SchaumburgStormer Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 minute ago, csnavywx said: Back down to closer to 250 strikes/3m. One of the most insane spikes of hurricane lightning eyewall activity I've seen though. Be interesting to see if recon can get back over there before LF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Clear west jog now. Tallahassee might be in trouble 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: If it does not turn N soon they could be on the N or NNW side so even they may be west of center. Looks to be headed due north now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 The old gal is PISSED!! Power outages rapidly increasing inland and will be in the millions shortly. Over 600,000 now. Line crews will be busy for MONTHS after Helene gets done. Disaster response crews are stretched very, very thin on this one. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Up to 6.3' in Clearwater Beach 1 minute ago, MarkO said: Storm surge hitting Cedar Key. 5' and rising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: If it does not turn N soon they could be on the N or NNW side so even they may be west of center. If you overlay the W eye wall and Tallahassee it’s due south of them, and looks like the eye is headed due N now. It’ll be really close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 minute ago, mob1 said: Looks to be headed due north now I believe its trying to move more towards the open water vs keep heading NNE into the land closer to it, you can see some tightening too as a result, echoes have really ramped up last 20 mins 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 The new center dropsonde says 943 mb (with 9 kt wind). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 27 Author Share Posted September 27 On wobble watch here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, jm1220 said: If you overlay the W eye wall and Tallahassee it’s due south of them, and looks like the eye is headed due N now. It’ll be really close. Tallahassee looks to be in the untenable spot where the are stuck in the eyewall for the duration, as the eye goes just east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It’s going to rise extremely fast with the eyewall coming ashore and the wind shift. And it seems like it’s all headed into high tide in a few hours. Really bad timing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 3 minutes ago, mob1 said: Looks to be headed due north now maybe it's just me but I feel like we've frequently observed tiny wobbles right before landfall of the storm trying to avoid land. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 https://x.com/RyanBretonWX/status/1839477449907675590/photo/1 Surge up to 7 ft in Clearwater now 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 The current jog west is really concerning for TLH (and even more concerning for the NHC truthers). I can’t tell if the center is actually doing a NNW jog, but the western eye wall most certainly has veered in that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 5 minutes ago, andyhb said: Might be the best the eyewall has looked from the Tampa radar in terms of closure. Yep was noticing that. Still going strong. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Clearwater is approaching major flooding. 5.98 feet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Tallahassee will be ok, it'll wobble wobble but pass on the western side. It's moving quick north. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: maybe it's just me but I feel like we've frequently observed tiny wobbles right before landfall of the storm trying to avoid land. Indeed. The land dance is a thing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, Blue Ridge said: The current jog west is really concerning for TLH (and even more concerning for the NHC truthers). I can’t tell if the center is actually doing a NNW jog, but the western eye wall most certainly has veered in that direction. Its attempting to stay out over the bay more because the NNE movement would take it over land faster, typical frictional impacts, notice the radar images have really intensified as a result too, it'll eventually resume NNE movement probably and just come onshore but its doing the typical land aversion attempt 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Last frame on radarscope the eye has a square look to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Looks like the extrapolated pressure is still dropping slightly. We'll see in the next dataset, but it might go below 940 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, wthrmn654 said: Last frame on radarscope the eye has a square look to it Mesovortices rotating around the eye. Indicator of additional strengthening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 27 Author Share Posted September 27 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: https://x.com/eweather13/status/1839459521623887943?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Wavenumber 4 shape going on with the eyewall. Was probably there to an extent before but radar beam height getting low enough to pick up on it now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Tornadoes becoming frequent now in GA/SC. Could be a big story developing with tornado damage well inland. Just had one an hour ago in northern NC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 For Naples to hit Major Flood stage around the same time as Clearwater Beach shows just how huge the impact of Helene is/will be. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 This is what the Skyway Bridge in Tampa looked like 5 hours ago right before it was closed - imagine being on that one. Tampa reportedly has broken the storm surge record set with Idalia, too. And Tampa isn't even that close to the storm. And Savannah, GA just had a tornado, hundreds of miles from Helene. A long night and day ahead... https://fxtwitter.com/FHPTampa/status/1839398172684370378 https://x.com/i/status/1839398172684370378 edit: for some reason twitter videos/links aren't pasting as actual embedded videos - anyone know why? Works ok on 2 other forums I post to... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 The radar returns and expansion on this one will be fun to study for weeks to come, in addition to land interaction with regard to lightning and wobbles. Look how stacked the NNW returns have become. Absolutely incredible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drummer Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 That was an odd cut to commercial on TWC. Looked like Bettes was taking some damage. 1 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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