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Major Hurricane Helene


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Definitely will not be weakening upon landfall. As has been stated by the NHC and others, Helene will have major inland wind impacts. Combination of strengthening large storm and rapid movement.

 

EDIT: That dropsonde might justify an upgrade to 120 kts.

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1 minute ago, dan11295 said:

Definitely will not be weakening upon landfall. As has been stated by the NHC and others, Helene will have major inland wind impacts. Combination of strengthening large storm and rapid movement.

Power flashes already occurring a few miles south of Tallahassee.  This area hasn't had this type of storm in AGES... There will be unusually severe tree and infrastructure damage in areas that haven't recieved these conditions recently.  

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3 minutes ago, Master of Disaster said:

Not likely considering it has one last night. 

I would call what happened last night a pseudo ERC. The eye started as nascent than made its way through the stages and in doing so there was the reorganization of the core & CDO. Not the true ERC’s we see with more developed, substantial canes.

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1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

I would call what happened last night a pseudo ERC. The eyeball started as nascent than made its way through the stages and in doing so there was the reorganization of the core & CDO. Not the true ERC’s we see with more developed, substantial canes.

Fair statement. A half assed ERC.

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33 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

I wonder if that outer rain band to the southwest of the center is slowly becoming the new eyewall.

It's basically out of time here, but if this were still well out over water, then this is the kind of setup that could eventually result in an EWRC. The series of mesovort formations and mergers we've been getting usually precedes cocentric band formation -- so you could argue we're getting ready to enter the incipient phase of one.

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Just now, csnavywx said:

It's basically out of time here, but if this were still well out over water, then this is the kind of setup that could eventually result in an EWRC. The series of mesovort formations and mergers we've been getting usually precedes cocentric band formation -- so you could argue we're getting ready to enter the incipient phase of one.

What's nice is satellite technology has advanced to the point we can observe the entire sequence. 

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1 minute ago, Chinook said:

Ryan Hall stream said that the Hurricane Hunters kind of got stuck in the eye earlier (not sure if this is old news, but I haven't heard of such a thing.)

I believe it happened once before where they had to fly around in the eye and wait for another mission to look over the aircraft on a flyby because of mechanical issues. 

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