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2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread


Buckethead
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20 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said:

2.5 inches in Graham, sleet mixing in..pretty uneventful so far

Graham, as in Alamance Co? I'm in Gibsonville and not even close to that amount!

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So far, NWS was correct and the downsloping held true. I'm looking at .7 inches of snow. I'm not sure I will make it to an inch. Just never could get it going. Maybe there will be a burst later tonight.

Otherwise, on to the next one.  It looks like maybe there will be other chances. Congrats to all of those that really cashed in. I'm not complaining though. I'm happy to have some chances this winter!

Edited to add, my predominant precip has been sleet for a while.

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4 minutes ago, GoAPPS said:

The Asheville snow hole was well modeled. I had hoped it was overdone, but it kept showing up run after run across all the models. Currently sleeting in West Asheville.

Yep. I have seen it wrong many times, but not this time. 

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New Mesoscale Discussion....
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Here is the long version, sorry for the length!:

Mesoscale Discussion 0032
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0330 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2025

Areas affected...northern Georgia...eastern Tennessee...far western South Carolina...western North Carolina

Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation

Valid 102130Z - 110030Z

SUMMARY...Areas of moderate to heavy snowfall along the high terrain and mixed precipitation likely in the afternoon/evening across portions of east TN/north GA and western SC/NC.

DISCUSSION...A broad region of heavy precipitation continues to shift northward across northern Alabama into eastern Tennessee/northern Georgia beneath enhanced mid-level flow and forcing from an upper-level trough. This precipitation shield will continue to lift north and eastward this evening, bringing an increase in the precipitation rates across the region, extending into western North Carolina through time. Moderate to heavy snowfall will be possible (with occasional 1" hr rates) across the southern Appalachian Mountains in eastern Tennessee. Further south across northern Georgia into the western Carolinas, profiles will continue to support additional accumulations of freezing rain. NAM/RAP sounding analysis across northern Georgia into South Carolina show a warm nose at 850 mb with surface observations indicating temperatures remain in the upper 20s to 30s. Occasionally, mixed precipitation/sleet will be possible.


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