wthrmn654 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 3 minutes ago, Chinook said: Ryan Hall stream said that the Hurricane Hunters kind of got stuck in the eye earlier (not sure if this is old news, but I haven't heard of such a thing.) If something truly had happened I'm sure we'll hear about it in the coming days. I think they were doing rapid tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cincy12 Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 minute ago, Chinook said: Ryan Hall stream said that the Hurricane Hunters kind of got stuck in the eye earlier (not sure if this is old news, but I haven't heard of such a thing 1 minute ago, LovintheWhiteFluff said: I believe it happened once before where they had to fly around in the eye and wait for another mission to look over the aircraft on a flyby because of mechanical issues. Most certainly intentional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 up to 140mph now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Yep 140 now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 140 it is upon condensing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Little wobbles are going to be a big deal for some of these more populous areas. That eyewall means business 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 11 hours ago, OSUmetstud said: 12z early cycle models So given that Helene is now east of 84N, is this less-than-a-day-old run considered good verification? Is asking why the NHC deferred so strongly away from the globals and toward the spaghetti models still a dumb question? 2 1 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Extreme wind warning issued for the landfall location and northward to the GA border. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Stay safe man!! Looks like you’ll get the eye wall or very close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Wow over 5 feet of water over Clearwater Beach so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, beanskip said: So given that Helene is now east of 84N, is this less-than-a-day-old run considered good verification? Is asking why the NHC deferred so strongly away from the globals and toward the spaghetti models still a dumb question? I don't really understand the question. The spaghetti models are not wholly separate from the global models. The global models are here on these plots...they're just adjusted for the current position of the hurricane in time. These are the models the nhc has used for years. The same ones. 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 27 Author Share Posted September 27 Things have picked up quickly 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 150 seems likely at LF 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 27 Author Share Posted September 27 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 5 minutes ago, beanskip said: So given that Helene is now east of 84N, is this less-than-a-day-old run considered good verification? Is asking why the NHC deferred so strongly away from the globals and toward the spaghetti models still a dumb question? We ALL get it at this point. You have a major bee in your bonnet about the forecast. It's been politely explained to you over and over but you still keep stomping your feet about it. If you insist on continuing to squeal about this, take it to banter and stop clogging up the storm thread, FFS. 16 2 1 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: 150 seems likely at LF Absolutely agree, 150-155 at LF. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: 150 seems likely at LF Unfortunately. The friction of land actually looks to be assisting with with helping this gets its final act together. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Helene is not east of 84 w anyway. It's latest position is 84.2. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: 150 seems likely at LF It's got less than 2 hrs left. I think it pretty much holds. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 weird that on radar worst appears on the north and northwest side but most winds on the east side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdgwx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 3 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Wow over 5 feet of water over Clearwater Beach so far. Yeah, that's...huh...concerning. If it is that bad down there then we may be about to see some eyebrow raising surges further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 3 minutes ago, Amped said: It's got less than 2 hrs left. I think it pretty much holds. The lightning in the eye wall would like to differ. At 8 and 9k seeing winds of 145kts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Tremendous amount of ltg in eyewall. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 N/NW eyewall seems especially vicious. Clear overshooting tops on IR and lots of scalloping on reflectivity and on velocity products. Intense convection. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Just now, csnavywx said: N/NW eyewall seems especially vicious. Clear overshooting tops on IR and lots of scalloping on reflectivity and on velocity products. Intense convection. Tops to over 60k feet. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 @WxWatcher007hang in there. This one is going to be a wild ride. Maybe you can get us some footage like the 2004 Charley gas station video. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 Gangbusters 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted September 27 Share Posted September 27 1 minute ago, andyhb said: The electrification of the eyewall right now is just about off the charts. I have >100 strikes a minute (426 strikes in last 3 min, 317 in 3-5m bin). 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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