BretWx Posted Thursday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:54 PM Let's get a decent one for my 15th anniversary on here. WILD how it has been that long! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheoahBald1 Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM Kinda hard to pay attention to the NAM when everything else is holding steady …. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM 12Z GDPS: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM I took a break from model watching and went to the casino. I won a $1000. Let's hope my luck extends to our snow accumulation. 7 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM 1 minute ago, ncjoaquin said: I took a break from model watching and went to the casino. I won a $1000. Let's hope my luck extends to our snow accumulation. nice! What did you win on? Also I hope so too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM Temps are razor thin on the NAM 3km. IMO going to take more than 500-750ft in the atmosphere of temps above freezing to full melt, especially with how cold the surface is. Thinking the NAM may have qpf close, but thinking temps might be causing the model to believe its sleet, but in reality it will fall as heavy snow with big flakes that stick together. Just my opinion, hope everyone is doing well! 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM Just now, Hvward said: Temps are razor thin on the NAM 3km. IMO going to take more than 500-750ft in the atmosphere of temps above freezing to full melt, especially with how cold the surface is. Thinking the NAM may have qpf close, but thinking temps might be causing the model to believe its sleet, but in reality it will fall as heavy snow with big flakes that stick together. Just my opinion, hope everyone is doing well! Was waiting for you Hunter to pop back in! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: nice! What did you win on? Also I hope so too! Slots. I kept hitting the bonus. I left while I was ahead! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Thursday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:12 PM The newest RAP is a crush job. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Thursday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:12 PM Just now, ncjoaquin said: Slots. I kept hitting the bonus. I left while I was ahead! Congrats and almost better you came in just under the minimal handpay. The 12z GFS is quite icy for central NC with up to an inch of snow as an FYI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 04:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:17 PM 12Z GEFS MEAN: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Thursday at 04:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:21 PM 15 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: I took a break from model watching and went to the casino. I won a $1000. Let's hope my luck extends to our snow accumulation. Now thats a break! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted Thursday at 04:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:25 PM Ah the RAP, a thing of beauty, too bad it’s the RAP haha. Give me the QPF and good moisture in the dendrite growth zone and I’ll take my chances. That fluff deck topper last night and Monday’s flow snow that’s leftover needs some company. Also, northern Haywood close to the state line had quite the surprise last night, saw a report of 3” at 4k elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted Thursday at 04:28 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:28 PM 17 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: Slots. I kept hitting the bonus. I left while I was ahead! Let me know next time you go. We can meet up and have a beer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted Thursday at 04:29 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:29 PM This is the warmest sounding I can find on the gfs and this is south of franklin near the NC GA line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 04:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:40 PM Let's just take the RAP and run with it. Weenie post **** 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted Thursday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:18 PM 49 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Let me know next time you go. We can meet up and have a beer. I will do it. I only go a couple times a year, but I will let you know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:30 PM No real changes with the EURO at all. I think a call of 3-6IN should be coming out soon from GSP. Just need more QPF w/ this run and we'd be SOLID. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted Thursday at 06:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:00 PM Temps are razor thin on the NAM 3km. IMO going to take more than 500-750ft in the atmosphere of temps above freezing to full melt, especially with how cold the surface is. Thinking the NAM may have qpf close, but thinking temps might be causing the model to believe its sleet, but in reality it will fall as heavy snow with big flakes that stick together. Just my opinion, hope everyone is doing well!+1 on this, really good analysis!. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted Thursday at 06:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:13 PM https://x.com/nwsgsp/status/1877402548304257266?s=46&t=0ZvB_AF2VfA6c0SDxf53yA. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 06:16 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:16 PM Sitting at a crisp 27/DP4 here. I doubt we will make it to the forecasted 34. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted Thursday at 06:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:31 PM Currently sitting at freezing at 1:28pm I hope it stays clear and lets out whatever amount of heat we manage to gather up today before the clouds roll in 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted Thursday at 06:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:52 PM We've managed to get to 25 so far after a low of 9. Actually feels really nice in the sunshine.MRX went straight to a warning for 3-5". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acc fan Posted Thursday at 06:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:52 PM Winter Storm Warning Ashe Watauga. 3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:15 PM 18Z HRRR coming in faster and colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 07:17 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:17 PM Winter Storm Warnings up: ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 2 and 8 inches and ice accumulations around two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...A portion of western North Carolina. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Thursday at 07:19 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:19 PM Well they just pulled the trigger on the warnings for all of WNC. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 07:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:21 PM 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Well they just pulled the trigger on the warnings for all of WNC. My guess is that new HRRR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 07:29 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:29 PM Although, it has the LOW right over us.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted Thursday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:31 PM It's still juiced though: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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