friday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in significant and damaging flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Areas that are not typically impacted by floodwaters may flood. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall are expected due to the interaction of tropical moisture along a stationary front, followed by the passage of Tropical Storm Helene. Storm-total rainfall of 8-12 inches is expected along the entire length of the Blue Ridge Escarpment with widespread 5-8 inches expected across the remainder of the mountains as well as the Piedmont. This has the potential to be an extremely rare event with significant and damaging flash-flooding along numerous streams. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flood Watch for flash flooding means there is a potential for rapid onset flooding based on current forecasts. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation and may impact areas that do not typically flood. Please monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action quickly should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$ TBW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 Totals keep going up from WPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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