2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[BlueRidgeFolklore]

12 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

Afternoon update...

I think you can extend that eastern heavy snow boundary all the way to the escarpment but overall a good sign.

The latest ICON run looked good for WNC as well. 

[BretWx]

43 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

I think you can extend that eastern heavy snow boundary all the way to the escarpment but overall a good sign.

The latest ICON run looked good for WNC as well. 

This solution would be great! Not only for us, but for our other snow-starved friends in the SE chat. Lets reel it in! 

[BretWx]

18Z GFS has snow starting to move into the area by 10AM Friday. 

[snowbird1230]

3 minutes ago, BretWx said:

18Z GFS has snow starting to move into the area by 10AM Friday. 

And alot of it.....

[CentralNC]

6 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said:

And alot of it.....

I would think a great deal of virga will be going on at that time.  Not sure if model picks up on this or not.  Lots of very dry air to overcome.

[Buckethead]

Went for a hike this afternoon with Met! It wasn't bad at all up there for a 15° afternoon. Then the sun went behind the mountain lol...

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[NavarreDon]

Great pics up above this post as well as below!

More good news from MOB’s afternoon AFD + my forecast for Friday below

AFD snippet:

Plenty of moisture and forcing will
allow for precip chances to increase rapidly throughout the
period. With no instability in place, expecting this event to
primarily be a widespread stratiform precip shield as opposed to
convection.

Friday forecast:

A chance of rain before 9am, then showers, mainly after noon. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 63. East wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.


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[Met1985]

Saw a beautiful sunset this evening with Buckethead. Was cold as freaking could be but was worth it!

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[calculus1]

That’s awesome, guys! Glad you could get together and do that. The pictures were amazing!

[BooneWX]

@calculus1we can top this. These folks have never seen the hotels on Hwy 70 in the snow. Magical stuff. We could even show them where the Spirit Halloween pops up once a year.

[calculus1]

1 hour ago, BooneWX said:

@calculus1we can top this. These folks have never seen the hotels on Hwy 70 in the snow. Magical stuff. We could even show them where the Spirit Halloween pops up once a year.

Absolutely! We have quite a few classics around here. Maybe the old Yesterday’s on NC 127 that’s now a plasma donation center will have a special sparkle with a couple inches of snow on the roof. 

We do get great views of Grandfather Mountain from US 321-N approaching the Catawba River on clear days. We just imagine what it must be like to have snow on the ground around us rather than a few short miles to our west and a half-plus mile up.

[ncjoaquin]

Winter storm watch for SW counties, N Georgia mountains, and Madison. Buncombe not there... Yet. Still plenty time for all kind of changes 

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=2 Miles NW Lake Junaluska NC&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=35.5277&lon=-82.9766

[Met1985]

This morning model runs have looked better than the overnight runs. Good stuff. Still fill very confident about this.

[Met1985]

Yup! Here we go!

Rabun-Habersham-Madison-Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-

Macon-Southern Jackson-

Including the cities of Hot Springs, Clarkesville, Canton, Cruso,

Wolf Mountain, Luada, Mars Hill, Sylva, Highlands, Mountain City,

Waterville, Kyle, Alarka, Faust, Demorest, Stecoah, Cove Creek,

Pine Mountain, Franklin, Tuckasegee, Cashiers, Cornelia, Luck,

Allenstand, Almond, Waynesville, Rainbow Springs, Marshall,

Bryson City, Cullowhee, Walnut, Wesser, Hollywood, Clayton,

Robbinsville, and Baldwin

346 AM EST Wed Jan 8 2025

 

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY

MORNING...

 

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and

  6 inches possible.

 

* WHERE...The mountains of northeast Georgia and southwest North

  Carolina.

 

* WHEN...From Friday morning through Saturday morning.

 

* IMPACTS...The heavy snow will make many roads impassable and may

  produce widespread power outages due to the weight of the snow on

  tree limbs and power lines. The hazardous conditions could impact

  the Friday morning and evening commutes.

 

[WiseWeather]

[mention=4420]calculus1[/mention]we can top this. These folks have never seen the hotels on Hwy 70 in the snow. Magical stuff. We could even show them where the Spirit Halloween pops up once a year.

Wait… Spirit now pops up in the old Bed Bath and Beyond… just drive across 70 and take a photo of Kobe’s and make the photo say “Greetings from Japan, North Carolina”


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[Buckethead]

10° and light snow this morning in Wolf. Another solid dusting.

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[Met1985]

Got down to 13 clouds rolled in and we are currently at 15 with light snow in Haywood.  Another deck duster this morning. 

[Moonhowl]

From the Cataloochee aerial cam this morning

[Maggie Valley Steve]

20° for my low this morning. Temperature held steady overnight due to the clouds. Lots rime ice above 3500ft. GSP along with surrounding other WFO's covered the Watches well and early. 

[BretWx]

Very light snow here at the office in South Asheville.


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[BretWx]

Glad we don't cliff dive in the mountain forum. We've seen things change for the BEST or WORSE within a day. It's never over until it is. 

[CheoahBald1]

Glad we don't cliff dive in the mountain forum. We've seen things change for the BEST or WORSE within a day. It's never over until it is. 

Agree 100%


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[Met1985]

Yeah the gfs run was amusing.  Snow, sleet, freezing rain back to snow. That would be something else...

[franklin NCwx]

It's a small warm nose above 800mb if it's correct.  It's very cold at 850 and 925

[gopack42]

15 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Saw a beautiful sunset this evening with Buckethead. Was cold as freaking could be but was worth it!

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Met, where is this?  Its amazing and beautiful.  I'd love to join on a hike sometime if you're near Avery/Watauga area!

[strongwxnc]

Glad we don't cliff dive in the mountain forum. We've seen things change for the BEST or WORSE within a day. It's never over until it is. 

It’s all about tempering your own expectations outside of the mountains.


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[buckeyefan1]

The cliff diving is absolutely priceless  It hasn’t even come onshore yet and there’s no obs of any ground truth. The short and shorter range models are coming in with the thermals a touch colder and a larger precip field for our western neighbors. Plus, they still have almost a day before it even starts. This is the first legit chance of anything frozen for me in 3 years and I’m going to ride this pony until it’s finished

[ncjoaquin]

5 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

It’s all about tempering your own expectations outside of the mountains.


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1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said:

The cliff diving is absolutely priceless  It hasn’t even come onshore yet and there’s no obs of any ground truth. The short and shorter range models are coming in with the thermals a touch colder and a larger precip field for our western neighbors. Plus, they still have almost a day before it even starts. This is the first legit chance of anything frozen for me in 3 years and I’m going to ride this pony until it’s finished

 I really do feel that models are going to come back around. Actually, the SW mtns have not even really had a bad model run yet. They are definitely money. 

Also, just an inch of snow at this point would make me happy. So, the bar is pretty low regardless. We still have almost 2 full days until go time. Anything can happen. 

[Met1985]

12 minutes ago, gopack42 said:

Met, where is this?  Its amazing and beautiful.  I'd love to join on a hike sometime if you're near Avery/Watauga area!

This was up near Wolf Laurel.  Was absolutely amazing up there yesterday at sunset.  Yeah I'd be down for exploring that area.  Winter hiking is amazing especially in the snow.

[Met1985]

1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said:

 

 I really do feel that models are going to come back around. Actually, the SW mtns have not even really had a bad model run yet. They are definitely money. 

Also, just an inch of snow at this point would make me happy. So, the bar is pretty low regardless. We still have almost 2 full days until go time. Anything can happen. 

Yeah I feel this as well.