Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 7 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Give me the track over Florida. The NW trend used to always deliver I think we are in great position. Looks like some nice events. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 Been doing this weather thing for over 50 years and I've seen a lot of changes and improvement in technology during those years. In my experience, big time weather events/patterns are known in advance, some with a significant lead time. Big Arctic Outbreaks I've seen have had a week to 10 day period of hints in the guidance, mainly the ensembles of the reliable globals. Throw in all of the teleconnection indices pointing to a favorable possibility, I believe we may well be headed to an active and memorable time period beginning January 1st with the initial cold front stepping down with each of the flowing fronts. This may be one of the more prolonged periods for winter weather not seen in a number of years. Some the analogs are certainly pointing to that potential. Meanwhile it's almost 70° here in the Valley and tornadoes are once again spinning up in the Houston metro area. Changes, they are comin... 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 While waiting on the cold and snow, I have picked up 1.92 inches of rain since midnight and 2.65 inches total yesterday and today. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Tornado warning flood warning 3.57 “since midnight and 7.06” for the event. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 With the rain moving out. Feels like the can start looking at our winter potential. The first shot looks to be new years morning with some nw flow snow along the border. Then cold and possible big dog potential comes. Lots of energy flying around so it’ll be hard to nail anything down at much lead time. I’ve got a feeling they’ll be a lo to track in the next few days. Better rest up. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 29, 2024 Share Posted December 29, 2024 Not sure about event total yet but the Pigeon river is rolling this afternoon. A daunting look for badly flooded communities in Clyde and Canton. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Dang this is brutal. Our source region looks plenty cold.An Extreme Cold Warning has been issued for Umiat and the Western Arctic Plains until 10 PM tonight. Dangerously cold temperatures as low as -50 with wind chills as low as -75 are expected. Frostbite and hypothermia are likely if exposed to the temperatures. Make sure to wear the appropriate clothing if you plan to be outside. #akwxSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 hour ago, Met1985 said: Dang this is brutal. Our source region looks plenty cold. An Extreme Cold Warning has been issued for Umiat and the Western Arctic Plains until 10 PM tonight. Dangerously cold temperatures as low as -50 with wind chills as low as -75 are expected. Frostbite and hypothermia are likely if exposed to the temperatures. Make sure to wear the appropriate clothing if you plan to be outside. #akwx Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk OK I just have to ask. The warning says: An Extreme Cold Warning has been issued for Umiat and the Western Arctic Plains until 10 PM tonight. What will occur at 10:01 in the midst of what I assume is around 20+ hours of darkness that will allow the extreme cold warning to expire? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 30, 2024 Author Share Posted December 30, 2024 OK I just have to ask. The warning says: An Extreme Cold Warning has been issued for Umiat and the Western Arctic Plains until 10 PM tonight. What will occur at 10:01 in the midst of what I assume is around 20+ hours of darkness that will allow the extreme cold warning to expire?Good question. The warning says that temps will begin to moderate this evening, but their hourly forecast shows -30's for days. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 3 minutes ago, jburns said: OK I just have to ask. The warning says: An Extreme Cold Warning has been issued for Umiat and the Western Arctic Plains until 10 PM tonight. What will occur at 10:01 in the midst of what I assume is around 20+ hours of darkness that will allow the extreme cold warning to expire? When I read that I was thinking the same thing. I'm like what the heck happens at 10 pm... It's just normal frozen Tundra cold.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 5 minutes ago, jburns said: OK I just have to ask. The warning says: An Extreme Cold Warning has been issued for Umiat and the Western Arctic Plains until 10 PM tonight. What will occur at 10:01 in the midst of what I assume is around 20+ hours of darkness that will allow the extreme cold warning to expire? Better yet, WHO does it affect? And then I remembered an Outdoor Boys video where Luke camped in -50 degree temps so maybe it’s just issued for him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: Better yet, WHO does it affect? And then I remembered an Outdoor Boys video where Luke camped in -50 degree temps so maybe it’s just issued for him. The Outdoor Boys are great 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Just now, wncsnow said: The Outdoor Boys are great A wholesome channel in a sea of bad content today. We love it at our house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 14 minutes ago, BooneWX said: A wholesome channel in a sea of bad content today. We love it at our house. I always want more inland fishing videos from them but Luke has done an amazing job with their channel. Watching the snow camping/survival videos helps with the winter doldrums. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I always want more inland fishing videos from them but Luke has done an amazing job with their channel. Watching the snow camping/survival videos helps with the winter doldrums. Not for me. I can’t get past the fact that an entire film crew, a few trucks, jeeps, and a bus are watching them risk their lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 It's not much but it's a start.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Another small system around the 3rd.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 It's a step up process with our snow..Small to bigger each system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 Until we can get one of these bigger things under 240 hours I'll believe it when I see it.Remember the extended for the end of December was an extreme torch and that didn't work out. No reason to believe the opposite will be true 2 weeks from now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 There sure are a lot of memorable winter analogs showing up in today's updated CPC Day 8+ and Day 11+ Analogs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 30, 2024 Share Posted December 30, 2024 The Weather Prediction Center starting to ramp up ahead of the events... 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 The posts in the main discussion thread are always greater when there is the perception that we are sucking. 18z made it pretty quiet, lol. Nothing has really changed except that the digital snow has increased again. It is still looking good for snow and cold for all the mountains I do believe. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 4 hours ago, Maggie Valley Steve said: There sure are a lot of memorable winter analogs showing up in today's updated CPC Day 8+ and Day 11+ Analogs. Only a couple duds in there snow wise. 1997 and 12-28-2000 as that went on to January 01. 1-97 featured major cold and Snow over the Northern Plains and Midwest; a typical Nina Winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 IV looked over the models today. Things look good and the sky isn't falling... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Watch the clipper system system on Friday. It's looking juicier on models 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 22 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Watch the clipper system system on Friday. It's looking juicier on models Yeah I noticed that the past several runs it was looking better and better for the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 The wave coming in on the 6th and 7th looks robust tonight. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 NAM looks solid overnight. Should hit the high elevations decent. GFS on a bit of an island with the CAD event Monday but plenty of time for that to change up. I'm scheduled to be working in Asheville so you can bet on a sleet/ZR storm down there at least. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 GFS giving us one to watch for the end of this weekend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 31, 2024 Share Posted December 31, 2024 Brutal... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now