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2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread


Buckethead
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4 hours ago, Buckethead said:

From KMRX.36813bad1c0899473eb8661e1e0402ca.jpg

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I think this looks pretty accurate.  Based on what I'm seeing I would estimate a 6-8p Tuesday timeframe for showers to switch over to snow showers.  Moisture will extend past 700mb in the beginning window of 8p-11p Tuesday.  From there it's just 850mb moisture with cooling 850 temps in early AM Wednesday.

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Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-

Transylvania-

Including the cities of Cullowhee, Brevard, Stecoah, Franklin,

Alarka, Highlands, Tuckasegee, Robbinsville, Waynesville, Wesser,

Cashiers, Kyle, Cedar Mountain, Cove Creek, Almond, Little River,

Waterville, Cruso, Rainbow Springs, Bryson City, Sylva, Luada,

Wolf Mountain, and Canton

219 PM EDT Mon Oct 14 2024

 

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT

TUESDAY...

 

* WHAT...Temperatures as low as 34 will result in frost formation.

 

* WHERE...Graham, Haywood, Macon, Northern Jackson, Southern

  Jackson, Swain, and Transylvania Counties.

 

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Tuesday.

 

* IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive

  outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

 

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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 225 PM EDT Mon Oct 14 2024

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT


...Another strong speed max is forecast to dig from the upper Miss Valley this afternoon, to the TN/OH Valleys by Tue evening. This will bring a reinforcing surge of cool air to the region, along with a slug of moisture/deep layer forcing to the southern Appalachians and vicinity. Shower chances will increase by the end of the day across the NC mountains...mainly for the counties bordering TN. Enough cool air may be in place on the "warm" side of the boundary to allow for precip to fall as snow above 5000 feet or so. Once cold air advection reasserts itself Tue night, snow levels will drop, while showers are expected to continue as a consequence of a developing NW upslope flow. Thermal profiles will be such that accumulating snow showers are possible, with 1-2" totals possible above 5000` or so. However, elevations as low as 3000` could see a few flakes before the showers wind down prior to sunrise. Temps will remain almost 10 degrees below normal through the period. Another round of frost will be possible across the sheltered valleys Wed morning.


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