BretWx Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Let's get a decent one for my 15th anniversary on here. WILD how it has been that long! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheoahBald1 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Kinda hard to pay attention to the NAM when everything else is holding steady …. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 12Z GDPS: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago I took a break from model watching and went to the casino. I won a $1000. Let's hope my luck extends to our snow accumulation. 7 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said: I took a break from model watching and went to the casino. I won a $1000. Let's hope my luck extends to our snow accumulation. nice! What did you win on? Also I hope so too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Temps are razor thin on the NAM 3km. IMO going to take more than 500-750ft in the atmosphere of temps above freezing to full melt, especially with how cold the surface is. Thinking the NAM may have qpf close, but thinking temps might be causing the model to believe its sleet, but in reality it will fall as heavy snow with big flakes that stick together. Just my opinion, hope everyone is doing well! 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Just now, Hvward said: Temps are razor thin on the NAM 3km. IMO going to take more than 500-750ft in the atmosphere of temps above freezing to full melt, especially with how cold the surface is. Thinking the NAM may have qpf close, but thinking temps might be causing the model to believe its sleet, but in reality it will fall as heavy snow with big flakes that stick together. Just my opinion, hope everyone is doing well! Was waiting for you Hunter to pop back in! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: nice! What did you win on? Also I hope so too! Slots. I kept hitting the bonus. I left while I was ahead! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago The newest RAP is a crush job. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Just now, ncjoaquin said: Slots. I kept hitting the bonus. I left while I was ahead! Congrats and almost better you came in just under the minimal handpay. The 12z GFS is quite icy for central NC with up to an inch of snow as an FYI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 12Z GEFS MEAN: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 15 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: I took a break from model watching and went to the casino. I won a $1000. Let's hope my luck extends to our snow accumulation. Now thats a break! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Ah the RAP, a thing of beauty, too bad it’s the RAP haha. Give me the QPF and good moisture in the dendrite growth zone and I’ll take my chances. That fluff deck topper last night and Monday’s flow snow that’s leftover needs some company. Also, northern Haywood close to the state line had quite the surprise last night, saw a report of 3” at 4k elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 17 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: Slots. I kept hitting the bonus. I left while I was ahead! Let me know next time you go. We can meet up and have a beer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago This is the warmest sounding I can find on the gfs and this is south of franklin near the NC GA line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Let's just take the RAP and run with it. Weenie post **** 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 49 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Let me know next time you go. We can meet up and have a beer. I will do it. I only go a couple times a year, but I will let you know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago No real changes with the EURO at all. I think a call of 3-6IN should be coming out soon from GSP. Just need more QPF w/ this run and we'd be SOLID. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Temps are razor thin on the NAM 3km. IMO going to take more than 500-750ft in the atmosphere of temps above freezing to full melt, especially with how cold the surface is. Thinking the NAM may have qpf close, but thinking temps might be causing the model to believe its sleet, but in reality it will fall as heavy snow with big flakes that stick together. Just my opinion, hope everyone is doing well!+1 on this, really good analysis!. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago https://x.com/nwsgsp/status/1877402548304257266?s=46&t=0ZvB_AF2VfA6c0SDxf53yA. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Sitting at a crisp 27/DP4 here. I doubt we will make it to the forecasted 34. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Currently sitting at freezing at 1:28pm I hope it stays clear and lets out whatever amount of heat we manage to gather up today before the clouds roll in 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago We've managed to get to 25 so far after a low of 9. Actually feels really nice in the sunshine.MRX went straight to a warning for 3-5". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acc fan Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Winter Storm Warning Ashe Watauga. 3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 18Z HRRR coming in faster and colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Winter Storm Warnings up: ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 2 and 8 inches and ice accumulations around two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...A portion of western North Carolina. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Well they just pulled the trigger on the warnings for all of WNC. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Well they just pulled the trigger on the warnings for all of WNC. My guess is that new HRRR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Although, it has the LOW right over us.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago It's still juiced though: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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