BretWx Posted yesterday at 04:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:37 PM 2 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: I really do feel that models are going to come back around. Actually, the SW mtns have not even really had a bad model run yet. They are definitely money. Also, just an inch of snow at this point would make me happy. So, the bar is pretty low regardless. We still have almost 2 full days until go time. Anything can happen. My exact thoughts/feelings here. I haven't seen an inch of snow on the ground here in.... I can't even remember. Just to see it falling and getting and inch or two would make me happy! Also, IMO, half the fun of these things is having something to track 4 days out, etc. It's why we're all on here and have fun with it! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted yesterday at 04:48 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:48 PM Ukie is all snow. Drops almost. 6 qpf in the southern mtns 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted yesterday at 04:49 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:49 PM Meteogram for Asheville: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted yesterday at 04:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:55 PM 16 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: I really do feel that models are going to come back around. Actually, the SW mtns have not even really had a bad model run yet. They are definitely money. Also, just an inch of snow at this point would make me happy. So, the bar is pretty low regardless. We still have almost 2 full days until go time. Anything can happen. I agree. I understand the frustration very well. Thankfully we had the opportunity to buy a home in the mountains with a little elevation above the Valley floor, yet still easily accessible. The NAM suggested 6 inches for my yard. Certainly would make the biggest event since 2022. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted yesterday at 05:06 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:06 PM 19 hours ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: I think you can extend that eastern heavy snow boundary all the way to the escarpment but overall a good sign. The latest ICON run looked good for WNC as well. Good run. Just waiting for that northern shift, 48 out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted yesterday at 05:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:37 PM When will NWS extend the WSW east, would have thought all wnc would be in the watch area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted yesterday at 05:39 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:39 PM 1 minute ago, Tacoma said: When will NWS extend the WSW east, would have thought all wnc would be in the watch area. Kind of like that they are waiting for the rest of the afternoon suite to finish. And not pulling the trigger as others have done. Check out the WSW in ATL - CONFUSING. They just threw numbers out there. We don't need that. * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 7 inches with the higher amounts North. Ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast, northwest, and west central Georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted yesterday at 05:44 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:44 PM 12Z EURO isn't half bad, we just need some more juice pulled up from the Gulf and we'd have a SOLID storm. Still 48 hours out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted yesterday at 05:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:52 PM I don't think lack of precip is gonna be an issue for most (remember globals are going to underestimate that every single time) but the warm nose on the NAM is very concerning to me. It doesn't miss on those much. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted yesterday at 06:03 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:03 PM 8 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said: I don't think lack of precip is gonna be an issue for most (remember globals are going to underestimate that every single time) but the warm nose on the NAM is very concerning to me. It doesn't miss on those much. The dreaded warm nose, don't be sticking your nose into this storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elev3999 Posted yesterday at 06:08 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:08 PM Looking like it might snow a bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted yesterday at 06:22 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 06:22 PM Currently 10° with a solid dusting to half an inch today...it's been a steady light snow all day in Wolf. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted yesterday at 06:25 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:25 PM This looks good. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM Only made it to 26 so far today. That ground is COLD though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted yesterday at 06:32 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:32 PM Yeah ground is frozen with snow still. This is basically the perfect setup. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted yesterday at 07:06 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:06 PM GSP really waiting to pull the trigger LOL! ... I don't blame them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted yesterday at 07:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:10 PM 2 minutes ago, BretWx said: GSP really waiting to pull the trigger LOL! ... I don't blame them. Get to tomorrow morning and I feel they will. The roads will be terrible all over place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted yesterday at 07:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:10 PM 3 minutes ago, BretWx said: GSP really waiting to pull the trigger LOL! ... I don't blame them. They are generally very conservative anyways. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted yesterday at 07:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:22 PM 9 minutes ago, Met1985 said: They are generally very conservative anyways. Exactly what I was about to say but in all fairness, they likely have the toughest forecasting region East of the Mississippi hence why they're habitually thorough. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted yesterday at 07:27 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:27 PM 4 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: Exactly what I was about to say but in all fairness, they likely have the toughest forecasting region East of the Mississippi hence why they're habitually thorough. Well and really no one else has pulled the trigger on warnings either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted yesterday at 07:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:37 PM It's too soon for Warnigs in the Mountains. Typically the NWS offices wait until 24 hours before onset. Look for Warnings tomorrow morning. Now Watches likely will be coming in their afternoon packages. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted yesterday at 07:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:41 PM 18Z HRRR has heavy snow down into ATL now. Coming in a lot colder. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted yesterday at 07:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:50 PM It's going to stay cold behind the storm. No real January 'thaw' showing up either. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted yesterday at 07:53 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 07:53 PM The temp has been dropping today, and the flakes are getting bigger. Down to 7° now.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted yesterday at 08:01 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:01 PM I'd say in about 3 hours flurries and clouds will come back in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted yesterday at 08:04 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:04 PM 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: I'd say in about 3 hours flurries and clouds will come back in. Yeah, radar upstream looks a little juiced up. Another shot of Arctic heading in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago The winter storm watch for everybody else!!! https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ053&warncounty=NCC021&firewxzone=NCZ053&local_place1=2 Miles E Enka NC&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=35.5637&lon=-82.6538 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 3 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: The winter storm watch for everybody else!!! https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ053&warncounty=NCC021&firewxzone=NCZ053&local_place1=2 Miles E Enka NC&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=35.5637&lon=-82.6538 Conservative as usual. We shall see! Note: WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Outside the mountains, total snow and sleet accumulations between 1 and 3 inches and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 1 minute ago, BretWx said: Conservative as usual. We shall see! Note: WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Outside the mountains, total snow and sleet accumulations between 1 and 3 inches and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch possible. A great start. I'll take it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 18Z NAM, Wild ride incoming. Lets see.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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