2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[wncsnow]

Most webcams aren't that impressive. I expected heavier totals by now

 

[SnowDawg]

Surprisingly seeing some light accumulating snow all the way down my way this evening.

[gopack42]

47 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

15° with 2.5" of powder now in Wolf. 

18° here and maybe 3" or so up here.  Looks like we are in a similar situation 

[Met1985]

Upstream looking great.

[Met1985]

33 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Most webcams aren't that impressive. I expected heavier totals by now

 

Tonight is going to be great.  Ratios are going to be insane. 

[ncjoaquin]

Surprisingly, snowing pretty good here in Candler. Already have a dusting. That may be all I get, but that is more than I expected.

[wncsnow]

7 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said:

Surprisingly, snowing pretty good here in Candler. Already have a dusting. That may be all I get, but that is more than I expected.

I'm heading that way in the morning. I figure the roads should be fine 

[Met1985]

Getting reports of snow all the way down in Hendersonville. 

[ncjoaquin]

7 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I'm heading that way in the morning. I figure the roads should be fine 

I saw someone on Facebook saying 240 through the cut was slick. Of course, that's Facebook, so take that with a grain of salt. Be careful!!

[Sw NC weather]

Coming down at a decent clip everything is coated, that didn’t have snow left over. Is this flow snow yet or still from the low. If so trajectory must be good for me, I may be able to squeeze out a couple of inches.

[franklin NCwx]

Pouring snow in Franklin 

[Sw NC weather]

11 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

Pouring snow in Franklin 

Really coming down! Nice to see since the Tuesday system trended away from us.

[Maggie Valley Steve]

It's very squally out the tonight. Rates increase rather dramatically when they move thru and the ratios are not like what we typically see. A squall just moved through and dropped an inch. 

[WeatherHawk]

Been snowing heavy here in NW Watauga since about 2...about 2" or more and everything's covered again...gonna lock in for a few days, and wait around for more.  Snow has turned sideways now, some winds and heavy rates.  How is it in Eastern TN...near Mountain City/Johnson City areas?  

[The Alchemist]

Getting reports of snow all the way down in Hendersonville. 

Clear skies and stars are out 28.7° here on the east side of Saluda. Don’t think it’s gonna make it this far south tonight.


.

[NavarreDon]

Hello all, sounds like it’s been a decent January for you. I really thought this storm would trend north based on history with these systems. Boy was I wrong! I realize there is a dedicated thread for this but I wanted to share this here (mods please feel free to move if needed). Below is part of the MOB AFD from this afternoon. It’s certainly something I never thought I’d see. We are less than a mile from the water so I’m sure we’ll have some mixing issues. Sorry for the long post and the lack of relevance!

Winter Storm Likely... A potentially significant winter storm is
expected to affect areas along the northern Gulf Coast on Tuesday.
At this point, the "dry scenario" is pretty much off the table, and
with high probabilities suggesting that much of the area will see at
least 1 to 2 inches of snow, the entire local area is now under a
Winter Storm Watch from 6am Tuesday morning through 6am Wednesday
morning. Although there are still some precip-type uncertainties
along the coast, this will likely be an all-snow event for much of
the local area. Along the coast, there may be just enough of a warm
nose around the 850mb level to allow for some sleet pellets to be
mixed in. Otherwise, looking at temperature profiles prior to the
onset of precip, the dendritic growth zone looks to become fully
saturated by around 09z-12z overtop a very dry 0-1km layer. Precip
should initially start off as virga, or as very light flurries. Over
the following couple hours, the dry lower levels will begin to
moisten and cool (due to wet bulbing effects), likely bringing
surface temperatures/dew points into the 20s. By this point, heavier
snowfall rates will become realized and due to the colder
temperatures at the surface, snow will start to accumulate. Looking
at ensembles, the probability of accumulated snowfall greater than 3
inches continues to increase in comparison to previous days.
Probabilities now stand at roughly 40 to 60 percent, which is why we
are becoming increasingly concerned that this will be a significant
event for the local area. If snow amounts over three inches actually
occurred at KMOB, this would place us in the top 5 for historic
snowfall amounts on record for the site. If three inches of snow
occurs at KPNS, this would be actually be the highest accumulating
event since the late 1800s! It should also be noted that
probabilities have been pushed further to the south over the past
couple days, with the best probabilities lining up around the I-10
corridor. Although there could still be some more minor fluctuations
to where the heaviest snowfall will occur, these trends could lead
to some major problems along our coastal counties. We urge residents
and visitors to continue monitoring the forecast closely over the
next few days and to begin preparing for this event.


.

[Maggie Valley Steve]

1 minute ago, NavarreDon said:

Hello all, sounds like it’s been a decent January for you. I really thought this storm would trend north based on history with these systems. Boy was I wrong! I realize there is a dedicated thread for this but I wanted to share this here (mods please feel free to move if needed). Below is part of the MOB AFD from this afternoon. It’s certainly something I never thought I’d see. We are less than a mile from the water so I’m sure we’ll have some mixing issues. Sorry for the long post and the lack of relevance!

Winter Storm Likely... A potentially significant winter storm is
expected to affect areas along the northern Gulf Coast on Tuesday.
At this point, the "dry scenario" is pretty much off the table, and
with high probabilities suggesting that much of the area will see at
least 1 to 2 inches of snow, the entire local area is now under a
Winter Storm Watch from 6am Tuesday morning through 6am Wednesday
morning. Although there are still some precip-type uncertainties
along the coast, this will likely be an all-snow event for much of
the local area. Along the coast, there may be just enough of a warm
nose around the 850mb level to allow for some sleet pellets to be
mixed in. Otherwise, looking at temperature profiles prior to the
onset of precip, the dendritic growth zone looks to become fully
saturated by around 09z-12z overtop a very dry 0-1km layer. Precip
should initially start off as virga, or as very light flurries. Over
the following couple hours, the dry lower levels will begin to
moisten and cool (due to wet bulbing effects), likely bringing
surface temperatures/dew points into the 20s. By this point, heavier
snowfall rates will become realized and due to the colder
temperatures at the surface, snow will start to accumulate. Looking
at ensembles, the probability of accumulated snowfall greater than 3
inches continues to increase in comparison to previous days.
Probabilities now stand at roughly 40 to 60 percent, which is why we
are becoming increasingly concerned that this will be a significant
event for the local area. If snow amounts over three inches actually
occurred at KMOB, this would place us in the top 5 for historic
snowfall amounts on record for the site. If three inches of snow
occurs at KPNS, this would be actually be the highest accumulating
event since the late 1800s! It should also be noted that
probabilities have been pushed further to the south over the past
couple days, with the best probabilities lining up around the I-10
corridor. Although there could still be some more minor fluctuations
to where the heaviest snowfall will occur, these trends could lead
to some major problems along our coastal counties. We urge residents
and visitors to continue monitoring the forecast closely over the
next few days and to begin preparing for this event.


.

Winter Storm Warning is out for Houston! Enjoy Don! It certainly has not been the Winter that a lot of Long Range Prognosticators led us to believe!

[Met1985]

Yeah moderate snow here. We have a bit over an inch of cotton candy. It's 20 degrees and you could clear this stuff with a leave blower.  Should snow all night. 

[Met1985]

@NavarreDon hope you enjoy ol boy! We here in the mountains are getting a bit. Some more so than others but what a treat for you down on the coast! Historic to say the least. 

[franklin NCwx]

20 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said:

Really coming down! Nice to see since the Tuesday system trended away from us.

I might take a ride over soco tomorrow and see what they have.

[Met1985]

Tried to get a picture but it's absolutely puking the snow!

[Sw NC weather]

3 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

I might take a ride over soco tomorrow and see what they have.

They’ll be hammered I wouldn’t be surprised at all if they get 8+. Radar upstream looks great at the moment. Heck I’m starting to think I may crack 3” it’s flat out cranking snow right now.

[SnowDawg]

49 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I'm heading that way in the morning. I figure the roads should be fine 

Yeah doubt there'd be any problems, especially on main roads with the wind blowing this powder around. A lot of the county has a light dusting already at this point, with even a bit more in a few higher elevation spots sitting just right in the flow.

[Tony Sisk]

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Most webcams aren't that impressive. I expected heavier totals by now

 

Radar is not doing a good job picking up either. I believe that is a testament to how strong these winds are. Seeing people skiing at Beech Mountain…got to be troopers!

[snowbird1230]

Roads in Graham County were all covered around 3pm and still snowing 

[franklin NCwx]

11 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said:

They’ll be hammered I wouldn’t be surprised at all if they get 8+. Radar upstream looks great at the moment. Heck I’m starting to think I may crack 3” it’s flat out cranking snow right now.

Yeah it's ripping here! They might have a foot plus at this rate!

[Buckethead]

Currently at 4370 in Wolf:
Moderate snow
11°
Wind 300° at 14 G 36
Just under 4" on the board.

Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

[WNC_Fort]

Off and on flurries tonight but not the type of event to accumulate here. But, it's about all I can get these days.

[Met1985]

11 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said:

Radar is not doing a good job picking up either. I believe that is a testament to how strong these winds are. Seeing people skiing at Beech Mountain…got to be troopers!

GSP radar is down also.

[jburns]

45 minutes ago, NavarreDon said:

Hello all, sounds like it’s been a decent January for you. I really thought this storm would trend north based on history with these systems. Boy was I wrong! I realize there is a dedicated thread for this but I wanted to share this here (mods please feel free to move if needed). Below is part of the MOB AFD from this afternoon. It’s certainly something I never thought I’d see. We are less than a mile from the water so I’m sure we’ll have some mixing issues. Sorry for the long post and the lack of relevance!

Winter Storm Likely... A potentially significant winter storm is
expected to affect areas along the northern Gulf Coast on Tuesday.
At this point, the "dry scenario" is pretty much off the table, and
with high probabilities suggesting that much of the area will see at
least 1 to 2 inches of snow, the entire local area is now under a
Winter Storm Watch from 6am Tuesday morning through 6am Wednesday
morning. Although there are still some precip-type uncertainties
along the coast, this will likely be an all-snow event for much of
the local area. Along the coast, there may be just enough of a warm
nose around the 850mb level to allow for some sleet pellets to be
mixed in. Otherwise, looking at temperature profiles prior to the
onset of precip, the dendritic growth zone looks to become fully
saturated by around 09z-12z overtop a very dry 0-1km layer. Precip
should initially start off as virga, or as very light flurries. Over
the following couple hours, the dry lower levels will begin to
moisten and cool (due to wet bulbing effects), likely bringing
surface temperatures/dew points into the 20s. By this point, heavier
snowfall rates will become realized and due to the colder
temperatures at the surface, snow will start to accumulate. Looking
at ensembles, the probability of accumulated snowfall greater than 3
inches continues to increase in comparison to previous days.
Probabilities now stand at roughly 40 to 60 percent, which is why we
are becoming increasingly concerned that this will be a significant
event for the local area. If snow amounts over three inches actually
occurred at KMOB, this would place us in the top 5 for historic
snowfall amounts on record for the site. If three inches of snow
occurs at KPNS, this would be actually be the highest accumulating
event since the late 1800s! It should also be noted that
probabilities have been pushed further to the south over the past
couple days, with the best probabilities lining up around the I-10
corridor. Although there could still be some more minor fluctuations
to where the heaviest snowfall will occur, these trends could lead
to some major problems along our coastal counties. We urge residents
and visitors to continue monitoring the forecast closely over the
next few days and to begin preparing for this event.


.

@NavarreDon  If I was a MET I would have added another paragraph at the end of that statement.  Something like:

 Please keep in mind that we are talking about a storm that will most likely give us 3” of snow with some pockets of 6” possible. Roofs are not going to collapse and there will be no avalanches sweeping us into the Gulf.  As mentioned above it has not snowed this much in this area in over 100 years.   Layer up with sweaters and jackets, walk outside and enjoy something you will most likely never see again in your lifetime. Have a snowball fight, build a snowman, just take a walk and enjoy the sights with family and friends.