Met1985 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 12:33 PM, Maggie Valley Steve said: Surprisingly I picked up an inch and a half overnight. 21° and lightly snowing. Expand Nice! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just a beautiful landscape out there this morning with everything covered. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:08 AM, Met1985 said: This looks solid from the 00z gfs.Sent from my SM-G998U using TapatalkLooks like a classic Miller A to me. I think the GFS and Canadian are sniffing this out. Questions will be, the Low track and how much moisture accompanies it. Changes always occur but this looks great for the Mnts. It doesn’t look like a monster but my early guess is there will be some OBS with 6”+ from the system. . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 2:49 PM, NavarreDon said: Looks like a classic Miller A to me. I think the GFS and Canadian are sniffing this out. Questions will be, the Low track and how much moisture accompanies it. Changes always occur but this looks great for the Mnts. It doesn’t look like a monster but my early guess is there will be some OBS with 6”+ from the system. . Expand Yeah you are right Don. I think a general 4-8 inches will be a good cover and will make a lot of people happy. We've got cold setting in now, snow on the ground and really leading up this is one of the best setups we've had in a long time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I’ve got hopes of 6” although I’ll be happy with enough to do a bit of sledding, make a snowball and watching it fall 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 3:16 PM, buckeyefan1 said: I’ve got hopes of 6” although I’ll be happy with enough to do a bit of sledding, make a snowball and watching it fall Expand Yeah I am really hoping for a region wide snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 lol. Love seeing the Asheville snow hole show up on the maps now. Feels like a classic storm now. Foothills/Leeside are showing lower totals in general. Something to watch for our foothill folks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 3:25 PM, WNC_Fort said: lol. Love seeing the Asheville snow hole show up on the maps now. Feels like a classic storm now. Foothills/Leeside are showing lower totals in general. Something to watch for our foothill folks Expand Shouldn't be a big issue with the storm track. Models can overdo it at times. My biggest concern is gulf convection 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 3:40 PM, wncsnow said: Shouldn't be a big issue with the storm track. Models can overdo it at times. My biggest concern is gulf convectionGulf convection is always a concern but will know to what extent till later. I always fear a dry slot but that happen if the slp tends stronger as it exits to our s and se. the lee side snow hole is a real worry. But I would like to see what it looks like when we are sitting at Thursday Morning before my Chips are cash! . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 12z gfs looks dang good boys and girls!Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 This is looking more and more like a classic setup. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:03 PM, Met1985 said: This is looking more and more like a classic setup. Expand My first Miller A here in the foothills 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 If I was up in the Mnts. My concern with gulf coast convection would be heightened if this was a monster storm. This one doesn’t seem to support it but you never know. Always a good idea to read up on downstream AFD’s. Below is a snippet of MOB’s overnight disco. These Mets are some of the best I’ve seen with severe weather. Long story short is I don’t see it being an issue for you all.The surface lowwill briefly bring a warm front into the coastal counties beforea cold front follows quickly behind, but no tangible instabilitywill accompany what will be a rather meager warm sector.. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:11 PM, buckeyefan1 said: My first Miller A here in the foothills Not sure of your location and elevation as I don’t follow the board like I used to (congrats on the move from SC!). I think the warm nose may come into play in some of the foothills, that being said I’d bet you get your wish of snowballs & sledding. Grab some popcorn and enjoy the show!!! . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:12 PM, NavarreDon said: If I was up in the Mnts. My concern with gulf coast convection would be heightened if this was a monster storm. This one doesn’t seem to support it but you never know. Always a good idea to read up on downstream AFD’s. Below is a snippet of MOB’s overnight disco. These Mets are some of the best I’ve seen with severe weather. Long story short is I don’t see it being an issue for you all. The surface low will briefly bring a warm front into the coastal counties before a cold front follows quickly behind, but no tangible instability will accompany what will be a rather meager warm sector. . Expand This is great news for us up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:19 PM, NavarreDon said: Not sure of your location and elevation as I don’t follow the board like I used to (congrats on the move from SC!). I think the warm nose may come into play in some of the foothills, that being said I’d bet you get your wish of snowballs & sledding. Grab some popcorn and enjoy the show!!! . Expand Haha! Thanks but I’m still in SC. Now I’m between Seneca and Walhalla. Above 85 and just above hwy 11 sitting right at 1000’-1100’ ft elevation 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:23 PM, buckeyefan1 said: Haha! Thanks but I’m still in SC. Now I’m between Seneca and Walhalla. Above 85 and just above hwy 11 sitting right at 1000’-1100’ ft elevation I used to travel Hwy 28 thru that area back in the day. That’s a nice spot to be in, thinking you might escape the mixing zone but it’ll be close. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 5:06 PM, NavarreDon said: I used to travel Hwy 28 thru that area back in the day. That’s a nice spot to be in, thinking you might escape the mixing zone but it’ll be close. . Expand I’m thinking the same. You know the saying goes you have to be able to smell the rain to be in the sweet spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Trying my damn best not to get too excited until tomorrow afternoon's runs, or do a play by play. Eagerly watching the 12Z ECMWF. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 5:23 PM, BretWx said: Trying my damn best not to get too excited until tomorrow afternoon's runs, or do a play by play. Eagerly watching the 12Z ECMWF. Expand Good call but overall a decent setup for the mountains. @franklin NCwx might be have the best seat in the house! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Yep! No major shift, which is what I am keeping an eye on right now. We're still solid at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 5:50 PM, frazdaddy said: I see Mr East lurking, always a good sign. Expand Agreed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Let’s go guys!! Best looking setup we’ve had since January 2022. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Looking like we're going to get a storm! I think a 5 to 8 inch snowfall is looking good. The SW Mountains could see some isolated totals nearing a foot. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 4:23 PM, buckeyefan1 said: Haha! Thanks but I’m still in SC. Now I’m between Seneca and Walhalla. Above 85 and just above hwy 11 sitting right at 1000’-1100’ ft elevation Expand Hey, you're real close by right across the state line. Spend every day I can in the summer fishing down at the Chattooga on either 76 or 28. Generally if we do well over here then your area does as well, although we do have a bit better elevation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 7:38 PM, SnowDawg said: Hey, you're real close by right across the state line. Spend every day I can in the summer fishing down at the Chattooga on either 76 or 28. Generally if we do well over here then your area does as well, although we do have a bit better elevation. Expand I am! I love going to the bridges at both locations! I do the 28-107 loop around the mts often. There’s some really cool back roads that I can’t go down in my Kia, but I will walk them 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 18Z NAM taking quite a shift with cold and moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 8:29 PM, BretWx said: 18Z NAM taking quite a shift with cold and moisture. Expand Yea it did! Looks colder overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 On 1/7/2025 at 8:29 PM, BretWx said: 18Z NAM taking quite a shift with cold and moisture. Expand Textbook run w/ that one. Still holding. LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Afternoon update... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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