strongwxnc Posted December 24, 2024 Share Posted December 24, 2024 Yeah I'll take beautiful weather and the 50s at Christmas especially with the pattern loading up like it is towards the end of the month. 18.9! Great morning . 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 24, 2024 Share Posted December 24, 2024 2 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: 18.9! Great morning . Beautiful! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 24, 2024 Share Posted December 24, 2024 Got down to 20 this morning. This month is going to be solidly below average. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 24, 2024 Share Posted December 24, 2024 Merry Christmas Mountain Neighbors! Looking forward to be watching the upcoming weather pattern next week! For me, the weather is perfect for Christmas Day. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 24, 2024 Share Posted December 24, 2024 29 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said: Merry Christmas Mountain Neighbors! Looking forward to be watching the upcoming weather pattern next week! For me, the weather is perfect for Christmas Day. Merry Christmas, Maggie Valley Steve!........ And to all the other Mountain and Foothill folks. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 24, 2024 Share Posted December 24, 2024 Good Lord I must have been drunk this morning because my spelling was atrocious lol. A freaking beautiful day today. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 Merry Christmas to the best crew on AMWX! I hope everyone has a wonderful day!Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 Merry Christmas to my snow optimistic and pessimistic friends alike! Glad to share the passion of weather and this forum with you all. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 25, 2024 Share Posted December 25, 2024 12z GFS real real close to a mountain whopper next week. That time frame has been showing potential for a bit now. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 We've got to get through the weekend and the heavy rainfall threat before the pattern starts to change. Guidance is indicating the possibility of an inch or two with locally higher amounts this weekend. There could be some potential for isolated flooding concerns for creeks and streams. As Tyler mentioned, the GFS and ECMWF suggest the possibility of a disturbance riding out off Coastal Texas toward us as we begin 2025. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 26, 2024 Share Posted December 26, 2024 The cold weather is coming. The rest will come into view in time. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 I think a lot of you are going to see some insane totals the next few weeks. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 I am eyeing Jan 4th for a mountain adventure. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 27, 2024 Share Posted December 27, 2024 Sitting quite literally at the top of the wedge right now. 43 degrees a quarter mile downhill from me. 51 and windy here imby. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 5 hours ago, BooneWX said: I think a lot of you are going to see some insane totals the next few weeks. Yeah no freaking kidding along with some very cold weather. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 Just glanced over the models and read some folks opinions for today. A couple things and I know most know this but we are in times that people can ride high or ride low with every model run. The key takeways is that the cold is coming and it might be really cold. The weeklies, eps, euro and cmc are dang cold. Second is please don't pay attention to any storm until maybe this coming Monday... Things will and have changed every single model run. To me we in the mountains are looking golden. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 The 00z Euro is damn cold. I mean pipe busting frost bit northern blue cold. This would rival some records.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 This is brutal cold. Having lows in the teen negative digits and highs below zero is insane. Also having snow on the ground... This is 10:1 ratio but the ratio would be much much higher than this.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 Before we get to dealing with the pattern change, we have a ton more rainfall ahead for us, especially in the southern mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 06z gfs wanting to give the viewing area anywhere from 1 to 2 feet plus of snow through the next two weeks...Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 Here is the flooding aspect already coming into play. At Blantyre affecting Transylvania and Henderson Counties. ...Near Fletcher affecting Buncombe and Henderson Counties. .A complex storm system and associated cold front will impact the upper French Broad River watershed Saturday night through Sunday morning, resulting in periods of moderate to heavy rainfall. Storm-total accumulations of 3-5" are expected across the watershed. The resultant excessive runoff will likely cause the French Broad River from Rosman to Fletcher to approach or exceed Action/Advisory Stage, resulting in nuisance flooding of adjacent low-lying areas, including farmland, parks, greenways, boat-access areas, and golf courses. The most likely period of flooding is Sunday morning through Sunday evening, with conditions gradually improving later Sunday into Monday morning. There remains some uncertainty about exact amounts and isolated areas of Minor flooding cannot be ruled out, especially closer to Penrose, Blantyre, and Etowah. If the forecast significantly exceeds the Minor Flood Stage of 16.0 feet at Blantyre, a River Flood Warning may be issued. Stay abreast of the latest forecasts in case additional rainfall becomes likely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 Also tonight into tomorrow the winds are really going to pick up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phelps Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 I'd love if we could get a decent little thump of snow Wednesday. It's going to be frigid late week so might as well have some snow on the ground. Some model runs are showing it but others not so much. I know the mountains will have our chances, it's just back to life, back to reality for me after the first week of Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 27 minutes ago, Phelps said: I'd love if we could get a decent little thump of snow Wednesday. It's going to be frigid late week so might as well have some snow on the ground. Some model runs are showing it but others not so much. I know the mountains will have our chances, it's just back to life, back to reality for me after the first week of Jan. Listen we don't live by that montra here. The weeklies look really good through the end of January. I really think this is a pattern change and not just a blip. We really haven't torched this season like past seasons. I hope down east gets hammered! Then everyone can relax. Here in the mountains we are going to be the frozen tundra. Chin up because things look very optimistic. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 A beautiful morning in the clouds and fog Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 A lot of great looking indices this morning from the CPC.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 In my opinion, the EPS has been leading the charge with the cold invasion. It looks really cold and even smoothed out.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 32 minutes ago, Met1985 said: A lot of great looking indices this morning from the CPC. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Would like the PNA to be more positive than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Would like the PNA to be more positive than that Too much digging and everything is suppressed to hell. With the possibility of a severe arctic outbreak on the horizon I'd like to keep the storm track near us and not in Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 28, 2024 Share Posted December 28, 2024 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Too much digging and everything is suppressed to hell. With the possibility of a severe arctic outbreak on the horizon I'd like to keep the storm track near us and not in Florida. Give me the track over Florida. The NW trend used to always deliver 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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