bdgwx Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 The P-Surge model is showing the possibility of a massive surge up the Suwannee River and into Fanning Springs, FL. That's almost 25 miles inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 32 minutes ago, George001 said: Chances of category 5 at landfall? None 1 1 2 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Some of the stiffest gusts of the day. Now the surge will really start to crank in and build towards early AM high tide. Should hit top end of the 5-8 forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Teal heading to storm, noaa doing loop de loops around the "center" looking at plane tracker. Must of missed center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Is there a source for this All time? If you mean how does it stack up against other cyclones...Katrina was 127 TJ and Wilma was 17 TJ according to this calculator. Helene is basically top tier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 943.6mb. Dropping very fast 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Lmao sorry can't help but laugh at this path, 943 lowest plane recorded. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 943mb just recorded about 10 mins ago on recons last pass through the eye. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Give them credit for being so determined to find the center 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Although satellite continues to look impressive, seems like southern eyewall is struggling a bit on radar. Shear and dry air may be impacting it. But I think intensity will maintain till landfall or maybe increase a bit more. 2 4 2 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 2 hours ago, jdt said: I assume that is at the Airport which is south of town. Asheville general has lower totals then surrounding areas do to mountains shadowing from multiple directions. We bought property to build on in the future about an hour south of there very close the the SC line and Blue Ridge Escarpment. Totals there can usually be double to triple that of Asheville. Saw a CoCoRaHS report posted earlier today of ~12” near Connesstee Falls which is about 10 minutes from our property. . Yes, that's at the Airport. I saw the 12.29" figure for Conesstee Falls as of late this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 5 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said: Give them credit for being so determined to find the center This is a NOAA plane, so unless there's mechanical issues, I would guess they're collecting important RI data. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 6 loops later at 8 thousand feet and there still sampling the eye... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 2 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: This is a NOAA plane, so unless there's mechanical issues, I would guess they're collecting important RI data. Yeah with teal enroute and being the low pressure sample earlier, I'd guess the same thing. But I really hope it's not mechanical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 New pass shows pressure down to 942mb just after 7PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 new buoy measurement in the eyewall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 SUMMARY OF 700 PM EDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.3N 84.4W ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES $$ Forecaster Bucci Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 13 minutes ago, bdgwx said: If you mean how does it stack up against other cyclones...Katrina was 127 TJ and Wilma was 17 TJ according to this calculator. Helene is basically top tier. Just 17 for Wilma? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Structure Fire on a block downtown Gulfport that the fire department cannot get to due to storm surge. On no! https://mygulfport.us/pc/ 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 you weenies broke tropicaltidbits 3 19 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 1 minute ago, purduewx80 said: you weenies broke tropicaltidbits I like this site better https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2023010612&fh=6&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc= 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Dropsonde suggests 942 mb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 13 minutes ago, AccuChris said: 943mb just recorded about 10 mins ago on recons last pass through the eye . 943 is the intensity of a Cat 5 hurricane in 1971. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 A dropsonde got 944 mb with a 23 kt wind about 20 minutes ago. I'm guessing that's good for 942'ish mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Probably 140 mph at this point 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Buoy must of taken a bit but still alive! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 New pressure 942.5mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 Well there up to about 12 loops so one of these numbers must be the center... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 26, 2024 Share Posted September 26, 2024 I wonder if they are going to do rapid center fixes until the Air Force plane gets there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now