CoastalWx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: FPY gusting to 71kts right now, surprised they never got anything bigger but the AWOS does not report a peak wind so hard to know what the real high was The live shots around Perry weren’t really what I was expecting. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, CoastalWx said: The live shots around Perry weren’t really what I was expecting. Who's getting the 140mph winds?.. I dont think anybody on the ground has recorded anything like that. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Looks like LF at Keaton Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Josh is set up just W of Perry. He should hit yet another eyewall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, CTWeatherFreak said: Who's getting the 140mph winds?.. I dont think anybody on the ground has recorded anything like that. Not really even close. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 21 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Cantore just said between Steinhatchee and Fish Creek, which is due south of Perry. We'll see soon... We're talking about a few miles for the center point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 The peak winds went east of those who were streaming. Reason why we don’t see confirmation of the 140mph winds in any of the video we have seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 I'll second not looking anything like 120/130 mph winds anywhere out of Perry. Watched several streams and looked relatively tame compared to what I was expecting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Looks like Tallahassee is getting some prodigious rainfall in those bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 2 minutes ago, skillsweather said: Not going to lie me either didn't want to be the first to say that though. I was watching reed's stream whole event went from no wind to 50-80mph gust at times to possibly up to 100mph gust recently with the eye wall but besides that pretty tame for a 140mph sustained storm it might of went a little east of their area. That town Salem looked to be getting smoked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 11 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Hurricane Helene Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092024 1100 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 ...HURRICANE HELENE VERY CLOSE TO MAKING LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...ACCOMPANIED BY A CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND LIFE-THREATENING WINDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.9N 83.9W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM NW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM SE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES 29.9N 83.9W is just a few miles SW of the Big Bend Wildlife Mgmt area, which is SW of Perry... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, WxSynopsisDavid said: The peak winds went east of those who were streaming. Reason why we don’t see confirmation of the 140mph winds in any of the video we have seen. I would have thought the northern eyewall would have contained the best winds, but weve seen video out of there and while impressive, definitely not close to 140 mph. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 There are many mesonet stations in the Suwanee Springs area...we may get higher wind confirmation there when eye wall goes though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Tallahassee should escape the eyewall. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: There are many mesonet stations in the Suwanee Springs area...we may get higher wind confirmation there when eye wall goes though Got a link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 2 minutes ago, skillsweather said: Not going to lie me either didn't want to be the first to say that though. I was watching reed's stream whole event went from no wind to 50-80mph gust at times to possibly up to 100mph gust recently with the eye wall but besides that pretty tame for a 140mph sustained storm it might of went a little east of their area. Perry is 15 miles inland. Much worse directly on the coast I am sure. Tons of trees between coast and Perry for friction 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Got a link? https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/mesomap.cgi?state=FL&rawsflag=3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Extreme wind warning just added for a few counties in southern Georgia, including Valdosta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Not bad...had that spot pegged on Tuesday First Call...will do the full post mortem tomorrow night. It was obvious most guidance was erroneously west, as was NHC. 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 2 minutes ago, ScottB said: I'll second not looking anything like 120/130 mph winds anywhere out of Perry. Watched several streams and looked relatively tame compared to what I was expecting. They were all in the same spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 FPY 86kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 FPY is an AWOS so odds are something higher than 86kts did happen but no PKWND algorithm is on those systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Landfall... Hurricane Helene Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092024 1120 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 ...HELENE MAKES LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND... Based on NWS Doppler radar data, the eye of Helene has made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane in the Florida Big Bend region at about 11:10 PM EDT (0310 UTC) just east of the mouth of the Aucilla River. This is about 10 miles (15 km) west-southwest of Perry, Florida. Based on data from Air Force reconnaissance aircraft, the maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 140 mph (225 km/h) and the minimum central pressure is 938 mb (27.70 inches). SUMMARY OF 1110 PM EDT...0310 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.0N 83.7W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NNW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ESE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...225 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Videos definitely seem tame for a 140 cat 4 storm. But like people said could be issue of chasers not being where best winds were. Not many locations to safely intercept down there. Something I did notice though on satellite is that cloud tops warmed a lot in ne quadrant at landfall but stayed very cold in western eyewall. Wonder if better winds will end up being west which is atypical. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 minute ago, Radtechwxman said: Videos definitely seem tame for a 140 cat 4 storm. But like people said could be issue of chasers not being where best winds were. Not many locations to safely intercept down there. Something I did notice though on satellite is that cloud tops warmed a lot in ne quadrant at landfall but stayed very cold in western eyewall. Wonder if better winds will end up being west which is atypical. Wonder if anyone was in St. Marks area, or got out if it's a surge zone? Seems like that area was exploding with lightning just before coming ashore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 We go through this every time with landfalling hurricanes... Where's my 140 mph winds!!?? Due to friction with the ground surface, surface wind speeds are significantly lower over land than over water. So unless someone is literally right on a wind-exposed beach, which is not advisable in a surge scenario, it is very unlikely to record a peak wind speed anywhere close to what would be observed on the open ocean. 17 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just as with the radar attenuation claims, I also can't remember a storm where people were satisfied with wind verification. This thing plowed into about the perfect place it could have in terms of population density. The real damage becomes evident later on, a slowly unfolding, less glamorous disaster, inland. Lots and lots of rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, eduggs said: We go through this every time with landfalling hurricanes... Where's my 140 mph winds!!?? Due to friction with the ground surface, surface wind speeds are significantly lower over land than over water. So unless someone is literally right on a wind-exposed beach, which is not advisable in a surge scenario, it is very unlikely to record a peak wind speed anywhere close to what would be observed on the open ocean. Again……THIS^ 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Perry in the eye. They had sustained of 55 and gust to 99 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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