Met1985 Posted November 14 Share Posted November 14 Currently sitting at .45 inches of rainfall overnight. We needed it. More to come. Finally feels like Fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 14 Share Posted November 14 Final wind study from NWS 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 I noticed Raysweather has posted his winter snowfall predicitons. About half of normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted November 15 Share Posted November 15 2 minutes ago, nchighcountrywx said: I noticed Raysweather has posted his winter snowfall predicitons. About half of normal. His, as well as many of other's were written up before the positive changes in the Pacific. He may of added an appendage regarding that, I've not read it through. So, there are some better odds at seeing more in the Snowfall dept as well as Temp departures if the changes in the Pac continue and the WPO and EPO respond accordingly. The IO still may be a Thorn but, that may be countered with a +QBO in +TNH augmentation. La nina is weak at best although looking to gain a little traction and maybe be more easy based. If weak , there still could be somewhat of a STJ. So, that is a plus providing enough cold comes down. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 18z GFS brought the goods for the mountains. A long duration NWF event and an App State home game to enjoy every bit of it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted November 16 Share Posted November 16 Euro also bringing the goods 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Sunday at 10:02 AM Share Posted Sunday at 10:02 AM It's time to talk about the cold front next week giving us our possibilities of see our first widespread upslope event. The 00z euro this morning. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Sunday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:21 PM Low of 30 with heavy frost. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted Sunday at 03:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:36 PM Second morning with 32 and heavy frost to the Valley floor. The "warm up" was not so warm here on the N facing mountain. Hoping to see a flurry or two Thursday night! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted Sunday at 05:19 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:19 PM I had a low of 51.6 this morning at 4360' in Wolf. Currently at 60.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted Sunday at 05:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:45 PM 24 minutes ago, Buckethead said: I had a low of 51.6 this morning at 4360' in Wolf. Currently at 60. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Crazy. I had my lowest temp of the year. 27.5. Now, that is an inversion. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Monday at 01:10 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:10 AM Models have backed off on snow amounts. Mostly 1 to 2 inch amounts in higher elevations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Monday at 02:51 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:51 AM 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Models have backed off on snow amounts. Mostly 1 to 2 inch amounts in higher elevations Yeah, they have the System draining most of it's moisture in the Plains and Midwest before turning SE and weakening. I suspect they'll increase it again as we get closer if it continues tracking far enough South . Lift should help. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted Monday at 06:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:35 PM A bit of am uptick via the GFS and ECMWF this afternoon. Both models suggested a bit more vigorous upper air disturbance/lobe dropping more SSE into the Southern Apps. Both suggested a couple inches of accumulation here in the Valley. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 10:59 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:59 AM Overnight Euro back to looking decent for upslope snow. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 11:01 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 11:01 AM 06z gfs pretty similar as the Euro. Going to be freaking windy and cold for sure.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 08:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:23 PM GSP Call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted Tuesday at 08:29 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 08:29 PM GSP Call My hourly graph from them shows 3-4". I'm good with just getting something measurable. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted Wednesday at 12:24 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:24 AM Well the rain today went well. 0.00" so far.Short range stuff looks nice with the ULL, though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Wednesday at 12:29 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:29 AM 3 hours ago, Buckethead said: My hourly graph from them shows 3-4". I'm good with just getting something measurable. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk May be thinking warm ground and subtracting. Some Models indicating more. If we could get that Lake Michigan band feed on down Totals will be much more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 02:44 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:44 AM The 0Z HRRR is a hell of a look for you guys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 03:54 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:54 AM Everything looks great for an upslope event. Gonna be some snow flying in the air for sure! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted Wednesday at 12:24 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 12:24 PM 53° this morning in Wolf with fog and drizzle. That's probably going to be my high for the day, tenps should drop into the 30's by this afternoon. I have a WWA out of KMRX with 5-6" of snow in the hourly forecast from them (for a point less than .5 mile from me at the same elevation.) Meanwhile, KGSP has 2" for me. Either way, it looks good along the border!Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 07:54 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 07:54 PM Latest globals looks good. Even shows flakes for the Valley. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted Wednesday at 08:21 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:21 PM Winter Weather Advisories hoisted for the border Counties to Swain County. GSP has me in the 2 to 4 inch range. Carefully watching a more Northerly flow early Friday before a NWFS sets in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 08:33 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:33 PM Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Ramseytown, Newland, Luck, Mars Hill, Burnsville, Ingalls, Faust, Hot Springs, Celo, Allenstand, Micaville, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Swiss, Walnut, Busick, Marshall, and Banner Elk 315 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations mainly of 1 to 2 inches in lower elevations, and 2 to 4 inches on ridgetops, with a few isolated ridgetop locations seeing 4 to 6 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. * WHERE...Avery, Madison, Mitchell, and Yancey Counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM Thursday to 7 AM EST Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 08:34 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:34 PM Here we go! Swain-Haywood- 315 PM EST Wed Nov 20 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 3500 feet. Total snow accumulations mainly of 2 to 4 inches with 4 to 7 inches on the highest ridgetops generally above 5000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...High elevations above 3500 feet in Haywood and Swain Counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM Thursday to 7 AM EST Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 08:39 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:39 PM Make no mistake about the up coming pattern change. This is legit and you can tell. The whole northern hemisphere is changing for the better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Wednesday at 08:39 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:39 PM I am debating is this worth a chase for me on Friday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Wednesday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:44 PM 4 minutes ago, eyewall said: I am debating is this worth a chase for me on Friday. You definitely should. Lift and moisture look great for this early season upslope event. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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