Major Hurricane Helene

[bdgwx]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:09 PM, gallopinggertie said:

Just 17 for Wilma?

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Wilma was small. Helene is big. IKE is a better predictor of storm surge. Helene is going to wreak some havoc in the surge department.

[wthrmn654]

Teals already started sampling. 

[schoeppeya]

Should get an extra boost from frictional convergence here pretty soon

[purduewx80]

on the mesovortices observed in radar:

[Eskimo Joe]

The embedding isn't working, but apparently some rando is flying their private jet into the eye of Helene and core punching it. The plane definitely isn't associated with any NOAA or Hurricane Hunters mission according to the registration data.

https://x.com/ou_sams/status/1839438191641919744

 

[CoastalWx]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:24 PM, purduewx80 said:

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Wow

[CoastalWx]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:25 PM, Eskimo Joe said:

The embedding isn't working, but apparently some rando is flying their private jet into the eye of Helene and core punching it. The plane definitely isn't associated with any NOAA or Hurricane Hunters mission according to the registration data.

https://x.com/ou_sams/status/1839438191641919744

 

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If he avoids convection at 45K he'll likely be ok. But dumb move imo.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:25 PM, Eskimo Joe said:

The embedding isn't working, but apparently some rando is flying their private jet into the eye of Helene and core punching it. The plane definitely isn't associated with any NOAA or Hurricane Hunters mission according to the registration data.

https://x.com/ou_sams/status/1839438191641919744

 

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WeenieAir

[CoastalWx]

Might take out some trees at Augusta. Lets flatten the greens.

[Chinook]

update for the buoy in the storm with over 100 mph gusts

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 9/26/2024 at 10:40 PM, Prospero said:

This will be remembered for a long time. I have concern for everybody in a storm surge vulnerable location. I'm at 15 feet in Gulfport and getting a little concerned even this high.

https://clearwaterbeachcams.com/

We are in for a very nasty surprise tonight in Pinellas County.

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He said water is now over the seawall in Dunedin Beach and rising with sustained winds that are tough to stand still in and sheets of rain.  The panhandle is going to get rocked.

[SnowenOutThere]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:25 PM, Eskimo Joe said:

The embedding isn't working, but apparently some rando is flying their private jet into the eye of Helene and core punching it. The plane definitely isn't associated with any NOAA or Hurricane Hunters mission according to the registration data.

https://x.com/ou_sams/status/1839438191641919744

 

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I bet that person has some insane music playing as he does it, lets hope they dont win a Darwin award though. 

[wthrmn654]

Noaa plane is back to normal teal getting closer to center and that other random fake recon plane is now missing from radar

[SnowGoose69]

FPY winds being only 20kts is funny.  I’m always amazed how with land falling canes winds don’t get going til the eyewall comes in 

[USCG RS]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:33 PM, SnowenOutThere said:

I bet that person has some insane music playing as he does it, lets hope they dont win a Darwin award though. 

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And now, if something goes terribly wrong, a SAR team is put in danger. Lovely. 

[WxWatcher007]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:34 PM, SnowGoose69 said:

FPY winds being only 20kts is funny.  I’m always amazed how with land falling canes winds don’t get going til the eyewall comes in 

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Yeah, not much happening here right now.

[lakeeffectkid383]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:35 PM, USCG RS said:

And now, if something goes terribly wrong, a SAR team is put in danger. Lovely. 

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I certainly don’t think they would do SAR until well after storm passes. 

[gymengineer]

Water rising sharply in Ft. Myers and Naples even though the center of Helene is well past their latitude. 

[Cincy12]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:35 PM, USCG RS said:

And now, if something goes terribly wrong, a SAR team is put in danger. Lovely. 

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lol If you mean SAR as in the FAA filing some paperwork stating that ultimately the cause death/wreck was a jackass flying into a hurricane, then yes, a SAR team will quickly handle this. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:41 PM, gymengineer said:

Water rising sharply in Ft. Myers and Naples even though the center of Helene is well past their latitude. 

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Do you have the obs for Tampa Bay handy?

[Damage In Tolland]

Masters course is going to lose hundreds of trees. All those white pines there. They don’t get winds like this out of that direction 

[USCG RS]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:36 PM, lakeeffectkid383 said:

I certainly don’t think they would do SAR until well after storm passes. 

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  On 9/26/2024 at 11:41 PM, Cincy12 said:

lol If you mean SAR as in the FAA filing some paperwork stating that ultimately the cause death/wreck was a jackass flying into a hurricane, then yes, a SAR team will quickly handle this. 

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I won't derail the thread with this, so I won't say anything further after this - but you would be surprised what some teams will brave in an attempt to resuce persons. 

[Doc Jon]

Lightning kicking up in the core again.

[gymengineer]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:42 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Do you have the obs for Tampa Bay handy?

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Ahead of forecast at Port Manatee and sharply rising at East Bay. But, you can check them out yourself at: https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/inundationdb/cidstorm.html?stormname=Helene

[SnowGoose69]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:44 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Masters course is going to lose hundreds of trees. All those white pines there. They don’t get winds like this out of that direction 

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Yeah looks like Augusta is in trouble for sure.  

[Floydbuster]

Can anyone post some good radar links? 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:46 PM, SnowGoose69 said:

Yeah looks like Augusta is in trouble for sure.  

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You rip 80+ gusts thru that course for a few hours. It’ll be a war zone . They’ve got to be very worried 

[andyhb]

 

The French Broad River (river that flows through Asheville NC) is forecast to crest more than 10 feet above the previous record at Fletcher, which is in the southern part of the metro.

[Random Chaos]

  On 9/26/2024 at 11:46 PM, Floydbuster said:

Can anyone post some good radar links? 

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If you have Radarscope, that is best. If not:

local radar: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=TLH-N0B-0-24-100-usa-rad

mosaic radar: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-FL_Panhandle-comp_radar-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

[Radtechwxman]

Any new wind data from recon?